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Hanbury Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 55
2 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 67
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 141
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 151
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 184
6 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 190
7 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 205
8 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 264
9 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 271
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 3 2 5 1 2 5 1 4 3 26 Aston Atherton '26
Berend Vandermeer '27
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 2 3 4 11 1 1 3 2 2 29 Joshua Bendura '26
Jonathan Matney '27
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A 1 1 2 5 7 2 4 3 5 30 Tyler Brown '26
Chloe Anderson '29
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B 7 6 1 12 3 4 2 1 1 37 Stefano Palamara '25
Tommaso Ciaglia '25
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 8 5 3 6 8 7 6 5 8 56 Humberto Porrata '25
Mercedes Newland Cespedes '24
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 5 4 8 4 6 13 5 9 7 61 Max Kleha '25
Gina Bonazelli '26
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 6 14 11 3 5 8 9 8 11 75 James Owen '25
Caroline Filorimo '25
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 11 8 6 15 4 9 7 15 4 79 Jonah Willoughby '27
Molly Hanson '27
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack B 4 11 12 9 9 3 12 7 13 80 Ryan Brelage '28
Evelyn Hannah '28
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 12 7 9 7 12 6 11 10 6 80 Scott Opert '28
Siena Adduci '27
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 13 12 10 10 10 12 8 11 9 95 Luke Justin '25
Anindita Carlsen '28
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 10 16 7 2 16 11 14 13 16 105 Morgan Auth '27
Charlotte Mccoy '28
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack A 9 9 RDG RDG 14 10 15 14 15 110 Annika Milstien '25
Jane Caroline Minchew '25
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 16 13 14 13 13 14 10 6 14 113 Joseph Bonacci '25
Rachel Morgen '26
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos A 14 10 13 8 15 16 17 12 10 115 Maxwell Penders '25
Iliana Vasslides '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 15 17 15 14 11 17 13 16 12 130 Brendan Sheeran '26
Ava Belli '28
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 18 18 16 17 17 15 16 17 17 151 Imogene Nuss '28
Ethan Rower '28
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos B 17 15 18 16 18 18 18 18 18 156 Claire Miller '26 [1-4]
Austin Berg '27 [5-9]
Austin Berg '27 [1-4]
Claire Miller '26 [5-6]
David Samy '28 [7-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams223344556
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates334455667
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack445566778
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs556677889
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls778899101011
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks6677889910
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos88991010111112
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen9910101111121213

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains101011111212131314
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams111112121313141415
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates121213131414151516
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack131314141515161617
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs141415151616171718
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls161617171818112
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks15151616171718181
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1717181811223
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen18181122334

Conditions — 03/22/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 39%  ·  Pressure 1010.7 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.2 kn
avg  ·  max 15.2 kn
Gusts to 36.2 kn
From WSW (240°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity39% Pressure1010.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 20 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →