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PCCSC Wahine Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 12 11 23
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 22 19 41
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Women of Troy 29 34 63
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ursas 35 44 79
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 40 42 82
6 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 63 49 112
7 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses 68 60 128
8 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 68 70 138
9 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 68 76 144
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 2 12 Vanessa Lahrkamp '26 [1-8]
Alice Schmid '27 [9]
Shay Wood '27 [1-8]
Vanessa Lahrkamp '26 [9]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 2 2 2 4 2 3 2 4 1 22 Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-6, 9]
Martha Schuessler '27 [7-8]
Stella Taherian '27 [1-6]
Morgan Carew '25 [7-9]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Women of Troy 4 5 4 3 3 4 1 2 3 29 Morgana Manti '26
Ava Bergan '27
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ursas 5 3 3 5 5 2 4 3 5 35 Katherine Olsen '25 [1-9]
Catherine Arcaris '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Fiona Wu '25 [5-6, 9]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 4 6 2 6 5 5 5 4 40 Mary D’Arcy '25
Faith Burton '26
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 8 7 8 6 4 6 9 9 6 63 Sammy Farkas '27 [1-9]
Julia Oglevie '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Ava Butterfield '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 6 9 7 7 9 9 7 7 7 68 Sadie Hoberman '25
Gillian Cate '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 7 8 5 9 7 7 8 8 9 68 Annika Burns '27
Paulina Williams '26
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses 9 6 9 8 8 8 6 6 8 68 Alex Bussey '25 [1-9]
Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-4, 7-9]
Izzy De Fontaine '28 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 11 Sophie Fisher '26 [1-2]
Ellie Harned '26 [3-4, 7]
Kit Harned '27 [5-6, 8]
Shay Wood '27 [9]
Alice Schmid '27 [1-2]
Kit Harned '27 [3-4, 7]
Sophie Fisher '26 [5-6, 9]
Ellie Harned '26 [8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 4 2 2 2 1 3 1 2 2 19 Malia Johnson '25
Sophia Shaeffer '25
University of Southern California University of Southern California Women of Troy 2 3 4 3 4 4 5 3 6 34 Lara Granucci '28 [1-9]
Julia Szymanski '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Nicole Drake '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 4 3 6 7 5 3 4 7 42 Anna Morrow '25
Addison Dunn '28
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ursas 7 5 6 4 3 6 4 5 4 44 Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [1-9]
Aliyah Al-Khafaji '27 [1-2, 5-9]
Viola Phillips Frank '26 [3-4]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 6 6 5 5 5 7 6 6 3 49 Stephanie Seto '27
Gloria Jorczak '28
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses 9 9 8 7 6 2 7 7 5 60 Cassie Halaszynski '25
Stella Potter '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 5 7 7 9 8 8 8 9 9 70 Erin Welker '27
Samantha George '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies 8 8 9 8 9 9 9 8 8 76 Claire Wiley '27
Lily Beckerman '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils113355779
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Ursas446688113
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies224466881
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine668811335
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Women of Troy779922446
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal335577992
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses557799224
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women881133557
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women992244668

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils224466881
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Ursas557799224
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Fillies335577992
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine779922446
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Women of Troy881133557
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal446688113
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses668811335
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women992244668
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women113355779
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sadie Hoberman '25 Gillian Cate '25
Sun Devils Erin Welker '27 Samantha George '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Annika Burns '27 Paulina Williams '26
Fillies Claire Wiley '27 Lily Beckerman '28
Stanford University Stanford University Vanessa Lahrkamp '26 [1-8]
Alice Schmid '27 [9]		 Shay Wood '27 [1-8]
Vanessa Lahrkamp '26 [9]
Cardinal Sophie Fisher '26 [1-2]
Ellie Harned '26 [3-4, 7]
Kit Harned '27 [5-6, 8]
Shay Wood '27 [9]		 Alice Schmid '27 [1-2]
Kit Harned '27 [3-4, 7]
Sophie Fisher '26 [5-6, 9]
Ellie Harned '26 [8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Katherine Olsen '25 [1-9] Catherine Arcaris '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Fiona Wu '25 [5-6, 9]
Ursas Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [1-9] Aliyah Al-Khafaji '27 [1-2, 5-9]
Viola Phillips Frank '26 [3-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Alex Bussey '25 [1-9] Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 [1-4, 7-9]
Izzy De Fontaine '28 [5-6]
Sun Goddesses Cassie Halaszynski '25 Stella Potter '26
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-6, 9]
Martha Schuessler '27 [7-8]		 Stella Taherian '27 [1-6]
Morgan Carew '25 [7-9]
Rainbow Wahine Malia Johnson '25 Sophia Shaeffer '25
University of Southern California University of Southern California Morgana Manti '26 Ava Bergan '27
Women of Troy Lara Granucci '28 [1-9] Julia Szymanski '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Nicole Drake '28 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Sammy Farkas '27 [1-9] Julia Oglevie '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Ava Butterfield '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Husky Women Stephanie Seto '27 Gloria Jorczak '28
Western Washington University Western Washington University Mary D’Arcy '25 Faith Burton '26
Viking Women Anna Morrow '25 Addison Dunn '28

Conditions — 04/05/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1021.5 hPa

Temperature

79°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.7 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 30.5 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1021.5 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 14 kn · NE 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hawaii: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.26 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hawaii by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Hawaii, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →