Maine Maritime Academy '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.96 (fleet 1.30) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 5–13 (28%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 5–1 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 0–12 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 5–13 against 5.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Mike Horn Team Race | skipper | 1.08 | 1.69 | 5–1 | 4.5 | +0.61 | 0.2 | 51% |
| 2024-03-30 | Staake Trophy | skipper | 0.85 | -2.15 | 0–12 | 1.0 | ≤−3.00 | 1.5 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Mike Horn Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 89% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| McMillan Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 4 | 5.0 | — |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Staake Trophy | Skipper | TR | 12 | 0% | — |
| College Sailing Regional Teams Championship | Skipper | B | 6 | 7.0 | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.9 | 1.63 |
| New England Dinghy Tournament | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.8 | -0.78 |
| NEISA Open Dinghy Championship/CG Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 4 | 16.8 | 0.36 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | A | 3 | 12.0 | — |
| BU Invite Oct | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.9 | 1.35 |
| BU Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 9.2 | 1.43 |
| Bowdoin Mid Week Invite | Skipper | A | 3 | 7.0 | 1.49 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Mendums Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.8 | 1.14 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Harvard 420 Invitational | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.1 | -1.86 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| MMA 420 Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.6 | -2.13 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Chris Loder Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.2 | -0.23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
