Outlaw

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 18 19 37
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 14 24 38
3 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 38 30 68
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 21 49 70
5 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 45 28 73
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 40 45 85
7 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 50 36 86
8 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 69 60 129
9 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 65 69 134
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 1 1 2 2 1 5 1 1 14 Leif Hauge '28
Yuri Berebitsky '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 2 1 3 2 1 4 3 18 Mary D’Arcy '26
Addison Dunn '28
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 3 3 1 3 3 3 2 21 Adam Turloff '27
Cora Gunderson '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 5 7 6 4 6 2 4 38 Jaden Unruh '26
Matthew Huskins '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 5 7 6 5 5 2 5 5 40 Rowan Clinch '27
Dylan Zink '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 6 6 4 7 6 4 6 6 45 Hannah Welch '29
Charley Miller '29
Beavers 1 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 7 4 5 4 8 7 8 7 50
Beavers 2 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 8 9 8 8 7 9 7 9 65
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 9 8 9 9 9 8 9 8 69 Siena Beckett '28
Stella Vissers '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 1 6 1 3 1 1 5 19 Jack Beeson '26
Sofia Brown Patricio '28
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 2 2 2 5 1 6 2 4 24 Ocean Smith '28
Alicyn Poulos '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 4 3 5 3 4 2 6 1 28 Reese Lieser '29
Melina Holmes '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 6 1 9 2 3 3 3 30 Kairo Zimmerman-Goad '29
Ayana Owen '28
Beavers 1 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 5 5 8 2 5 5 4 2 36
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 6 8 4 6 6 4 5 6 45 Ryan Tuttle '27
Katterina Mehring '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 7 4 3 4 8 8 8 7 49 Faith Burton '26
Calvin Blaser '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 9 7 7 8 7 7 7 8 60 Tyla Garfas-Knowles '28 [1]
Euseekers Williams '28 [2-8]
Annalycia Erdekian '29 [1-4, 7-8]
Tyla Garfas-Knowles '28 [5-6]
Beavers 2 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 8 9 9 7 9 9 9 9 69
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 27474747474747474
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 37373737373737373
Beavers 1Beavers 1 Beavers 17575757575757575
Beavers 2Beavers 2 Beavers 27676767676767676
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies11111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 11818181818181818
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 277777777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 355555555

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 27474747474747474
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 37373737373737373
Beavers 1Beavers 1 Beavers 17575757575757575
Beavers 2Beavers 2 Beavers 27676767676767676
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies11111111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 11818181818181818
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 277777777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 355555555

Conditions — 10/18/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.4 kn
avg  ·  max 2.9 kn
Gusts to 7.8 kn
From NE (45°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover50% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Oregon: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 17% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Oregon by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Oregon, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →