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Raritan Tuesday Series 11-1-16

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 3 3
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 9 9
3 Westfield High School Westfield High School Blue Devils 14 14
4 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 16 16
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 18 18
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 19 19
7 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 20 20
8 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 23 23
9 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 27 27
10 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 8 27 27
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 28 28
12 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 37 37
13 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1 42 42
14 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 7 42 42
15 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 8 45 45
16 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 46 46
17 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 49 49
18 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2 51 51
19 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 54 54
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 1 1 1 3 Thomas Quinn '18
William Przedpelski '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 2 3 4 9 Margot Murray '17
Liam Dwyer '17
Westfield High School Westfield High School Blue Devils 4 4 6 14 Harrison Bailey '18
Tomas Rios '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 3 8 5 16 Sophie Lusty '20
Christen Taylor '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 6 5 7 18 Sean Groskoph '20
Malcolm Harrison '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 10 7 2 19 Kelsey Kennedy '18
Liz Colao '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 5 12 3 20 Patrick Murray '19 [1-3]
Katharine Srere '17 [1-2]
George Tricker '17 [3]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 9 6 8 23 Jillian Torrente '17
Stephanie Gilsenan '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 8 9 10 27 Mack Totman '19
Mia Chmelar '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 8 11 2 14 27 Hannah Mercurio '20
Will Sanyour '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 7 10 11 28 Marisa Marino '17
Lindsey Stinson '17
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 12 16 9 37 Cooper Lahoud '19
No Show
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1 16 13 13 42 No Show
No Show
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 7 19 11 12 42 No Show
No Show
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 8 14 14 17 45 No Show
No Show
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 13 15 18 46 Paul Danenberg '19
No Show
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 15 19 15 49 Grace Evans '17
Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2 17 18 16 51 Mountain Lakes '16
No Show
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 18 17 19 54 Zoe Papier '19
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 1333
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 2101010
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 3444
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 4888
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 5999
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 6111
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 7555
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 8777
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1101010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 2151515
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 3111111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 4777
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 5999
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 6121212
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 7161616
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 8131313
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 1222
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 2666
Westfield High SchoolWestfield High School Blue Devils111111

Conditions — 11/01/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1027.5 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From SSE (160°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine9.6 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1027.5 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: S about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →