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2016-17 PCISA SoCal 1 Gold

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 4 28 28
2 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 8 43 43
3 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6 47 47
4 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 65 65
5 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 10 66 66
6 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 4 68 68
7 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 90 90
8 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 92 92
9 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 105 105
10 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 5 107 107
11 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 110 110
12 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 115 115
13 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7 117 117
14 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 120 120
15 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 11 122 122
16 Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 130 130
17 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 5 131 131
18 South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans 132 132
19 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 2 139 139
20 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 3 167 167
21 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 9 170 170
22 Parker Parker Parker 180 180
23 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 1 186 186
24 Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 197 197
25 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 212 212
26 Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity 232 232
27 Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears 232 232
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 4 1 3 3 1 5 4 6 1 4 28 Max Mayol '19
Catherine Webb '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 8 9 1 4 2 1 16 5 3 2 43 Wills Cook '19
Amy Sabourin '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6 2 2 5 7 9 3 7 4 8 47 Reid Wiley '18
Trenton Bashaw '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 7 7 8 6 10 7 4 13 3 65 Erik Hou '20
Parker Pittman '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 10 8 23 2 3 6 5 2 6 11 66 Alex Bonsager '20
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 4 15 6 1 9 4 13 1 14 5 68 Taisei Hatter '19
Elisabeth (Elise) Bowman '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 3 17 6 16 23 9 10 5 1 90 Marcus Huttunen '20
Beck Boyea '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 18 16 7 5 2 1 23 11 9 92 Cole Pomeroy '19
Tyler Jones '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 4 12 20 13 8 14 3 25 6 105 Aidan Hoogland '20
Jonah Hatt '19
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 5 5 9 15 12 18 8 13 12 15 107 Ryan Tolsma '18
Christian Tabor '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 13 10 18 8 7 11 14 7 22 110 Kyle Farmer '19
Eric Schuster '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 25 4 10 27 3 10 12 10 14 115 Pearce Mendoza '19
Morgan Burton '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7 6 8 11 21 17 12 16 19 7 117 Skyler Jacobsen '19
Zoe Johansson '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 12 13 19 20 13 2 11 17 13 120 Ian Wells '20
Jack Flores '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 11 10 21 9 19 14 6 17 9 17 122 Ryan Potter '20
Madison Bashaw '20
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs 19 5 26 10 12 17 15 16 10 130 Jeffrey Petersen '20
Dutch Dietrick '20
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 5 21 18 13 4 16 18 18 2 21 131 Timmy Fraher '20
Max Magnus '19
South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans 11 24 16 18 11 20 8 8 16 132 Alex Krouse '17
Dane Gramstrup '19
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 2 16 19 12 11 15 15 9 24 18 139 Christopher Sandoval '18
Samantha Dunlap '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 3 17 20 17 22 21 22 21 15 12 167 Landon Martin '18
Rob Caustin '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 9 14 14 14 17 22 25 24 20 20 170 Max Brennan '19
Daniel Lockhart '18
Parker Parker Parker 24 11 21 15 19 OCS 20 18 24 180 Cameron Cage '20
Jordan Ryan '19
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 1 20 15 22 24 24 19 22 21 19 186 Carolyn Horton '19
Olivia Visser '19
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings 22 22 23 14 26 24 19 22 25 197 Evan Insley '19
Grant Coors '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 23 25 24 26 20 21 27 23 23 212 Eric Jones '20
Jack Blackman '20
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity 26 26 27 25 27 23 25 27 26 232 Benjamin Louttit '18
Kenneth White '18
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears 27 27 25 23 25 26 26 26 27 232 Josh Maldonado '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 12525252525252525
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 22828282828282828
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 32424242424242424
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 42323232323232323
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 52727272727272727
ParkerParker Parker66666666
Mater Dei High SchoolMater Dei High School Monarchs2121212121212121
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 11212121212121212
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 103636363636363636
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 112020202020202020
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 21919191919191919
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 31616161616161616
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 422222222
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 51818181818181818
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 644444444
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 71414141414141414
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 81717171717171717
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors 93232323232323232
Palos Verdes High SchoolPalos Verdes High School Sea Kings2626262626262626
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 155555555
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 211111111
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 377777777
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 41111111111111111
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers 588888888
Port of Los Angeles High SchoolPort of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears1515151515151515
Palos Verdes Peninsula High SchoolPalos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity2222222222222222
South Torrance High SchoolSouth Torrance High School Spartans33333333
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 1 Carolyn Horton '19 Olivia Visser '19
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 2 Christopher Sandoval '18 Samantha Dunlap '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 3 Landon Martin '18 Rob Caustin '19
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 4 Max Mayol '19 Catherine Webb '18
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 5 Ryan Tolsma '18 Christian Tabor '18
Mater Dei High School Mater Dei High School Monarchs Jeffrey Petersen '20 Dutch Dietrick '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1 Cole Pomeroy '19 Tyler Jones '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 10 Alex Bonsager '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 11 Ryan Potter '20 Madison Bashaw '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2 Eric Jones '20 Jack Blackman '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3 Erik Hou '20 Parker Pittman '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4 Ian Wells '20 Jack Flores '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5 Pearce Mendoza '19 Morgan Burton '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6 Reid Wiley '18 Trenton Bashaw '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7 Skyler Jacobsen '19 Zoe Johansson '20
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 8 Wills Cook '19 Amy Sabourin '19
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 9 Max Brennan '19 Daniel Lockhart '18
Palos Verdes High School Palos Verdes High School Sea Kings Evan Insley '19 Grant Coors '19
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Varsity Benjamin Louttit '18 Kenneth White '18
Parker Parker Parker Cameron Cage '20 Jordan Ryan '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 Aidan Hoogland '20 Jonah Hatt '19
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 Kyle Farmer '19 Eric Schuster '20
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 3 Marcus Huttunen '20 Beck Boyea '20
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 4 Taisei Hatter '19 Elisabeth (Elise) Bowman '18
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 5 Timmy Fraher '20 Max Magnus '19
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears Josh Maldonado '17
South Torrance High School South Torrance High School Spartans Alex Krouse '17 Dane Gramstrup '19

Conditions — 09/17/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.9 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From S (181°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Newport Harbor Yacht Club: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.20 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Newport Harbor Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Newport Harbor Yacht Club, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →