Navigate

Sea to Sky 25

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 19 17 36
2 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 42 19 61
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 24 40 64
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 38 37 75
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 42 40 82
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 54 55 109
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 54 66 120
8 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 69 65 134
9 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 71 74 145
10 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 83 79 162
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 2 2 2 1 4 1 1 1 19 Leif Hauge '28
Yuri Berebitsky '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 1 1 1 6 8 2 2 2 24 Alexander Turloff '27
Kerry Wier '25
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 2 4 5 5 5 7 3 3 4 38 Dylan Jones '28
Sophia Moiseyenko '27
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 3 OCS 4 6 2 3 5 5 3 42 Rory Walsh '28
Angela Ying '25
Vikes 1 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 10 6 6 3 3 1 4 4 5 42
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 4 3 7 9 7 2 8 7 7 54 Caroline Hurley '25
Erica Stavnem '28
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 8 7 3 4 4 5 6 9 8 54 Sadie Creemer '25
Kate Ryan '25
Vikes 2 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 6 9 8 7 8 6 10 6 9 69
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 7 5 9 8 9 10 9 8 6 71 Dylan Zink '27 [1-4, 7-9]
Ryan Tuttle '27 [5-6]
Melina Holmes '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Ryan Tuttle '27 [3-4, 9]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 9 8 10 10 10 9 7 10 10 83 Kyle Delgatty '26
Max Moyes '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 2 1 4 17 Mary D’Arcy '26
Calvin Blaser '25
Vikes 1 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 4 3 1 2 1 3 1 2 2 19
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 2 2 5 5 3 2 7 5 6 37 Connor Smith '27
Emmanuella Partyka '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 4 4 4 4 8 3 3 7 40 Jack Beeson '26
Morgan Walden '26
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 6 5 3 1 10 5 5 4 1 40 Mathieu Graham '28
Chloe Lukac '28
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 5 6 BYE DNF 7 4 6 7 3 55 Joseph Qualtier '27
Bear Elliot '27
Vikes 2 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 9 10 7 9 5 10 4 6 5 65
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 7 8 6 7 6 6 8 10 8 66 Faith Burton '26
Addison Dunn '28
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 8 9 9 6 8 7 9 8 10 74 Molly Mcleod '25 [1-9]
Tyla Garfas-Knowles '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Euseekers Williams '28 [3-4, 7-9]
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3 10 7 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 79 Anja Nikkel '27
Jules Blackson '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1113344557
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 23344557783
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3445577838387
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 155778383878790
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 27783838787909091
Vikes 1Vikes 1 Vikes 1838387879090919192
Vikes 2Vikes 2 Vikes 287879090919192921
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 19090919192921184
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2919192921184844
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 392921133445

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1113344557
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 23344557783
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 3445577838387
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 155778383878790
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 27783838787909091
Vikes 1Vikes 1 Vikes 1838387879090919192
Vikes 2Vikes 2 Vikes 287879090919192921
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 19090919192921184
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2919192921184844
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 392921133445

Conditions — 03/15/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 20%  ·  Pressure 1001.2 hPa

Temperature

78°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.4 kn
avg  ·  max 20.9 kn
Gusts to 39.7 kn
From WNW (304°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity20% Pressure1001.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 17 kn · W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Victoria: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Victoria by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Victoria, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →