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Cascadia Cup (JV)

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Beavers Beavers Beavers 18 29 47
2 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Black 34 19 53
3 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 34 28 62
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 41 22 63
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 18 51 69
6 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 43 34 77
7 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 41 42 83
8 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 64 63 127
9 Vikings 1 Vikings 1 Vikings 1 78 83 161
10 Vikings 2 Vikings 2 Vikings 2 84 85 169
11 Vikings 3 Vikings 3 Vikings 3 85 85 170
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 2 3 6 1 1 2 2 18 Dalton Lovett '25
Allison Sasaki '24
Beavers Beavers Beavers 2 1 1 1 7 4 1 1 18
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Black 3 3 2 2 5 6 6 7 34 Mira Anders '23 [1-6]
Zackery Martin '23 [7-8]
Grace Rothmeyer '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Jaxon Gordon '25 [3-4]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 5 5 6 5 4 2 3 4 34 Henry Stier '23 [1-6]
Sarah Kahle '22 [7-8]
Lucy Foot '24 [1-6]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 4 4 4 8 3 5 5 8 41 Jenna Hiegel '25 [1-8]
Kaia Armas '25 [1-6]
Henry Stier '23 [7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 8 6 7 3 2 3 7 5 41 Maxwell Dodd '23
Cece Nielsen '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 6 7 5 4 6 8 4 3 43 Lauren Mcclintock '25
Flora Chen '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 7 8 10 7 8 7 8 9 64 Ben Lewis '24
John Kish '23
Vikings 1 Vikings 1 Vikings 1 9 11 8 9 DNS DNS 11 6 78
Vikings 2 Vikings 2 Vikings 2 11 9 9 10 DNS DNS 10 11 84
Vikings 3 Vikings 3 Vikings 3 10 10 11 11 DNS DNS 9 10 85
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Black 2 3 1 6 3 2 1 1 19 Samuel Delasanta '24 [1-8]
Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Zackery Martin '23 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 2 2 3 1 1 5 3 22 Leopold Sabharwal '25
Caroline Hurley '25
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Purple 4 1 3 1 6 6 2 5 28 Emilia Garcia Bompadre '23 [1-4]
Jaxon Gordon '25 [5-8]
Oscar Kubiniec '25 [1-2, 5-8]
Malcolm Renney '24 [3-4]
Beavers Beavers Beavers 3 5 5 4 2 3 3 4 29
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 6 4 7 2 5 4 4 2 34 Svea Hallberg '25 [1-8]
Zoe Zoghlin '25 [1-4]
Autumn Vandehey '23 [5-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 1 6 4 5 7 5 7 7 42 Sarah Kahle '22 [1-4]
Malcolm Renney '24 [5-8]
Grace Smith '24 [1-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 7 7 6 7 4 8 6 6 51 Annelisa Ayars '24
Matthew Lindburg '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 63 Quincy Spurlock '24
Kathryn Lance '24
Vikings 1 Vikings 1 Vikings 1 11 10 11 9 9 9 DNS DNS 83
Vikings 2 Vikings 2 Vikings 2 9 9 10 DNF 11 10 DNS DNS 85
Vikings 3 Vikings 3 Vikings 3 10 11 9 10 10 11 DNS DNS 85
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
BeaversBeavers Beavers7575757575757575

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
BeaversBeavers Beavers7575757575757575

Conditions — 10/16/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1006.1 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 14.3 kn
Gusts to 28.2 kn
From SW (227°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover65% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1006.1 hPa Rain0.45 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn · NW 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.07 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →