University of California at Berkeley '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.11 (fleet 1.52) | 306 of 331 | +0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 11–23 (32%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 11–23 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (34 matches) the record is 11–23 against 10.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.33 | 2.18 | 2–6 | 1.1 | +0.85 | 0.6 | 31% |
| 2026-03-07 | Mustang Team Race | skipper | 1.34 | 0.41 | 4–4 | 5.1 | −0.92 | 0.7 | 94% |
| 2026-02-21 | McIntyre Team Race | skipper | 0.99 | 1.42 | 5–13 | 4.2 | +0.43 | 0.3 | 39% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Open | Skipper | B | 7 | 8.4 | 1.72 |
| Kiara Broudy Memorial | Skipper | B | 7 | 3.9 | 2.06 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Peter Wenner Rainbow Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 10.5 | 1.05 |
| PCCSC South Designate 2026 | Skipper | B | 8 | 8.0 | 1.88 |
| PCCSC Mark Healy Open Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | B | 13 | 11.6 | 1.23 |
| Mustang Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| Mustang Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.9 | 2.11 |
| McIntyre Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 28% | — |
| Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 8 | 25% | — |
| Anteater JV | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.0 | 1.38 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| West Coast Championships | Skipper | B | 9 | 12.1 | 1.22 |
| UCSD Open | Skipper | A | 9 | 13.7 | 0.92 |
| Stoney Burke Co-Ed Varsity | Skipper | B | 2 | 4.0 | 2.53 |
| Kiara Broudy Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 4 | 7.8 | 1.03 |
| 2026 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 19.5 | 0.64 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
