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CofC Women's Fall

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 83
2 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 135
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 229
4 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 238
5 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 263
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 290
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 354
8 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 377
9 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 425
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars A 1 2 1 6 1 1 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 13 35 Bella Shakespeare '27 [1-13]
Lucy Elvart '28 [14]
Lucy Elvart '28 [1-6, 10-13]
Paige Lubrano '26 [7-9]
Bella Shakespeare '27 [14]
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars B 3 1 5 1 5 3 6 5 3 1 6 4 2 3 48 Ashley Alfortish '27 [1-13]
Lucy Zinn '28 [14]
Lucy Zinn '28 [1-6, 10-13]
Marina Dryer '26 [7-9]
Ashley Alfortish '27 [14]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 6 10 12 5 2 4 4 4 2 3 2 3 8 2 67 Fiona Froelich '28
Cheyenne Dooley '28
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 4 5 8 3 3 2 1 2 6 4 13 6 5 6 68 Kaitlyn Liebel '26
Amelia Sulciner '28
Columbia University Columbia University Lions A 5 8 3 2 4 5 9 7 16 13 3 2 6 1 84 Eva Decastro '28
Amelia Thomas '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 8 3 4 9 13 12 2 12 10 6 5 5 3 4 96 Marina Dreyfuss '27
Ivy Dumas '29
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers A 2 9 2 7 9 6 5 3 8 8 17 9 9 9 103 Ashton Loring '26
Vanessa Marahrens '26
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers B 10 4 6 4 6 7 11 11 15 9 8 15 13 7 126 Madeleine Harris '29
Madison Cannon '29
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 7 7 7 10 17 13 12 6 11 7 12 11 10 8 138 Evelyn Hannah '28
Eleanor Crandall '29
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 12 18 9 14 12 14 7 13 4 10 7 12 4 5 141 Katherine Mason '27 [1-14]
Hanna Sophia Dornik '28 [1-12]
Haylie Dawson '29 [13-14]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 14 12 17 8 14 8 10 8 12 15 4 7 12 11 152 Olivia Burdette '29
Reese Levinson '29
Columbia University Columbia University Lions B 9 15 16 17 8 15 15 9 9 5 9 8 7 12 154 Stella Manyan '27
Nadia Fisch '28
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 16 17 13 12 7 16 8 10 5 17 11 10 15 10 167 Reese Ambrose '29
Anindita Carlsen '28
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 13 14 10 15 11 9 14 16 7 11 10 17 18 17 182 Lanee Imperato '29 [1-6]
Isabelle Bornebusch '29 [7-14]
Cora Johnson '27 [1-6]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 15 6 14 11 10 11 13 15 18 16 14 14 16 15 188 Samantha Eckert '29
Kayra Serpenguzel '29
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 11 13 11 13 15 10 16 14 13 18 18 18 11 14 195 Daniella Woodbridge '28 [1-14]
Eva Klovatskiy '26 [1-9, 11-12]
Lauren Montgomery '29 [10, 13-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 17 11 15 16 16 17 17 17 14 12 15 16 14 16 213 Gentry Schneider '29 [1-14]
Freya Isenhart '28 [1-6, 10-14]
Haylie Dawson '29 [7-9]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 18 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 14 16 13 17 18 237 Kallista Halatsis '27
Olivia Hoover '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (25 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars2221111818181717171616
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers11122233344455
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33344455566677
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles4443332221111818
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins55566677788899
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7778889991010101111
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes88877766655544
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack66655544433322
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls9991010101111111212121313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars1111111212121313131414141515
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers10101099988877766
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions12121211111110101099988
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles1313131414141515151616161717
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1414141313131212121111111010
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1616161515151414141313131212
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes17171718181811122233
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack15151516161617171718181811
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1818181717171616161515151414

Conditions — 10/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1021.0 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From ENE (60°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1021.0 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn · E 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (69 labelled days at Charleston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →