Callagy Ross Regatta

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 54
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 149
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 151
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 153
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 173
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 224
7 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 258
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 259
9 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 290
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 B 2 4 1 2 3 1 1 4 1 6 25 Gavin Sanborn '25 [1-4]
Cooper Smith '27 [5-10]
Ryan Thompson '26 [1-4]
Lucy Murphy '28 [5-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 A 4 2 7 3 1 2 6 1 2 1 29 Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 [1-4]
Ethan Burt '26 [5-10]
Sabina Coroi '27 [1-4]
Brooke Willke '24 [5-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 5 7 6 1 4 8 4 5 4 9 53 Carter Anderson '27
Lorelei Duarte '28
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 7 3 5 9 6 4 8 12 8 5 67 Luke Kenahan '27
Luke Dubois '26
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 3 11 4 6 7 6 10 14 5 2 68 Gavin Monaghan '26
Ada Ucar '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 A 1 10 2 4 18 14 3 8 7 7 74 Marco Welch '28 [1-4]
William Gear '28 [5-10]
Rowan Henkes '28 [1-4]
Tyler Davis '27 [5-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 B 9 6 3 8 8 3 7 9 DNF 3 75 Ryan Begin '27 [1-4]
Ocean Smith '28 [5-10]
Dee Mccormick '28 [1-4]
Kiera Haskell '28 [5-10]
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 6 8 8 5 12 10 5 10 10 11 85 Renato Korzinek '25
Meg Woolverton '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 10 14 14 11 10 9 9 3 6 12 98 Adrien Blanc '27
Isabella Welch '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 12 12 10 10 5 11 2 13 14 10 99 Walter Chiles '26 [1-10]
Aric Duncan '27 [1-7]
Jake Coughlin-Ramassini '26 [8-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 8 15 17 13 2 5 13 16 3 14 106 Andy Leshaw '25
Andrew Dyment '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 16 9 13 14 9 7 16 6 17 4 111 Harrison Nash '27
Peter Ellis '27
McGill University McGill University Redbirds A 14 5 11 15 15 15 15 2 12 8 112 Mikhail Lavrenov '26
Nicholas Belev '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 18 1 9 12 13 13 14 7 11 15 113 Amanda Yolles '26
Matthew Straub '27
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons B 15 16 15 7 17 16 12 17 15 13 143 John O'Connell '28 [1-2, 5-10]
Brett Tardie '25 [3-4]
Isabel Walchli '28 [1-7]
Grace Kokkotos '27 [8-10]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds B 13 13 16 17 14 17 11 11 16 18 146 Brendan Chinn '26
Hermès Gavounelis '28
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons A 11 18 12 18 11 18 18 15 9 17 147 Wilfred Hynes '26 [1-10]
Grace Kokkotos '27 [1-7]
Isabel Walchli '28 [8-10]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 17 17 18 16 16 12 17 18 13 16 160 Toby Jennings '28
Salomé Vuarlot '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1122334455
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons2211181817171616
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3344556677
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers443322111818
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds5566778899
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers6655443322
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies77889910101111
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 1991010111112121313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 28877665544

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats101099887766
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons11111212131314141515
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1212111110109988
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers13131414151516161717
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds14141313121211111010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers151516161717181811
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies16161515141413131212
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 118181717161615151414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 217171818112233

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1015.8 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From SE (125°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover70% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1015.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn · SW 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Vermont: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →