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Raritan Series FLEET Race4

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cougars 1 Cougars 1 Cougars 1 2 11 13
2 Panthers Panthers Panthers 4 14 18
3 Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 9 11 20
4 Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes 7 14 21
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 15 10 25
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 24 4 28
7 Cougars 2 Cougars 2 Cougars 2 11 20 31
8 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 24 9 33
9 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 24 11 35
10 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 24 13 37
11 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 24 15 39
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Cougars 1 Cougars 1 Cougars 1 1 1 2
Panthers Panthers Panthers 2 2 4
Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes 3 4 7
Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 4 5 9
Cougars 2 Cougars 2 Cougars 2 5 6 11
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 DNS 3 15 Margot Murray '17
Sarah Elia '16
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 DNS DNS 24 Patrick Murray '19
Natalie Herr '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 DNS DNS 24 Thomas Quinn '18 [1]
Nicholas Bergmann '17 [2]
Juliana Rustum '16 [1]
Georgia Shankar '19 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 DNS DNS 24 Liam Dwyer '17 [1]
Danny Kane '16 [2]
William Przedpelski '17 [1]
Liz Colao '19 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 DNS DNS 24 Danny Kane '16 [1]
Evan Hybl '19 [2]
Mia Chmelar '19 [1]
Leo Briant '19 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 DNS DNS 24 Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Mack Totman '19 [2]
Sarah Parenti '17 [1]
Samantha Owens '18 [2]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 2 2 4 Patrick Murray '19
Natalie Herr '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 1 8 9 Thomas Quinn '18 [1]
Nicholas Bergmann '17 [2]
Juliana Rustum '16 [1]
Georgia Shankar '19 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 4 6 10 Margot Murray '17
Sarah Elia '16
Cougars 1 Cougars 1 Cougars 1 6 5 11
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 8 3 11 Liam Dwyer '17 [1]
Danny Kane '16 [2]
William Przedpelski '17 [1]
Liz Colao '19 [2]
Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 10 1 11
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 3 10 13 Danny Kane '16 [1]
Evan Hybl '19 [2]
Mia Chmelar '19 [1]
Leo Briant '19 [2]
Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes 5 9 14
Panthers Panthers Panthers 7 7 14
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 11 4 15 Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Mack Totman '19 [2]
Sarah Parenti '17 [1]
Samantha Owens '18 [2]
Cougars 2 Cougars 2 Cougars 2 9 11 20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Cougars 1Cougars 1 Cougars 177
Cougars 2Cougars 2 Cougars 288
Mountain LakesMountain Lakes Mountain Lakes1212
PanthersPanthers Panthers1010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 222
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 333
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 444
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 555
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 666
Blue DevilsBlue Devils Blue Devils1111

Division B

Team1B2B
Cougars 1Cougars 1 Cougars 177
Cougars 2Cougars 2 Cougars 288
Mountain LakesMountain Lakes Mountain Lakes1212
PanthersPanthers Panthers1010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 222
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 333
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 444
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 555
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 666
Blue DevilsBlue Devils Blue Devils1111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Summit High School Summit High School Thomas Quinn '18 [1]
Nicholas Bergmann '17 [2]		 Juliana Rustum '16 [1]
Georgia Shankar '19 [2]
Hilltoppers 1 Thomas Quinn '18 [1]
Nicholas Bergmann '17 [2]		 Juliana Rustum '16 [1]
Georgia Shankar '19 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Margot Murray '17 Sarah Elia '16
Hilltoppers 2 Margot Murray '17 Sarah Elia '16
Summit High School Summit High School Liam Dwyer '17 [1]
Danny Kane '16 [2]		 William Przedpelski '17 [1]
Liz Colao '19 [2]
Hilltoppers 3 Liam Dwyer '17 [1]
Danny Kane '16 [2]		 William Przedpelski '17 [1]
Liz Colao '19 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Danny Kane '16 [1]
Evan Hybl '19 [2]		 Mia Chmelar '19 [1]
Leo Briant '19 [2]
Hilltoppers 4 Danny Kane '16 [1]
Evan Hybl '19 [2]		 Mia Chmelar '19 [1]
Leo Briant '19 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Patrick Murray '19 Natalie Herr '17
Hilltoppers 5 Patrick Murray '19 Natalie Herr '17
Summit High School Summit High School Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Mack Totman '19 [2]		 Sarah Parenti '17 [1]
Samantha Owens '18 [2]
Hilltoppers 6 Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Mack Totman '19 [2]		 Sarah Parenti '17 [1]
Samantha Owens '18 [2]

Conditions — 10/06/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1016.4 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.5 kn
avg  ·  max 2.9 kn
Gusts to 8.2 kn
From NW (326°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover13% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1016.4 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: NW about 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →