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Great Oaks 2016 RedA

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Scarlet Scarlet Scarlet 8 8
2 Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 16 16
3 Maroons Maroons Maroons 21 21
4 Falcons Falcons Falcons 23 23
5 Varsity Varsity Varsity 25 25
6 Navy Navy Navy 27 27
7 Varsity Varsity Varsity 30 30
8 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 31 31
9 Hoggard Vikings Hoggard Vikings Hoggard Vikings 35 35
10 SF BULLDOGS SF BULLDOGS SF BULLDOGS 36 36
11 Varsity Varsity Varsity 37 37
12 Varsity Varsity Varsity 40 40
13 Varsity Varsity Varsity 44 44
14 Fighting Irish Fighting Irish Fighting Irish 51 51
15 Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders 72 72
16 CUBS CUBS CUBS 72 72
17 Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club 72 72
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Scarlet Scarlet Scarlet 1 3 1 3 8
Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons 4 9 2 1 16 Stewart Gurnell '19
Jon Reboul '17
Maroons Maroons Maroons 3 5 9 4 21
Falcons Falcons Falcons 10 6 5 2 23
Varsity Varsity Varsity 5 2 10 8 25
Navy Navy Navy 7 4 6 10 27
Varsity Varsity Varsity 2 11 4 13 30
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs OCS 1 3 9 31 Kenny Corsig '19
Jackson Sippe '17
Hoggard Vikings Hoggard Vikings Hoggard Vikings 8 13 8 6 35
SF BULLDOGS SF BULLDOGS SF BULLDOGS 6 7 12 11 36
Varsity Varsity Varsity 9 14 7 7 37
Varsity Varsity Varsity 12 12 11 5 40
Varsity Varsity Varsity 11 8 13 12 44
Fighting Irish Fighting Irish Fighting Irish 13 10 14 14 51
Crusaders Crusaders Crusaders DNS DNS DNS DNS 72
CUBS CUBS CUBS DNS DNS DNS DNS 72
Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club DNS DNS DNS DNS 72
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
CrusadersCrusaders Crusaders31312929
VarsityVarsity Varsity29292525
VarsityVarsity Varsity25251313
MaroonsMaroons Maroons23232121
FalconsFalcons Falcons131311
VarsityVarsity Varsity112727
Hoggard VikingsHoggard Vikings Hoggard Vikings272799
CUBSCUBS CUBS991717
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs17173333
VarsityVarsity Varsity333355
Viking Sailing ClubViking Sailing Club Viking Sailing Club551919
ScarletScarlet Scarlet19191515
VarsityVarsity Varsity151533
SF BULLDOGSSF BULLDOGS SF BULLDOGS3377
Fighting IrishFighting Irish Fighting Irish772323
NavyNavy Navy21211111
Xavier High SchoolXavier High School Xavier High Falcons11113131
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs Kenny Corsig '19 Jackson Sippe '17
Xavier High School Xavier High School Xavier High Falcons Stewart Gurnell '19 Jon Reboul '17

Conditions — 11/19/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 44%  ·  Pressure 1027.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
14.3 kn
avg  ·  max 17.5 kn
Gusts to 29.7 kn
From N (358°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity44% Pressure1027.1 hPa

What this breeze does at Jesuit NOLA — from fleet racing

Breeze: N about 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Jesuit NOLA in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jesuit NOLA by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at Jesuit NOLA, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →