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Cascadia Cup Varsity

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 15 21 36
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 28 19 47
3 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 19 36 55
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 33 33 66
5 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 50 28 78
6 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 44 52 96
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 3 3 1 1 1 2 1 15 Benjamin Stone '27
Jaya Wirth '27
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 3 3 1 1 3 3 2 1 2 19 Sammy Farkas '27
Agatha Pape '30
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 6 2 2 2 3 4 3 28 Adam Turloff '28
Carson Domansky '30
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 4 2 2 5 5 4 4 3 4 33 Ellie Blakemore '27
Addison Dunn '28
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 6 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 5 44 Anthony Rizk '27
Chloe Lukac '26
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 5 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 6 50 Aspen Merrill '29
Jack Mcaleer '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 6 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 19 Alexander Turloff '28
Alan Brenan '30
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 3 2 2 2 3 5 1 1 21 Lhotse Rowell '28
Ava Butterfield '28
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 4 1 3 5 5 1 1 4 4 28 Oliver Fogarty '29
Ryan Ferguson '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 2 4 4 4 5 4 5 2 33 Alyssa Leong '30
Sofia Brown Patricio '28
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 5 5 5 3 3 4 3 3 5 36 Stephanie Seto '27 [1-2, 5-9]
Alice Meng '28 [3-4]
Gloria Jorczak '28 [1-2, 5-9]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 6 4 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 52 Ben Silcoff '27
Emma Ball '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282828282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828282828282828282

Conditions — 10/10/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1028.7 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.3 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From NE (50°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine2.2 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1028.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).