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SAISA SP2 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 21 22 43
2 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 29 17 46
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 21 27 48
4 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 21 37 58
5 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 36 23 59
6 Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 24 41 65
7 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 46 33 79
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 4 7 1 1 1 4 21 Julia Johansson '19
Jax Malloy '16
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 2 1 2 3 4 5 21 Calli Lewis '17
Cameron Swain '18
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 5 1 3 3 5 3 1 21 Brandon Geller '19
Julia Conneely '22
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 2 7 4 5 2 2 2 24 Ciara Dorsay '17
Matthew Mason '19
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 7 3 2 4 4 6 3 29 Hunter Sorensen '17
Colin Brauchler '16
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 1 6 6 6 6 5 6 36 Alec Sullivan '17
Reese Kelly '18
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 6 5 5 7 DNS DNS 7 46 Emily Bornarth '20 [1-7]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [1-2]
Nathan Welmaker '20 [3-4, 7]
Griffin Pollis '19 [5-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 3 5 2 2 2 1 2 17 Dylan Brazee '17
Chandler Scott '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 1 2 1 3 3 4 DNF 22 Clyde Wright '16
Courtney Rielly '16
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 4 1 OCS 1 5 3 1 23 Finn Kennedy '17
Lily Turner '17
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 3 OCS 6 1 2 5 27 Sarah Kirke '17 [1-7]
Delilah Lubarsky '17 [1-4]
Leo Menninger '18 [5-7]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 5 6 4 5 4 6 3 33 Emily Bornarth '20 [1-7]
Yazmeen Simpson '19 [1-2, 7]
Nathan Welmaker '20 [3-6]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 6 4 5 4 7 7 4 37 Jack Keel '16
Audrey Perry '17
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 7 7 3 7 6 5 6 41 Lila Van Den Broek '18
William Giraldo '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons35353535353535
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves33333333333333
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity31313131313131
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers29292929292929
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders32323232323232
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders30303030303030
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS34343434343434

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons35353535353535
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves33333333333333
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity31313131313131
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers29292929292929
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders32323232323232
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders30303030303030
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS34343434343434

Conditions — 10/24/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 83°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.9 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From ENE (73°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover41% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1017.5 hPa Rain0.03 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/ Fort Pierce Wes/South Fork/The Pine: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/ Fort Pierce Wes/South Fork/The Pine by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Jensen Beach/Martin County/MOA/ Fort Pierce Wes/South Fork/The Pine: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →