University of Delaware '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| -0.45 (fleet -0.62) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–11 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 0–4 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 0–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 0–11 against 0.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-01 | Tom Noble Team Race | skipper | -0.62 | -3.62 | 0–4 | 0.1 | ≤−3.00 | 0.1 | >99% |
| 2024-03-02 | Tom Noble Open Team Race | skipper | -0.71 | -3.71 | 0–7 | 0.1 | ≤−3.00 | 0.2 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Philly Fleet Race | Crew | A | 5 | 6.6 | +0.34 |
| McCurdy Memorial | Skipper | A | 2 | 6.0 | 0.06 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Noble Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 0% | — |
| Delaware Spring Open | Skipper | A | 5 | 8.8 | -0.95 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Tom Noble Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Fall | Skipper | B | 8 | 13.6 | -2.08 |
| McCurdy Memorial | Skipper | A | 2 | 12.5 | -3.40 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
