| School | Team | |
|---|---|---|
 |
Columbia | Lions |
 |
Cornell | Big Red |
 |
Fordham | Rams 1 (1) |
|
Fordham | Rams 2 (2) |
 |
Hobart & William | Statesmen |
 |
Kings Point | Mariners |
 |
NY Maritime | Privateers |
 |
Pennsylvania | Quakers |
 |
Princeton | Tigers |
| School | Win | Top 3 | Avg finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell University | 54.2% | 94% | 1.7 |
| Hobart and William Smith Colleges | 15.8% | 63% | 3.1 |
| Columbia University | 13.4% | 55% | 3.3 |
| University of Pennsylvania | 10.9% | 50% | 3.5 |
| SUNY Maritime College | 3.5% | 17% | 5.2 |
| Princeton University | 0.9% | 5% | 6.6 |
| U. S. Merchant Marine Academy | 0.8% | 4% | 6.8 |
| Fordham University | 0.5% | 13% | 5.8 |
Forecast from 5,000 simulated regattas. Strengths come from each school's predicted line-up and its sailors' ratings. The forecast is not official and changes as entries and line-ups are published.
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia (Lions) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Cornell (Big Red) | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
| Fordham (Rams 1) | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Fordham (Rams 2) | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen) | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 |
| Kings Point (Mariners) | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| NY Maritime (Privateers) | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| Pennsylvania (Quakers) | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
| Princeton (Tigers) | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| School | R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Columbia (Lions) | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| Cornell (Big Red) | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| Fordham (Rams 1) | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| Fordham (Rams 2) | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
| Hobart & William (Statesmen) | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
| Kings Point (Mariners) | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| NY Maritime (Privateers) | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| Pennsylvania (Quakers) | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| Princeton (Tigers) | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 1 |
Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.
