SAISA SP #2 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 11 21 32
2 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 20 12 32
3 Pine View School Pine View School JV1 23 14 37
4 Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School JV 20 21 41
5 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV 21 32 53
6 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School JV 46 30 76
7 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 36 41 77
8 Martin County High School Martin County High School JV 50 45 95
9 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 45 56 101
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 4 1 3 1 1 11 Paul Lobree '18
Alex Sidi '17
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 3 3 3 2 4 5 20 Calli Lewis '17
Dae Kelly '17
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School JV 5 1 4 5 3 2 20 Emmet Ward '16
Aislyn Graves '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV 2 8 5 1 2 3 21 Holly Wells '16
Philiip Spada '16
Pine View School Pine View School JV1 4 2 2 4 7 4 23 Ciara Dorsay '17 [1-6]
Isabella Lemole '16 [1-4]
Lila Van Den Broek '17 [5-6]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 6 5 6 7 5 7 36 Finn Kennedy '17
Lily Turner '17
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders RAF 7 7 9 6 6 45 Jared Kaplan '17 [1-6]
Tiago Zanaga Da Costa '17 [1-4]
Nicole Torres '18 [5-6]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School JV 7 6 9 6 9 9 46 Hunter Sorensen '17 [1-6]
Colin Brauchler '16 [1-4]
Dylan Brazee '17 [5-6]
Martin County High School Martin County High School JV 8 DNS 8 8 8 8 50 Chris Kiener '17 [1-6]
Jack Macdonald '18 [1-2]
Nick Block '17 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 2 1 2 2 1 4 12 Grant Dixon '16
Brian Buckley '17
Pine View School Pine View School JV1 3 3 1 1 4 2 14 Hallie Schiffman '18
Michael Grass '17
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 4 2 5 3 2 5 21 Celine De Araujo '18
Gabi Restrepo '16
Osceola Fundamental High School Osceola Fundamental High School JV 5 4 4 4 3 1 21 Chase Burwell '17
No Show
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School JV 1 7 6 8 BYE BYE 30 Zachary Boogaart '16
Tommy Kilcourse '16
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School JV 6 6 3 5 6 6 32 Shelby Leobold '15
Claire Anderson '15
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Thunderwolves 8 5 8 6 7 7 41 Alec Sullivan '17
John Cotter '17
Martin County High School Martin County High School JV 7 8 7 7 8 8 45 Kingsley Ehrich '19
Nick Block '17
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 9 9 9 9 DNF DNF 56 David Herrera '17 [1-4]
Tiago Zanaga Da Costa '17 [5-6]
Carlos Uribe '16 [1-4]
Evelyn Shumway '17 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders313131313131
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School JV303030303030
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School JV323232323232
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School JV292929292929
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy Thunderwolves343434343434
Pine View SchoolPine View School JV1333333333333
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School JV272727272727
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders282828282828
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School JV353535353535

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders313131313131
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School JV303030303030
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School JV323232323232
Osceola Fundamental High SchoolOsceola Fundamental High School JV292929292929
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy Thunderwolves343434343434
Pine View SchoolPine View School JV1333333333333
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School JV272727272727
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders282828282828
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School JV353535353535

Conditions — 10/25/2014 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1013.4 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.5 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From N (4°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1013.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Martin County: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.54 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Martin County by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Martin County: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →