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NorCal One-Day #3 GOLD

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Half Moon Bay High School Half Moon Bay High School Cougars 22 22
2 Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 1 24 24
3 Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 2 28 28
4 Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 35 35
5 Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 45 45
6 Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity 52 52
7 Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 1 57 57
8 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 58 58
9 Santa Cruz High School Santa Cruz High School Varsity 59 59
10 Monte Vista High School Monte Vista High School Mustangs 60 60
11 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 61 61
12 Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 2 64 64
13 Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 2 67 67
14 Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 1 70 70
15 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 83 83
16 Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings 87 87
17 Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 1 89 89
18 Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 91 91
19 Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 1 92 MRP 92 MRP
20 Soquel High School Soquel High School Soquel H S Sailing 93 93
21 The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 97 97
22 Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 2 97 97
23 St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 100 100
24 Everest Everest Everest 105 105
25 Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 110 110
26 Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 115 115
27 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 125 125
28 Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 2 125 MRP 125 MRP
29 Menlo School Menlo School Varsity 126 126
30 Sir Francis Drake Sir Francis Drake Varsity 129 129
31 Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 132 132
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Half Moon Bay High School Half Moon Bay High School Cougars 2 10 4 2 4 22 Sam Reynolds '17
Kiera Cullen '17
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 1 3 2 RDG 8 6 24 Mats Keldsen '19
Sarah Paulsen '16
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 2 1 3 2 4 18 28 Josselyn Verutti '17
Sam Bach (Aptos) '19
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers 11 4 8 11 1 35 Parker Klebahn '17
Bryn Anderson '18
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates 4 5 1 15 20 45 Ian Collignon '16
Chloe Long '19
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity 28 1 7 14 2 52 Justin Lim '19
Wiley Yu '18
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 1 12 8 17 10 10 57 Olivia Beers '17
Ben Risley '17
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 18 7 14 3 16 58 Kaelin Stock '18
Grant Barnes '18
Santa Cruz High School Santa Cruz High School Varsity 14 12 13 1 19 59 Charlotte Lenz '16
Charlie Atkinson '18
Monte Vista High School Monte Vista High School Mustangs 22 9 9 6 14 60 Michael Lively '18
Thomas Laskarzewski '18
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 8 14 11 23 5 61 Chloe Bohannon '16
Sumner Strumph '17
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 2 5 20 19 7 13 64 Michael Kastner '16
Michael Tellini '17
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 2 9 21 5 9 23 67 Will Glasson '20
Eli Zucker '18
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 1 6 26 6 24 8 70 Michael Duncan '19
Jack Whitescarver '19
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 24 15 20 17 7 83 Chloe Holder '19
Madeline Stull '19
Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings 7 19 27 5 29 87 Thomas Samuels '17
Michael Zheng '19
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 1 13 24 3 21 28 89 Andrew Huang '18
Ronaldo Huang '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 25 18 23 16 9 91 Ian Roddy '18 [1-5]
Henri Stephan '18 [1, 4-5]
Gabe Marra '17 [2-3]
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 1 21 11 16 12 12 92 MRP Ryter Ullrich '18
Daniel Warner '18
Soquel High School Soquel High School Soquel H S Sailing 10 23 12 27 21 93 Jackson Halderman '17
Max Peer '18
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 15 17 10 29 26 97 John Deruff '17
William Hale '18
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 2 31 6 15 20 25 97 Parker Kulavic '18 [1-5]
Forrest Strawbridge '19 [1, 4-5]
Elise Lamarre '19 [2-3]
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity 27 25 18 13 17 100 Jonar Tanguilig '16
Carolyne Ikeda '19
Everest Everest Everest 19 16 22 18 30 105 Derek Makovich '16
Kat Hipkins '17
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats 17 22 25 22 24 110 Carter Nestell '18 [1-5]
Keilah Stypulkoski '19 [1, 4-5]
Gabriella Von Esmarch '19 [2-3]
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity 29 29 21 25 11 115 Dorothy Aldridge '17
Sarah Kahl '19
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 16 31 28 28 22 125 Daniel Erisman '19 [1-5]
Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-2]
Dylan Whitfield '19 [3]
Keon Honaryar '19 [4-5]
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 2 30 27 26 19 3 125 MRP Niko Vo '18
Derek Nelson '18
Menlo School Menlo School Varsity 26 30 29 26 15 126 Bjorn Antell '17
Nina Heller '19
Sir Francis Drake Sir Francis Drake Varsity 20 28 24 30 27 129 George Kripac '17
Noah Sanders '18
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 23 13 DNS DNS DNF 132 Thomas Erisman '19 [1-5]
Dylan Whitfield '19 [1]
Keon Honaryar '19 [2-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Campolindo High SchoolCampolindo High School Cougars 14646464646
Campolindo High SchoolCampolindo High School Cougars 25656565656
Convent and Stuart HallConvent and Stuart Hall Cubs 11010101010
Convent and Stuart HallConvent and Stuart Hall Cubs 299999
Crystal Springs Uplands SchoolCrystal Springs Uplands School Varsity2828282828
EverestEverest Everest2929292929
Half Moon Bay High SchoolHalf Moon Bay High School Cougars137137137137137
Harbor High SchoolHarbor High School Harbor Pirates108108108108108
Kirby SchoolKirby School Kirby Varsity 1102102102102102
Kirby SchoolKirby School Kirby Varsity 2106106106106106
Lick-Wilmerding High SchoolLick-Wilmerding High School Tigers141141141141141
Lynbrook High SchoolLynbrook High School Vikings3434343434
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Wildcats 1121121121121121
Marin AcademyMarin Academy Wildcats 2122122122122122
Marin CatholicMarin Catholic Wildcats1818181818
Menlo SchoolMenlo School Varsity3232323232
Menlo-AthertonMenlo-Atherton Varsity3131313131
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors 15151515151
Miramonte High SchoolMiramonte High School Matadors 24848484848
Monte Vista High SchoolMonte Vista High School Mustangs5555555555
Palo Alto HighPalo Alto High Varsity 13333333333
Palo Alto HighPalo Alto High Varsity 23030303030
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 1123123123123123
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 2136136136136136
Redwood High SchoolRedwood High School Giants 3124124124124124
Santa Cruz High SchoolSanta Cruz High School Varsity103103103103103
Sir Francis DrakeSir Francis Drake Varsity6464646464
Soquel High SchoolSoquel High School Soquel H S Sailing104104104104104
St. Ignatius College Prep, San FranciscoSt. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity33333
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 18383838383
The Bay School of San FranciscoThe Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 28282828282
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 1 Ryter Ullrich '18 Daniel Warner '18
Campolindo High School Campolindo High School Cougars 2 Niko Vo '18 Derek Nelson '18
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 1 Mats Keldsen '19 Sarah Paulsen '16
Convent and Stuart Hall Convent and Stuart Hall Cubs 2 Michael Kastner '16 Michael Tellini '17
Crystal Springs Uplands School Crystal Springs Uplands School Varsity Justin Lim '19 Wiley Yu '18
Everest Everest Everest Derek Makovich '16 Kat Hipkins '17
Half Moon Bay High School Half Moon Bay High School Cougars Sam Reynolds '17 Kiera Cullen '17
Harbor High School Harbor High School Harbor Pirates Ian Collignon '16 Chloe Long '19
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 1 Olivia Beers '17 Ben Risley '17
Kirby School Kirby School Kirby Varsity 2 Josselyn Verutti '17 Sam Bach (Aptos) '19
Lick-Wilmerding High School Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers Parker Klebahn '17 Bryn Anderson '18
Lynbrook High School Lynbrook High School Vikings Thomas Samuels '17 Michael Zheng '19
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 1 Michael Duncan '19 Jack Whitescarver '19
Marin Academy Marin Academy Wildcats 2 Parker Kulavic '18 [1-5] Forrest Strawbridge '19 [1, 4-5]
Elise Lamarre '19 [2-3]
Marin Catholic Marin Catholic Wildcats Carter Nestell '18 [1-5] Keilah Stypulkoski '19 [1, 4-5]
Gabriella Von Esmarch '19 [2-3]
Menlo School Menlo School Varsity Bjorn Antell '17 Nina Heller '19
Menlo-Atherton Menlo-Atherton Varsity Dorothy Aldridge '17 Sarah Kahl '19
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 1 Daniel Erisman '19 [1-5] Kai Otsmaa '17 [1-2]
Dylan Whitfield '19 [3]
Keon Honaryar '19 [4-5]
Miramonte High School Miramonte High School Matadors 2 Thomas Erisman '19 [1-5] Dylan Whitfield '19 [1]
Keon Honaryar '19 [2-5]
Monte Vista High School Monte Vista High School Mustangs Michael Lively '18 Thomas Laskarzewski '18
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 1 Andrew Huang '18 Ronaldo Huang '18
Palo Alto High Palo Alto High Varsity 2 Will Glasson '20 Eli Zucker '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 1 Ian Roddy '18 [1-5] Henri Stephan '18 [1, 4-5]
Gabe Marra '17 [2-3]
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 2 Kaelin Stock '18 Grant Barnes '18
Redwood High School Redwood High School Giants 3 Chloe Holder '19 Madeline Stull '19
Santa Cruz High School Santa Cruz High School Varsity Charlotte Lenz '16 Charlie Atkinson '18
Sir Francis Drake Sir Francis Drake Varsity George Kripac '17 Noah Sanders '18
Soquel High School Soquel High School Soquel H S Sailing Jackson Halderman '17 Max Peer '18
St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco St. Ignatius College Prep, San Francisco Varsity Jonar Tanguilig '16 Carolyne Ikeda '19
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 1 Chloe Bohannon '16 Sumner Strumph '17
The Bay School of San Francisco The Bay School of San Francisco Breakers 2 John Deruff '17 William Hale '18

Conditions — 11/21/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1018.1 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.1 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From NE (41°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1018.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Marin Academy/Marin Catholic/Redwood/The Branson: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Marin Academy/Marin Catholic/Redwood/The Branson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Marin Academy/Marin Catholic/Redwood/The Branson: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →