Wesleyan Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 6 13
2 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 11 32 43
3 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 25 18 43
4 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 30 19 49
5 Williams College Williams College Ephs 28 25 53
6 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 25 28 53
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 1 1 1 1 1 7 Sage Andrews '28
Ethan Stoehr '26
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 1 2 2 2 2 2 11 Ian Mccaffrey '25
Maya Palmer '26
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 4 4 4 3 6 4 25 John Ambery '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 5 3 3 4 4 6 25 Aidan Ulian '27
Lila Diniz '28
Williams College Williams College Ephs 3 6 5 6 5 3 28 Max Harthorne '28
Maia Wang '26
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 6 5 6 5 3 5 30 Katie Estep '25
Sophia Morgan '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Gavin Monaghan '26
Tim Nguyen '28
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 2 3 2 2 3 6 18 Thomas Raynor '25
Jack Mullaly '28
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 3 2 DNS 3 2 2 19 Aubree Gottesman '27
Finnegan Jones '27
Williams College Williams College Ephs 5 4 3 4 5 4 25 Rebecca Power '27
Kira Hernandez '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 4 DNF 5 5 4 3 28 Anna Baker '28
Weronika Wozny '27
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 6 5 4 6 6 5 32 Sara Donahue '28 [1-6]
Brendan Ballon '27 [1-3]
Annette Limoges '25 [4-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers446699
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags33881010
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers669944
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs88101033
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals994466
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs10103388

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33881010
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags669944
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers88101033
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs994466
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals10103388
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs446699

Conditions — 04/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1010.5 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 12.1 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From NNW (341°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.2 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1010.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wesleyan: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.53 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wesleyan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Wesleyan: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →