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PCCSC Fall Women's Championship

SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal A 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 10 Vanessa Lahrkamp '26
Gwendolyn Donahue '24
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal B 2 7 5 2 1 4 2 2 25 Hannah Freeman '24
Isabelle Mcnabb '26
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows A 4 3 2 3 3 3 3 6 27 Vivian Bonsager '25 [1-8]
Sophia Shaeffer '25 [1-4]
Holly Coughlan '26 [5-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows B 7 1 4 4 8 2 10 7 43 Martha Schuessler '27 [1-8]
Morgan Carew '25 [1-7]
Amanda Turner '27 [8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies B 6 9 6 7 5 5 4 4 46 Emily Smith '25
Maya Outhred '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies A 3 6 8 5 14 9 5 11 61 Sammy Farkas '27
Jaya Wirth '27
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos B 10 11 3 8 4 13 7 5 61 Juliet St. Germain '25
Avalon Everett '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings A 11 5 11 12 7 6 6 14 72 Mary D’Arcy '25
Aliyah Dodge '25
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos A 13 12 9 6 6 7 13 8 74 Elizabeth Fourney '26
Makayla Caliendo '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings B 5 4 10 10 10 14 8 13 74 Anna Morrow '25
Ella Barnard '24
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears B 14 8 12 11 9 8 9 3 74 Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26
Aliyah Al-Khafaji '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs A 15 13 7 9 15 12 11 9 91 Florence Duff '25
Maura Darby '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears A 9 15 13 13 12 10 14 10 96 Victoria Chen '25
Fiona Wu '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs B 8 10 14 16 11 11 12 15 97 Ximena Greatorex '25
Emily Yong '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins B 12 14 15 14 13 16 15 12 111 Chloe Suiter Holmes '25 [1-8]
Della Eckenrod '25 [1-7]
Katherine Smith '24 [8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins A 16 16 16 15 16 15 16 16 126 Alexandra Toaxen '27 [1-8]
Katherine Smith '24 [1-7]
Della Eckenrod '25 [8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (35 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears33446677
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs11223344
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows77664433
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal221118181717
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins44332211
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos66778899
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies889910101111
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings99887766

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears1212131315151616
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs1010111112121313
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows1616151513131212
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111110109988
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins1313121211111010
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1515161617171818
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies171718181122
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1818171716161515

Conditions — 10/28/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From NNW (333°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Stanford: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →