North Points 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 10 6 16
2 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 8 16 24
3 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 18 12 30
4 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 24 12 36
5 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 27 21 48
6 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 24 25 49
7 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 25 32 57
8 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings 22 45 67
9 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 36 33 69
10 Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 41 29 70
11 SOA   Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 37 39 76
12 Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 40 43 83
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 1 1 4 2 8 Austin Ando '17
Caroline Main '18
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 6 2 1 1 10 Walter Gnann '17
Austin (A.J.) Myers '18
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 4 8 2 4 18 Adam Larson '19
Gantt Renner '19
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings 3 7 5 7 22 Scott Harris '18 [1-4]
Cooper Whitehead '18 [1-2]
Sean Harris '20 [3-4]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 2 4 8 10 24 Garrett Mergenthaler '19 [1-4]
Jason Perryman '17 [1-2]
Camyrn Wales '18 [3-4]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 5 6 10 3 24 Croix Farmer '17
Bobby Baker '18
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 9 5 3 8 25 Joey Chomyn '19
Lillian Holland '19
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 7 3 6 11 27 Matthew Chenard '17
Megan Guthrie '18
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 10 12 9 5 36 Griffin Stevenson '17
Olivia Pruitt '17
SOA   Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 11 10 7 9 37 Sarah Deloach '17
Caroline Keinath '17
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 8 9 11 12 40 Noah Benton '18
Victoria Marinoff '18
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 12 11 12 6 41 Michael Lane '17 [1-2]
Cade Hughes '18 [3-4]
Sadie Ingram '17 [1-2]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 3 1 1 1 6 Alex Mazzeo '18 [1-4]
Sarah Suber '18 [1-2]
Chris Hoogenboom '18 [3-4]
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 1 5 3 3 12 Kenny Corsig '19
Sammy Damesek '20
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 4 2 4 2 12 Jordan Newland '18
Britton Durst '19
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 6 4 2 4 16 James Renneker '18
Sydney Register '18
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 2 6 7 6 21 Jacob Thompson '18
Evan Chenard '20
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 5 7 5 8 25 Sammy Choufanni '17
Jenna Stephens '18
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 7 11 6 5 29 Elizabeth Tompkins '17
Cohen Hughes '19
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 9 3 DSQ 7 32 Peter Buyck '18
Will Phillips '20
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 8 8 8 9 33 Stefan Tobler '18
Riley Power '18
SOA   Charleston School of the Arts SOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity 10 9 10 10 39 Keara Paquette '17
Kate Sherman '17
Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School Waccamaw High School 11 12 9 11 43 Will Tiller '20
Max Golden '20
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings 12 10 11 12 45 Cameron Sechrist '18
Bella Cankurtaran '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity1133
SOA   Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity10101212
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity2244
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity3355
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings4466
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats5577
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs6688
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity7799
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity881010
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity991111
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw High School111111
WandoWando Wando Warriors121222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity2244
SOA   Charleston School of the ArtsSOA Charleston School of the Arts SOA Varsity111111
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity3355
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity4466
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard Vikings5577
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats6688
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs7799
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity881010
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity991111
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity10101212
Waccamaw High SchoolWaccamaw High School Waccamaw High School121222
WandoWando Wando Warriors1133

Conditions — 10/30/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1018.1 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From WSW (251°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1018.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pine Lake Prep: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.39 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pine Lake Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Pine Lake Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →