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SoCal #1 Silver

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 21 21
2 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 30 30
3 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 34 34
4 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4 35 35
5 Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 36 36
6 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 36 36
7 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 61 61
8 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 69 69
9 Sea Kings 2 Sea Kings 2 Sea Kings 2 72 72
10 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 5 80 80
11 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 80 80
12 Sea Kings 1 Sea Kings 1 Sea Kings 1 95 95
13 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1 95 95
14 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 104 104
15 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 105 105
16 Dons Dons Dons 106 106
17 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2 108 108
18 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 110 110
19 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 112 112
20 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 1 126 126
21 Monarchs Monarchs Monarchs 132 132
22 Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 2 147 147
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 4 12 1 1 1 1 1 21 Katie Mcallister '17
Grace Vandervort '17
Varsity 2 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 7 1 8 5 3 3 3 30
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 3 9 4 2 2 8 6 34 Trenton Bashaw '18
Brooke Wilke '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 4 5 7 3 6 7 2 5 35 Ashton Brown '18
Chris Caputo '17
Long Beach Wilson High School Long Beach Wilson High School Bruins 1 4 6 4 8 11 2 36 Christina Vandyke '19
Roxanne Snyder '19
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2 6 6 2 8 5 5 4 36 Jack Detmers '17
Jonathan Cheadle '16
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 12 2 12 3 10 14 8 61 Alexis Miller '16
Hunter Vandertoll '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1 2 3 5 11 DSQ 6 19 69 Michael Farris '17
Madeline Marine '16
Sea Kings 2 Sea Kings 2 Sea Kings 2 10 5 13 18 4 10 12 72
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 5 8 15 14 9 12 9 13 80 Laurel Foster '18
Nikki Daoust '17
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 14 17 11 17 6 4 11 80 Betsy Calder '18
Riley Schupak '16
Sea Kings 1 Sea Kings 1 Sea Kings 1 11 10 7 7 DSQ DSQ 14 95
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1 DNF 21 15 10 9 7 10 95
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3 9 11 17 16 13 DSQ 15 104 Benjamin Snider-Bilbrey '17
Samantha Dunlap '18
Varsity 1 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 15 16 16 13 DSQ 15 7 105
Dons Dons Dons DSQ 14 10 19 11 12 17 106
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2 13 20 9 15 14 16 21 108 Robbie Johnson '15
Neil Gompf '17
Varsity 2 Varsity 2 Varsity 2 18 13 20 14 DSQ 13 9 110
Varsity 1 Varsity 1 Varsity 1 DSQ 8 18 12 15 18 18 112
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 1 17 19 21 20 16 17 16 126 Zac Hertig '17
Monarchs Monarchs Monarchs 16 18 19 21 17 19 22 132
Dos Pueblos Dos Pueblos Chargers 2 DNF 22 22 22 18 20 20 147 Payne Donaldson '19
Jack Kamps '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 144444444444444
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 245454545454545
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 349494949494949
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 458585858585858
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings 559595959595959
Varsity 1Varsity 1 Varsity 162626262626262
Varsity 2Varsity 2 Varsity 263636363636363
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers 167676767676767
Dos PueblosDos Pueblos Chargers 269696969696969
Long Beach Wilson High SchoolLong Beach Wilson High School Bruins80808080808080
MonarchsMonarchs Monarchs71717171717171
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 176767676767676
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 277777777777777
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 378787878787878
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 479797979797979
Sea Kings 1Sea Kings 1 Sea Kings 174747474747474
Sea Kings 2Sea Kings 2 Sea Kings 275757575757575
Varsity 1Varsity 1 Varsity 165656565656565
Varsity 2Varsity 2 Varsity 266666666666666
DonsDons Dons68686868686868
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 172727272727272
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 273737373737373

Conditions — 09/13/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1006.9 hPa

Temperature

84°F
↑ 88°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From W (269°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover36% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1006.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport Harbor: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →