Great Oaks 2016 Red

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 8 8
2 Knights Knights Knights 16 16
3 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 21 21
4 Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 23 23
5 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 25 25
6 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 27 27
7 Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 30 30
8 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 32 32
9 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings 35 35
10 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 36 36
11 Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Varsity 37 37
12 Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity 40 40
13 Niceville High School Niceville High School Varsity 44 44
14 St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 51 51
15 Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders 76 76
16 CUBS CUBS CUBS 76 76
17 Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club 76 76
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 3 1 3 8 Samuel Bartel '18
Erik Sundberg '17
Knights Knights Knights 4 9 2 1 16
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 3 5 9 4 21 Colleen Baumann '17
Sam Morin '18
Clear Lake High School Clear Lake High School Falcons 10 6 5 2 23 Matias Martin '23
Pilar Blanco Midulla '19
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 5 2 10 8 25 Joey Chomyn '19
William Chapman '18
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 7 4 6 10 27 Jackson Connell '17
Brianna Misk '17
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 2 11 4 13 30 Levi Hencke '18
Kelsey Ferguson '18
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs OCS 1 3 9 32 Kenny Corsig '19
Jackson Sippe '17
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings 8 13 8 6 35 Scott Harris '18
Cooper Whitehead '18
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 6 7 12 11 36 Nick Ochalek '17
Trevor Tigges '17
Ft. Walton Beach High School Ft. Walton Beach High School Varsity 9 14 7 7 37 Jonathan Balent '17 [1-4]
Rachael Metruck '18 [1-2]
Eoghan Turnbaugh '18 [3-4]
Brother Rice High School - IL Brother Rice High School - IL Varsity 12 12 11 5 40 Emily Gildea '17
Elizabeth Gildea '20
Niceville High School Niceville High School Varsity 11 8 13 12 44 Ian Hunter '16
Anna Carrieri '21
St. Patrick Catholic High School St. Patrick Catholic High School Fighting Irish 13 10 14 14 51 Mallory Edwards '19
James Edwards '21
Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders DNS DNS DNS DNS 76
CUBS CUBS CUBS DNS DNS DNS DNS 76
Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club DNS DNS DNS DNS 76

Conditions — 11/19/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1027.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.3 kn
avg  ·  max 17.5 kn
Gusts to 29.7 kn
From N (358°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1027.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jesuit NOLA: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.28)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jesuit NOLA by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jesuit NOLA, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →