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NorCal One-Day #4 GOLD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Woodside High School Woodside High School Wildcat 21 21
2 Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 33 33
3 Santa Cruz High School Santa Cruz High School Varsity 41 41
4 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 46 46
5 Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 1 48 48
6 Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 2 52 52
7 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 59 59
8 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 71 71
9 Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 72 72
10 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 74 74
11 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1 78 78
12 Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 79 79
13 St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity 83 83
14 Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2 83 83
15 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 84 84
16 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 85 85
17 Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 1 96 MRP 96 MRP
18 Soquel High School Soquel High School Soquel H S Sailing 99 99
19 Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 1 108 108
20 Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 111 111
21 Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 2 114 114
22 International HS - SF International HS - SF Varsity 116 116
23 Everest Everest Everest 120 120
24 Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 120 120
25 St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 131 MRP 131 MRP
26 Monte Vista High School Monte Vista High School Mustangs 152 152
27 Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 2 156 MRP 156 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Woodside High School Woodside High School Wildcat 7 1 2 2 8 1 21 Patrick Wilkinson '16
Sophia Mcdevitt '17
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 1 3 4 5 11 9 33 Parker Klebahn '17
Brock Pola '26
Santa Cruz High School Santa Cruz High School Varsity 8 9 1 4 15 4 41 Charlotte Lenz '16
Charlie Atkinson '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 3 2 9 12 1 19 46 Kaelin Stock '18
Chloe Belgum '16
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 1 4 11 8 1 17 7 48 Olivia Beers '17
Sam Bach (Aptos) '19
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 2 5 8 16 3 12 8 52 Josselyn Verutti '17
Ben Risley '17
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 17 6 7 9 2 18 59 Thomas Erisman '19 [1-6]
Dylan Whitfield '19 [1]
Keon Honaryar '19 [2-3, 5-6]
Kai Otsmaa '17 [4]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 18 7 19 16 5 6 71 Liam Farese '18
Harry Schmidt '16
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 10 5 13 7 14 23 72 Andrew Huang '18
Anthony Xie '19
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 13 10 6 17 16 12 74 Tommy Young '18 [1-6]
Gabe Marra '17 [1-2, 5]
Henri Stephan '18 [3-4, 6]
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1 25 12 3 22 13 3 78 Paige Dunlevy '16
Gwynie Dunlevy '16
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 14 4 10 13 21 17 79 Ian Collignon '16
Chloe Long '19
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity 11 18 21 8 23 2 83 Jonar Tanguilig '16
Carolyne Ikeda '19
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2 20 14 17 11 7 14 83 Michael Kastner '16
Michael Tellini '17
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 6 19 12 15 22 10 84 Daniel Erisman '19 [1-6]
Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-2, 6]
Dylan Whitfield '19 [3-5]
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 23 23 15 10 3 11 85 John Deruff '17
Juliana Testa '17
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 1 2 22 22 6 4 20 96 MRP Ryter Ullrich '18
David Whisnant '18
Soquel High School Soquel High School Soquel H S Sailing 12 20 14 14 24 15 99 Jackson Halderman '17
Fiona Dauphinee '16
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 1 21 13 18 21 19 16 108 Dorothy Aldridge '17
Parker Wall '19
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 9 17 11 OCS 25 21 111 Carter Nestell '18 [1-6]
Gabriella Von Esmarch '19 [1-2, 5]
Keilah Stypulkoski '19 [3-4, 6]
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 2 24 24 27 25 9 5 114 Grace Tully '17
Sarah Kahl '19
International HS - SF International HS - SF Varsity 19 15 20 19 18 25 116 Sebastian Sponholtz '16
Daniel Christey '17
Everest Everest Everest 15 25 5 23 26 26 120 Derek Makovich '16
Laura Byrne '23
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 16 21 23 18 20 22 120 Parker Kulavic '18 [1-6]
Forrest Strawbridge '19 [1-2, 5]
Jack Whitescarver '19 [3-4, 6]
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame 22 16 26 OCS 6 13 131 MRP Amanda Wheeler '25
Luke Probst '26
Monte Vista High School Monte Vista High School Mustangs 26 26 24 24 DSQ 24 152 John Dilella '18 [1-4]
Michael Lively '18 [5-6]
Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Lively '18 [3-4]
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 2 27 27 25 20 10 27 156 MRP Niko Vo '18
Ian Cumming '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Campolindo High SchoolCampolindo High School Cougars 1464646464646
Campolindo High SchoolCampolindo High School Cougars 2565656565656
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1101010101010
Convent and Stuart Hall High SchoolsConvent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2999999
EverestEverest Everest292929292929
Harbor High SchoolHarbor High School Harbor Pirates108108108108108108
International HS - SFInternational HS - SF Varsity777777
Kirby SchoolKirby School Kirby Varsity 1102102102102102102
Kirby SchoolKirby School Kirby Varsity 2106106106106106106
Lick-Wilmerding High SchoolLick-Wilmerding High School Tigers141141141141141141
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Wildcats121121121121121121
Marin CatholicMarin Catholic Wildcats181818181818
Menlo-AthertonMenlo-Atherton Varsity 1313131313131
Menlo-AthertonMenlo-Atherton Varsity 2303030303030
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors 1515151515151
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors 2484848484848
Monte Vista High SchoolMonte Vista High School Mustangs555555555555
Palo Alto HighPalo Alto High Varsity333333333333
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1123123123123123123
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2136136136136136136
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 3124124124124124124
Santa Cruz High SchoolSanta Cruz High School Varsity103103103103103103
Soquel High SchoolSoquel High School Soquel H S Sailing104104104104104104
St. Ignatius College Prep - San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity333333
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CASt. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame505050505050
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers828282828282
Woodside High SchoolWoodside High School Wildcat343434343434
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 1 Ryter Ullrich '18 David Whisnant '18
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 2 Niko Vo '18 Ian Cumming '18
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 1 Paige Dunlevy '16 Gwynie Dunlevy '16
Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Convent and Stuart Hall High Schools Cubs 2 Michael Kastner '16 Michael Tellini '17
Everest Everest Everest Derek Makovich '16 Laura Byrne '23
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates Ian Collignon '16 Chloe Long '19
International HS - SF International HS - SF Varsity Sebastian Sponholtz '16 Daniel Christey '17
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 1 Olivia Beers '17 Sam Bach (Aptos) '19
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 2 Josselyn Verutti '17 Ben Risley '17
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers Parker Klebahn '17 Brock Pola '26
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats Parker Kulavic '18 [1-6] Forrest Strawbridge '19 [1-2, 5]
Jack Whitescarver '19 [3-4, 6]
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats Carter Nestell '18 [1-6] Gabriella Von Esmarch '19 [1-2, 5]
Keilah Stypulkoski '19 [3-4, 6]
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 1 Dorothy Aldridge '17 Parker Wall '19
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 2 Grace Tully '17 Sarah Kahl '19
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 Daniel Erisman '19 [1-6] Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-2, 6]
Dylan Whitfield '19 [3-5]
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 Thomas Erisman '19 [1-6] Dylan Whitfield '19 [1]
Keon Honaryar '19 [2-3, 5-6]
Kai Otsmaa '17 [4]
Monte Vista High School Monte Vista High School Mustangs John Dilella '18 [1-4]
Michael Lively '18 [5-6]		 Thomas Laskarzewski '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Michael Lively '18 [3-4]
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity Andrew Huang '18 Anthony Xie '19
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 Tommy Young '18 [1-6] Gabe Marra '17 [1-2, 5]
Henri Stephan '18 [3-4, 6]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 Kaelin Stock '18 Chloe Belgum '16
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 Liam Farese '18 Harry Schmidt '16
Santa Cruz High School Santa Cruz High School Varsity Charlotte Lenz '16 Charlie Atkinson '18
Soquel High School Soquel High School Soquel H S Sailing Jackson Halderman '17 Fiona Dauphinee '16
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Varsity Jonar Tanguilig '16 Carolyne Ikeda '19
St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St. Joseph Notre Dame HS - Alameda, CA St Joseph Notre Dame Amanda Wheeler '25 Luke Probst '26
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers John Deruff '17 Juliana Testa '17
Woodside High School Woodside High School Wildcat Patrick Wilkinson '16 Sophia Mcdevitt '17

Conditions — 11/22/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1015.1 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From ENE (62°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1015.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Redwood: a typical day (+0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.31 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Redwood by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Redwood: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →