Anteater Regatta - Gold Fleet

HostNHYC / UCI Anteater Sailing Team
Date11/08/2014
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Newport Harbor High School	Varsity	28	11	39
2	Point Loma High School	Pointers JV	40	17	57
3	Point Loma High School	Pointers Varsity	36	23	59
4	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity	50	39	89
5	Long Beach Wilson High School	Varsity	42	50	92
6	Newport Harbor High School	JV1	53	40	93
7	Sage Hill School	Varsity	51	68	119
8	Francis Parker School	Varsity	65	57	122
9	Redwood High School	Varsity	73	62	135
10	Cathedral Catholic High School	Varsity	81	56	137
11	Miramonte High School	Matadors	68	90	158
12	Corona del Mar High School	JV1	76	98	174
13	Santa Barbara High School	Varsity	108	68	176
14	Mira Costa High School	Varsity	93	103	196
15	Redondo Union High School	Varsity	101	98	199
16	Branson School	Varsity	101	113	214
17	Coronado Islanders	Varsity	124	90	214
18	Marin Academy	Varsity	82	135	217
19	Tamalpais High School	Varsity	101	119	220
20	The Bishop's School	Varsity	107	116	223
21	Coronado Islanders	JV1	109	118	227
22	The Urban School	Varsity	89	155	244
23	The Bay School of San Francisco	Varsity	122	123	245
24	Mater Dei High School	Varsity	154	99	253
25	Sage Hill School	JV1	151	104	255
26	Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Varsity	149	111	260
27	Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Varsity	136	141	277
28	Redwood High School	JV1	126	158	284
29	Cathedral Catholic High School	JV1	141	154	295
30	The Athenian School	Owls	148	174	322

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Newport Harbor High School	Varsity	3	1	18	2	3	1	28	Sean Segerblom '16 Briggs D'Eliscu '16
Point Loma High School	Pointers Varsity	7	8	2	9	2	8	36	Andy Reiter '15 Jennifer Johnson '15
Point Loma High School	Pointers JV	2	11	11	4	9	3	40	Paul Didham '16 Mercedes Mcphee '15
Long Beach Wilson High School	Varsity	16	12	1	1	6	6	42	Riley Gibbs '15 [1-6] Alexis Hall '16 [1-4] Trent Turigliatto '18 [5-6]
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity	5	3	8	7	14	13	50	Rhodes Garner '16 Kate Madigan '16
Sage Hill School	Varsity	1	4	10	17	4	15	51	Jacob Rosenberg '16 Madison Nadelman '16
Newport Harbor High School	JV1	6	7	3	16	17	4	53	Carter Scott '16 Emily Overstreet '17
Francis Parker School	Varsity	17	2	7	23	7	9	65	Cole Harris '18 Athena Malcolm '16
Miramonte High School	Matadors	23	16	6	3	18	2	68	Lucy Wilmot '16 [1-6] Molly Colwell '16 [1-3] Sally Wilmot '18 [4-6]
Redwood High School	Varsity	12	13	5	13	10	20	73	Will Martens '16 Lucie Welles '16
Corona del Mar High School	JV1	4	5	16	25	15	11	76	Porter Killian '18 Ian Sellinger '18
Cathedral Catholic High School	Varsity	22	10	17	10	12	10	81	Ryan Ratliffe '17 Elizabeth Matheson '16
Marin Academy	Varsity	21	19	24	5	8	5	82	Alyson Crowley '16 [1-6] Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-3] Jack Lamarre '17 [4-6]
The Urban School	Varsity	9	6	21	21	25	7	89	Lawson Willard '15 Olivia Edmondson '18
Mira Costa High School	Varsity	14	18	23	6	1	DSQ	93	Peter Neal '16 [1-6] Chris Andrews '17 [1-4] Leah James '17 [5-6]
Tamalpais High School	Varsity	10	15	22	12	11	DSQ	101	Hayden Potter '16 Francis Streitman '17
Branson School	Varsity	13	9	26	28	13	12	101	Jackson Ritter '16 Ben Hoffner '16
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	19	20	15	24	5	18	101	Emi Stephanoff '17 Sophia Schuman '17
The Bishop's School	Varsity	26	21	12	11	21	16	107	Daisy Holthus '17 Marnie Bonner '15
Santa Barbara High School	Varsity	15	25	4	18	23	23	108	Soren Wilde '15 Lauren Seigel '16
Coronado Islanders	JV1	25	23	20	8	16	17	109	Pj Eaton '17 Katie Roughneen '16
The Bay School of San Francisco	Varsity	8	22	25	27	19	21	122	Sammy Shea '15 Chloe Bohannon '16
Coronado Islanders	Varsity	20	17	13	14	29	DSQ	124	Grace Yakutis '16 Tanner Chapko '17
Redwood High School	JV1	11	14	27	19	24	DSQ	126	Harry Schmidt '16 Liam Farese '18
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Varsity	18	24	14	22	27	DSQ	136	Cameron Feves '18 [1-6] Jake Zieba '18 [1-2] Meredith Dobson '15 [3-4] Julia Jaynes '15 [5-6]
Cathedral Catholic High School	JV1	29	30	28	15	20	19	141	Carter Lynn '16 Margaret Adams '16
The Athenian School	Owls	28	27	29	20	22	22	148	Xavier Theo Quinn '16 Jackson Kaplan '17
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Varsity	27	26	19	26	26	25	149	Hannah Baylis '15 Sarah Paulsen '16
Sage Hill School	JV1	30	29	9	29	30	24	151	Bobby Briggs '16 Jodie Horowitz '15
Mater Dei High School	Varsity	24	28	30	30	28	14	154	Madison Cardullo '15 Jessica Correa '15

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Newport Harbor High School	Varsity	1	1	4	1	2	2	11	Campbell D'Eliscu '15 Madeline Bubb '16
Point Loma High School	Pointers JV	3	6	1	2	4	1	17	Cole Baker '16 Grace Haselton '16
Point Loma High School	Pointers Varsity	5	3	3	4	1	7	23	Katharine Bowman '16 Remy Reynolds '17
Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings Varsity	4	2	7	11	3	12	39	Derek Pickell '16 Kira Woods '15
Newport Harbor High School	JV1	9	10	6	5	5	5	40	Patrick Shannon '16 Marley Mais '17
Long Beach Wilson High School	Varsity	16	12	2	9	7	4	50	Sawyer Gibbs '16 Trent Turigliatto '18
Cathedral Catholic High School	Varsity	11	7	5	3	10	20	56	Jesse Mcknight '16 Alexandra Fayer '15
Francis Parker School	Varsity	12	9	9	16	8	3	57	Samuel Merson '18 Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Redwood High School	Varsity	17	8	14	8	9	6	62	Ted Bascom '15 Sarah Bunney '15
Santa Barbara High School	Varsity	2	5	11	14	19	17	68	Evan Heffernan '16 [1-4] Lucas Pierce '17 [5-6] Jodie Jacobs '16 [1-4] Caden Scheiblauer '19 [5-6]
Sage Hill School	Varsity	7	4	8	18	18	13	68	Connor Chung '16 Paige Okey '17
Miramonte High School	Matadors	14	24	13	15	6	18	90	Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-6] Sally Wilmot '18 [1-3] Molly Colwell '16 [4-6]
Coronado Islanders	Varsity	19	15	10	20	15	11	90	Nicole Simon '16 Casey King '16
Redondo Union High School	Varsity	6	11	16	22	29	14	98	Daniel Belton '16 Jack Polnisch '17
Corona del Mar High School	JV1	13	18	20	10	16	21	98	Sean Dahl '17 [1-4] Victoria Thompson '17 [5-6] Jordan Sellinger '16 [1-2] Laurel Foster '18 [3-4] Sammy Pickell '18 [5-6]
Mater Dei High School	Varsity	24	22	17	6	22	8	99	Caden Wheeler '17 Sarah Politiski '17
Mira Costa High School	Varsity	25	20	22	7	14	15	103	Geoffrey St. John '15 [1-6] Leah James '17 [1-4] Duke Saunders '16 [5-6]
Sage Hill School	JV1	28	17	18	12	20	9	104	Wells Drayton '17 Parker Warden '17
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Varsity	15	14	12	26	28	16	111	Will Paulsen '15 Claire Mohun '15
Branson School	Varsity	22	21	25	23	12	10	113	Kamila Harting '18 Daniel Pascal '17
The Bishop's School	Varsity	23	19	23	13	13	25	116	Amanda Majernik '18 [1-6] Julia Ankeny '15 [1-2] Chloe Winkler '16 [3-6]
Coronado Islanders	JV1	8	26	26	17	17	24	118	Owen Schafer '17 [1-6] Evan Arnold '17 [1-4] Sam Roughneen '18 [5-6]
Tamalpais High School	Varsity	20	16	24	19	21	19	119	Jack Duncan '15 [1-2] Tye Varnes '17 [3-6] Kenna Kuhn '16 [1-2]
The Bay School of San Francisco	Varsity	21	27	15	21	11	28	123	Nolan Van Dine '15 Juliana Testa '17
Marin Academy	Varsity	10	23	28	24	24	26	135	John Rusbarsky '15 Emily Ritter '16
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Varsity	27	13	19	28	25	29	141	Luke Van Lant '16 [1-4] Emily Golison '15 [5-6] Beth Golison '16 [1-4] James Giles '18 [5-6]
Cathedral Catholic High School	JV1	29	29	21	25	27	23	154	Nick Aline '16 [1-2] Jack Garrett '15 [3-6] Kylie Freitas '16 [1-2]
The Urban School	Varsity	26	25	30	29	23	22	155	Cayley Crist '17 Clarence Rosenstein '15
Redwood High School	JV1	18	28	29	30	26	27	158	Noble Reynoso '17 [1-2, 5-6] Michael Brandon '16 [3-4] Chloe Belgum '16 [1-2] Lennon Lott '15 [3-4] Ian Roddy '18 [5-6]
The Athenian School	Owls	30	30	27	27	30	30	174	Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15 Jonah Kirmse '17

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.160+0.16

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Cathedral Catholic High School JV1	2	2	4	4	6	6
Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity	1	1	3	3	5	5
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity	3	3	5	5	7	7
Corona del Mar High School JV1	5	5	7	7	9	9
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8
Coronado Islanders JV1	7	7	9	9	11	11
Coronado Islanders Varsity	6	6	8	8	10	10
Francis Parker School Varsity	8	8	10	10	12	12
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity	9	9	11	11	13	13
Long Beach Wilson High School Varsity	10	10	12	12	14	14
Marin Academy Varsity	11	11	13	13	15	15
Mater Dei High School Varsity	12	12	14	14	16	16
Mira Costa High School Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17
Miramonte High School Matadors	14	14	16	16	18	18
Newport Harbor High School JV1	16	16	18	18	20	20
Newport Harbor High School Varsity	15	15	17	17	19	19
Point Loma High School Pointers JV	18	18	20	20	22	22
Point Loma High School Pointers Varsity	17	17	19	19	21	21
Redondo Union High School Varsity	19	19	21	21	23	23
Redwood High School JV1	21	21	23	23	25	25
Redwood High School Varsity	20	20	22	22	24	24
Sage Hill School JV1	23	23	25	25	27	27
Sage Hill School Varsity	22	22	24	24	26	26
Santa Barbara High School Varsity	24	24	26	26	28	28
Tamalpais High School Varsity	25	25	27	27	29	29
The Athenian School Owls	26	26	28	28	30	30
The Bay School of San Francisco Varsity	27	27	29	29	1	1
The Bishop's School Varsity	28	28	30	30	2	2
Branson School Varsity	29	29	1	1	3	3
The Urban School Varsity	30	30	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Cathedral Catholic High School JV1	3	3	5	5	7	7
Cathedral Catholic High School Varsity	2	2	4	4	6	6
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Varsity	4	4	6	6	8	8
Corona del Mar High School JV1	6	6	8	8	10	10
Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity	5	5	7	7	9	9
Coronado Islanders JV1	8	8	10	10	12	12
Coronado Islanders Varsity	7	7	9	9	11	11
Francis Parker School Varsity	9	9	11	11	13	13
Long Beach Polytechnic HS Varsity	10	10	12	12	14	14
Long Beach Wilson High School Varsity	11	11	13	13	15	15
Marin Academy Varsity	12	12	14	14	16	16
Mater Dei High School Varsity	13	13	15	15	17	17
Mira Costa High School Varsity	14	14	16	16	18	18
Miramonte High School Matadors	15	15	17	17	19	19
Newport Harbor High School JV1	17	17	19	19	21	21
Newport Harbor High School Varsity	16	16	18	18	20	20
Point Loma High School Pointers JV	19	19	21	21	23	23
Point Loma High School Pointers Varsity	18	18	20	20	22	22
Redondo Union High School Varsity	20	20	22	22	24	24
Redwood High School JV1	22	22	24	24	26	26
Redwood High School Varsity	21	21	23	23	25	25
Sage Hill School JV1	24	24	26	26	28	28
Sage Hill School Varsity	23	23	25	25	27	27
Santa Barbara High School Varsity	25	25	27	27	29	29
Tamalpais High School Varsity	26	26	28	28	30	30
The Athenian School Owls	27	27	29	29	1	1
The Bay School of San Francisco Varsity	28	28	30	30	2	2
The Bishop's School Varsity	29	29	1	1	3	3
Branson School Varsity	30	30	2	2	4	4
The Urban School Varsity	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Branson School	Jackson Ritter '16	Ben Hoffner '16
Varsity	Kamila Harting '18	Daniel Pascal '17
Cathedral Catholic High School	Carter Lynn '16	Margaret Adams '16
JV1	Nick Aline '16 [1-2] Jack Garrett '15 [3-6]	Kylie Freitas '16 [1-2]
Cathedral Catholic High School	Ryan Ratliffe '17	Elizabeth Matheson '16
Varsity	Jesse Mcknight '16	Alexandra Fayer '15
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools	Hannah Baylis '15	Sarah Paulsen '16
Varsity	Will Paulsen '15	Claire Mohun '15
Corona del Mar High School	Porter Killian '18	Ian Sellinger '18
JV1	Sean Dahl '17 [1-4] Victoria Thompson '17 [5-6]	Jordan Sellinger '16 [1-2] Laurel Foster '18 [3-4] Sammy Pickell '18 [5-6]
Corona del Mar High School	Rhodes Garner '16	Kate Madigan '16
Sea Kings Varsity	Derek Pickell '16	Kira Woods '15
Coronado Islanders	Pj Eaton '17	Katie Roughneen '16
JV1	Owen Schafer '17 [1-6]	Evan Arnold '17 [1-4] Sam Roughneen '18 [5-6]
Coronado Islanders	Grace Yakutis '16	Tanner Chapko '17
Varsity	Nicole Simon '16	Casey King '16
Francis Parker School	Cole Harris '18	Athena Malcolm '16
Varsity	Samuel Merson '18	Madeleine Mcgrath '18
Long Beach Polytechnic HS	Cameron Feves '18 [1-6]	Jake Zieba '18 [1-2] Meredith Dobson '15 [3-4] Julia Jaynes '15 [5-6]
Varsity	Luke Van Lant '16 [1-4] Emily Golison '15 [5-6]	Beth Golison '16 [1-4] James Giles '18 [5-6]
Long Beach Wilson High School	Riley Gibbs '15 [1-6]	Alexis Hall '16 [1-4] Trent Turigliatto '18 [5-6]
Varsity	Sawyer Gibbs '16	Trent Turigliatto '18
Marin Academy	Alyson Crowley '16 [1-6]	Madeline Kuhn '16 [1-3] Jack Lamarre '17 [4-6]
Varsity	John Rusbarsky '15	Emily Ritter '16
Mater Dei High School	Madison Cardullo '15	Jessica Correa '15
Varsity	Caden Wheeler '17	Sarah Politiski '17
Mira Costa High School	Peter Neal '16 [1-6]	Chris Andrews '17 [1-4] Leah James '17 [5-6]
Varsity	Geoffrey St. John '15 [1-6]	Leah James '17 [1-4] Duke Saunders '16 [5-6]
Miramonte High School	Lucy Wilmot '16 [1-6]	Molly Colwell '16 [1-3] Sally Wilmot '18 [4-6]
Matadors	Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-6]	Sally Wilmot '18 [1-3] Molly Colwell '16 [4-6]
Newport Harbor High School	Carter Scott '16	Emily Overstreet '17
JV1	Patrick Shannon '16	Marley Mais '17
Newport Harbor High School	Sean Segerblom '16	Briggs D'Eliscu '16
Varsity	Campbell D'Eliscu '15	Madeline Bubb '16
Point Loma High School	Paul Didham '16	Mercedes Mcphee '15
Pointers JV	Cole Baker '16	Grace Haselton '16
Point Loma High School	Andy Reiter '15	Jennifer Johnson '15
Pointers Varsity	Katharine Bowman '16	Remy Reynolds '17
Redondo Union High School	Emi Stephanoff '17	Sophia Schuman '17
Varsity	Daniel Belton '16	Jack Polnisch '17
Redwood High School	Harry Schmidt '16	Liam Farese '18
JV1	Noble Reynoso '17 [1-2, 5-6] Michael Brandon '16 [3-4]	Chloe Belgum '16 [1-2] Lennon Lott '15 [3-4] Ian Roddy '18 [5-6]
Redwood High School	Will Martens '16	Lucie Welles '16
Varsity	Ted Bascom '15	Sarah Bunney '15
Sage Hill School	Bobby Briggs '16	Jodie Horowitz '15
JV1	Wells Drayton '17	Parker Warden '17
Sage Hill School	Jacob Rosenberg '16	Madison Nadelman '16
Varsity	Connor Chung '16	Paige Okey '17
Santa Barbara High School	Soren Wilde '15	Lauren Seigel '16
Varsity	Evan Heffernan '16 [1-4] Lucas Pierce '17 [5-6]	Jodie Jacobs '16 [1-4] Caden Scheiblauer '19 [5-6]
Tamalpais High School	Hayden Potter '16	Francis Streitman '17
Varsity	Jack Duncan '15 [1-2] Tye Varnes '17 [3-6]	Kenna Kuhn '16 [1-2]
The Athenian School	Xavier Theo Quinn '16	Jackson Kaplan '17
Owls	Gabrielle (Gabby) Rigby '15	Jonah Kirmse '17
The Bay School of San Francisco	Sammy Shea '15	Chloe Bohannon '16
Varsity	Nolan Van Dine '15	Juliana Testa '17
The Bishop's School	Daisy Holthus '17	Marnie Bonner '15
Varsity	Amanda Majernik '18 [1-6]	Julia Ankeny '15 [1-2] Chloe Winkler '16 [3-6]
The Urban School	Lawson Willard '15	Olivia Edmondson '18
Varsity	Cayley Crist '17	Clarence Rosenstein '15

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Anteater Regatta - Gold Fleet

Division A

Division B

From the notes