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PCCSC Mark Healy Open Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 32 28 60
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 31 32 63
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 20 48 68
4 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 53 33 86
5 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 48 45 93
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 55 50 105
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 65 54 119
8 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 40 80 120
9 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 60 69 129
10 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 80 53 133
11 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 84 79 163
12 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 78 93 171
13 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 116 86 202
14 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 90 122 212
15 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 109 111 220
16 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 123 104 227
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 1 3 2 1 2 7 20 Erik Anderson '26
Amanda Turner '27
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 5 2 1 5 2 8 2 31 Henry Boeger '25 [1-8]
Kayla Spalding '28 [1-2, 7-8]
Kate Gallagher '25 [3-6]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 1 4 2 1 3 10 6 32 Lucas Woodworth '27 [1-6]
Dylan Sih '28 [7-8]
Ava Cornell '28 [1-6]
Alexandra Jones '28 [7-8]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 7 6 5 4 3 5 7 3 40 Nicholas Mueller '27
Gavin Steuerwald '28
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 12 3 3 6 4 4 3 13 48 Noah Nyenhuis '27
Sadie Marinerstein '28
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 8 7 8 15 RDG 6 1 53 Luke Harris '27 [1-8]
Ava Bergan '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Cameron Berry '25 [3-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 13 4 6 5 6 9 4 8 55 Leif Hauge '28
Yuri Berebitsky '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 7 8 11 11 15 1 4 60 Benjamin Stone '27 [1-8]
Jaya Wirth '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Jeffrey Kriegh '27 [3-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 4 10 12 9 7 6 5 12 65 Nate Ingebritson '25 [1-8]
Annika Baumgartner '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Ethan Lisle '25 [5-6]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 9 12 11 7 8 8 13 10 78 Juan Casal '27
Noah Lovelace '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 8 11 10 10 10 10 12 9 80 Brendan O'Connor '27
Stella Potter '26
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 10 14 9 13 12 12 9 5 84 Colin Olson '26
Conor Kim '27
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 11 9 13 12 16 7 11 11 90 Sterling Maggard '27 [1-8]
Adalia Jimenez '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Kevin Gates '27 [5-6]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 15 13 14 14 9 16 14 14 109 Paul Trudell '26
Zackary Brownstone '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 14 15 15 15 13 13 15 16 116 Robert Bloomfield '26
Mira Shupe '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 16 16 16 16 14 14 16 15 123 Rowan Clinch '27
Dylan Zink '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 7 6 1 1 3 1 6 3 28 Thomas Whidden '28 [1-8]
Caroline Geiger '28 [1-6]
Amiya Stroumza '28 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 8 6 2 2 9 1 1 32 Jonathan Seawards '26 [1-8]
Samuel Long '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Fineman '25 [3-4]
Avalon Everett '27 [7-8]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 2 3 4 7 2 7 4 33 Hudson Mayfield '27 [1-8]
Lara Granucci '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Jackson Mckinley '26 [3-4]
Nicole Drake '28 [7-8]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 8 9 4 3 9 6 4 2 45 Aston Smith '28
Macaela Wilton '27
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 10 3 5 RDG 1 5 9 9 48 Everett Mcavoy '26
Sophia Shaeffer '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 12 14 4 3 3 12 50 Adam Turloff '27
Kerry Wier '25
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 6 7 8 5 8 4 2 13 53 Mitchel Sanford '28
Izzy De Fontaine '28
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 4 11 7 11 8 5 6 54 Carsten Zieger '28 [1-8]
Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [1-6]
Aliyah Al-Khafaji '27 [7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 11 12 7 6 5 7 14 7 69 Maxwell Miller '25 [1-8]
Tillie Jane Leroy '27 [1-6]
Ava Butterfield '28 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 5 5 14 12 6 10 13 14 79 Blake Roberts '25
Vienna Lopez '27
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 12 10 2 DSQ 13 11 10 5 80 Sam Jennings '27
Mateo Krok '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 9 11 15 13 10 12 8 8 86 Parker Ziegler '28
Samuel Groom '24
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 13 14 9 11 12 13 11 10 93 Sadie Hoberman '25
Gillian Cate '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 14 13 13 9 16 16 12 11 104 Emily Avey '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Sadie Creemer '25 [5-6]
Ryan Tuttle '27 [1-6]
Sadie Creemer '25 [7-8]
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 15 15 10 10 15 14 16 16 111 Chase Vanderveer '27
Eoghan Kelley '28
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 16 16 16 15 14 15 15 15 122 Brent Lin '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Kurt Richards '25 [5-6]
Vaughn Russell '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Brent Lin '24 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils11335577
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears88101012121414
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers33557799
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs22446688
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins4466881010
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows12121414161622
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks131315151133
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs5577991111
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos668810101212
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans141416162244
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal779911111313
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons99111113131515
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos1010121214141616
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs11111313151511
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1515113355
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings1616224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils22446688
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears99111113131515
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers4466881010
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs33557799
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins5577991111
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows131315151133
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks141416162244
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs668810101212
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos779911111313
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1515113355
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal88101012121414
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons1010121214141616
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos11111313151511
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs12121414161622
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1616224466
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Juan Casal '27 Noah Lovelace '25
Sun Devils Sadie Hoberman '25 Gillian Cate '25
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Robert Bloomfield '26 Mira Shupe '26
Mustangs Parker Ziegler '28 Samuel Groom '24
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Nicholas Mueller '27 Gavin Steuerwald '28
Keelhaulers Sam Jennings '27 Mateo Krok '27
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Sterling Maggard '27 [1-8] Adalia Jimenez '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Kevin Gates '27 [5-6]
Dolphins Brent Lin '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Kurt Richards '25 [5-6]		 Vaughn Russell '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Brent Lin '24 [5-6]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Noah Nyenhuis '27 Sadie Marinerstein '28
Aztecs Aston Smith '28 Macaela Wilton '27
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Paul Trudell '26 Zackary Brownstone '28
Broncos Chase Vanderveer '27 Eoghan Kelley '28
Stanford University Stanford University Lucas Woodworth '27 [1-6]
Dylan Sih '28 [7-8]		 Ava Cornell '28 [1-6]
Alexandra Jones '28 [7-8]
Cardinal Thomas Whidden '28 [1-8] Caroline Geiger '28 [1-6]
Amiya Stroumza '28 [7-8]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Nate Ingebritson '25 [1-8] Annika Baumgartner '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Ethan Lisle '25 [5-6]
Bears Carsten Zieger '28 [1-8] Alyssa Cunningham Barkus '26 [1-6]
Aliyah Al-Khafaji '27 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Brendan O'Connor '27 Stella Potter '26
Tritons Mitchel Sanford '28 Izzy De Fontaine '28
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Henry Boeger '25 [1-8] Kayla Spalding '28 [1-2, 7-8]
Kate Gallagher '25 [3-6]
Gauchos Jonathan Seawards '26 [1-8] Samuel Long '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Fineman '25 [3-4]
Avalon Everett '27 [7-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Colin Olson '26 Conor Kim '27
Banana Slugs Blake Roberts '25 Vienna Lopez '27
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Erik Anderson '26 Amanda Turner '27
Rainbows Everett Mcavoy '26 Sophia Shaeffer '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Rowan Clinch '27 Dylan Zink '27
Ducks Emily Avey '25 [1-4, 7-8]
Sadie Creemer '25 [5-6]		 Ryan Tuttle '27 [1-6]
Sadie Creemer '25 [7-8]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Luke Harris '27 [1-8] Ava Bergan '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Cameron Berry '25 [3-6]
Trojans Hudson Mayfield '27 [1-8] Lara Granucci '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Jackson Mckinley '26 [3-4]
Nicole Drake '28 [7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Benjamin Stone '27 [1-8] Jaya Wirth '27 [1-2, 7-8]
Jeffrey Kriegh '27 [3-6]
Huskies Maxwell Miller '25 [1-8] Tillie Jane Leroy '27 [1-6]
Ava Butterfield '28 [7-8]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Leif Hauge '28 Yuri Berebitsky '27
Vikings Adam Turloff '27 Kerry Wier '25

Conditions — 04/19/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1020.5 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 54°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 21.8 kn
From SW (228°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover51% Sunshine9.7 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1020.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Berkeley: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.16
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.20 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →