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PCCSC Women's Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 6 11 17
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 16 12 28
3 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 24 21 45
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 31 26 57
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 42 27 69
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Lady Bruins 19 54 73
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 45 30 75
8 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 40 42 82
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 49 50 99
10 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Cow Girlies 58 58 116
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Vanessa Lahrkamp '26 [1-4]
Michelle Lahrkamp '23 [5-6]
Gwendolyn Donahue '24 [1-4]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 2 2 4 3 2 3 16 Mercy Tangredi '25
Morgan Carew '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Lady Bruins 3 5 2 2 5 2 19 Marianna Shand '24
Esperance De Lattre '26
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 4 3 3 4 4 6 24 Emily Smith '25
Julia Oglevie '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 9 4 5 5 3 5 31 Juliet St. Germain '25
Cristina Jackson '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 6 7 6 9 8 4 40 Sadie Hoberman '25
Gillian Cate '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 8 6 7 6 7 8 42 Ellie Blakemore '27 [1-4]
Anna Morrow '24 [5-6]
Ella Barnard '24 [1-4]
Kerry Wier '25 [5-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 7 8 10 7 6 7 45 Victoria Chen '25
Fiona Wu '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 9 9 8 9 9 49 Cassie Halaszynski '25
Cassidy Murray '24
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Cow Girlies 10 10 8 10 10 10 58 Claire Desbaillets '24
Stephanie Ng '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 4 1 1 3 1 1 11 Hannah Freeman '24 [1-2]
Ellie Harned '26 [3-6]
Ellie Harned '26 [1-2]
Grace Austin '24 [3-6]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine 1 2 2 2 2 3 12 Vivian Bonsager '25
Anna Kalabukhova '24
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 5 3 4 1 3 5 21 Erin Pamplin '24
Maya Outhred '24
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women 3 5 5 6 5 2 26 Molly Coghlin '25
Makayla Caliendo '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 2 4 7 4 6 4 27 Mary D’Arcy '25
Faith Burton '26
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Mama Bears 6 6 3 5 4 6 30 Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26
Tessa Greene '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 7 7 6 8 7 7 42 Erin Welker '27
Samantha George '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons DNF 8 8 7 8 8 50 Emma Kalway '26
Stella Potter '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Lady Bruins 8 9 10 9 9 9 54 Alexandra Toaxen '27
Della Eckenrod '25
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Cow Girlies 9 10 9 10 10 10 58 Sara Camarero '24
Chloe Lighterink '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils113355
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Mama Bears335577
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine886644
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal22101088
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Cow Girlies44221010
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Lady Bruins557799
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons664422
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women779911
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women991133
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women10108866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils224466
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Mama Bears446688
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbow Wahine775533
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal119977
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Cow Girlies331199
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Lady Bruins66881010
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons553311
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gaucho Women88101022
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women10102244
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women997755

Conditions — 04/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1018.8 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From WSW (255°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover25% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1018.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →