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SAISA South Great Oaks Qualifier

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 29 29
2 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 35 35
3 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 35 35
4 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 62 62
5 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 66 66
6 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 66 66
7 Lake Highland Preparatory School Lake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders 70 70
8 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 73 73
9 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 74 74
10 Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 77 77
11 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 100 100
12 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 109 109
13 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 114 114
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 1 1 4 1 1 2 4 3 11 1 29 Jack Johansson '17
Benito Guido '16
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 2 2 2 2 3 1 6 10 1 6 35 Trevor Bornarth '18 [1-10]
Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-7]
Nick Ochalek '17 [8-10]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 4 3 1 5 4 6 1 1 5 5 35 Sam Baker '17
Ethan Osborne '19
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 6 11 8 7 7 3 3 5 9 3 62 Severin Gramm '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cameron Grubb '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Delaney Brown '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 8 5 10 13 9 5 2 2 2 10 66 Chris Kiener '17
Nick Block '17
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 10 4 9 4 8 8 9 4 3 7 66 Connor Nelson '19
Holly Wells '16
Lake Highland Preparatory School Lake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders 3 6 6 3 13 10 5 8 7 9 70 Jack Glenn '17
Andrew Witter '20
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 8 12 9 5 7 12 7 4 2 73 Zachary Boogaart '16
Tommy Kilcourse '16
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 9 7 3 8 6 9 8 6 6 12 74 Nevin Avila '16 [1-10]
Michael Malkiewicz '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kurban Ali '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity 5 9 13 11 2 4 10 11 8 4 77 Matthew Magardino '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Johnny Magardino '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Kristina Puzak '18 [1-2, 5-6, 8-10]
Justin Marciano '18 [3-4, 7]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 11 12 7 10 12 12 7 9 12 8 100 Grant Boicheff '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Blaire Mccarthy '18 [3-4, 7-10]
Jillian Plouche '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Victoria Lescanzo '19 [3-4, 7-10]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity 13 13 11 6 10 11 11 13 10 11 109 Ethan Grove '17 [1-2, 8-10]
Ariel Casaretto '17 [3-7]
Jack Bilello '18 [1-5]
Julian Billini '17 [6]
Ethan Grove '17 [7]
Hannah Sternthal '19 [8-9]
Ariel Casaretto '17 [10]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 12 10 5 12 11 13 13 12 13 13 114 Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-10]
Alissa Stachelek '18 [1-2, 7-10]
Adriana Munao '16 [3-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Community School of NaplesCommunity School of Naples Varsity1122334455
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes2211141413131212
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders3344556677
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons5566778899
Lake Highland Preparatory SchoolLake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders6655443322
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity77889910101111
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers991010111112121313
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers8877665544
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves101099887766
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Varsity111112121313141411
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers443322111414
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS1212111110109988
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils13131414112233
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Community School of Naples Community School of Naples Varsity Matthew Magardino '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Johnny Magardino '19 [3-4, 7-8]		 Kristina Puzak '18 [1-2, 5-6, 8-10]
Justin Marciano '18 [3-4, 7]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes Sam Baker '17 Ethan Osborne '19
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders Jack Johansson '17 Benito Guido '16
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers Connor Nelson '19 Holly Wells '16
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons Zachary Boogaart '16 Tommy Kilcourse '16
Lake Highland Preparatory School Lake Highland Preparatory School Highlanders Jack Glenn '17 Andrew Witter '20
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity Nevin Avila '16 [1-10] Michael Malkiewicz '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Kurban Ali '17 [3-4, 7-8]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers Cameron Kuchar '17 [1-10] Alissa Stachelek '18 [1-2, 7-10]
Adriana Munao '16 [3-6]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers Chris Kiener '17 Nick Block '17
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves Severin Gramm '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Cameron Grubb '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Delaney Brown '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Rylee Macarthur '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Varsity Ethan Grove '17 [1-2, 8-10]
Ariel Casaretto '17 [3-7]		 Jack Bilello '18 [1-5]
Julian Billini '17 [6]
Ethan Grove '17 [7]
Hannah Sternthal '19 [8-9]
Ariel Casaretto '17 [10]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS Trevor Bornarth '18 [1-10] Kathryn Bornarth '17 [1-7]
Nick Ochalek '17 [8-10]
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils Grant Boicheff '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Blaire Mccarthy '18 [3-4, 7-10]		 Jillian Plouche '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Victoria Lescanzo '19 [3-4, 7-10]

Conditions — 10/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1013.9 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 89°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From W (260°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1013.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/ Fort Pierce Wes/South Fork/The Pine: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/ Fort Pierce Wes/South Fork/The Pine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/ Fort Pierce Wes/South Fork/The Pine: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →