Harvard 420 Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 44
2 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 46
3 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 96
4 Williams College Williams College Ephs 110
5 Huskies Huskies Huskies 115
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 135
7 Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech 210
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 10 Peter Taboada '25
Hannah Fay '24
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix B 2 2 6 5 1 2 4 22 James Jagielski '25 [1-7]
Daniel Heitz '26 [1-4, 7]
Malvina Clavering '25 [5-6]
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix A 4 7 2 3 3 4 1 24 Peter Schnell '26 [1-7]
Aaron Blust '24 [1-2, 5-7]
Malvina Clavering '25 [3-4]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 3 4 5 1 6 9 6 34 Benjamin Wilkinson '26
Andres Milne '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners A 8 5 4 7 4 8 7 43 Nathan Hyde '25
Amelia Griffith '25
Huskies Huskies Huskies A 7 6 9 9 8 3 3 45
Williams College Williams College Ephs A 11 8 7 4 9 6 8 53 Felix Nusbaum '25 [1-7]
Gwyn Mclear '24 [1-4]
Charles Maier '26 [5-7]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners B 5 11 3 6 5 12 11 53 Anna Ladue '26
Fox Fernald '26
Williams College Williams College Ephs B 6 3 12 12 7 5 12 57 Nick Harrington '23 [1-7]
Viviana Barberi '24 [1-4]
Varya Kluev '25 [5-7]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 12 10 8 10 12 7 5 64 Kolby Seibert '25
Jack Clasby '25
Huskies Huskies Huskies B 10 9 10 11 11 10 9 70
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 9 12 11 8 10 11 10 71 Norman Walker '24
Hannah Hicks '25
Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech A DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 105
Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech Worcester Polytech B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 105
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
HuskiesHuskies Huskies5566778
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners1122334
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers2233445
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies3344556
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix4455667
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs6677889
Worcester PolytechWorcester Polytech Worcester Polytech77889910

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
HuskiesHuskies Huskies1212131314141
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners8899101011
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers991010111112
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10101111121213
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix11111212131314
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs13131414112
Worcester PolytechWorcester Polytech Worcester Polytech141411223

Conditions — 09/24/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 13.6 kn
Gusts to 24.5 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1010.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Harvard: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.35 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →