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Raritan Tuesday Series 9-20-16

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 1 1
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 8 2 2
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 3 3
4 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 4 4
5 Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 5 5
6 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2 6 6
7 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 7 7
8 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 8 8
9 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 9 9 9
10 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 3 10 10
11 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 11 11
12 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1 12 12
13 Cougars 2 Cougars 2 Cougars 2 13 13
14 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 11 14 14
15 Cougars 5 Cougars 5 Cougars 5 15 15
16 Cougars 3 Cougars 3 Cougars 3 16 16
17 Cougars 1 Cougars 1 Cougars 1 17 17
18 Cougars 4 Cougars 4 Cougars 4 23 23
19 Cougars 6 Cougars 6 Cougars 6 23 23
20 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 23 23
21 Cougars 7 Cougars 7 Cougars 7 23 23
22 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 10 23 23
SchoolTeam R1 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 1 1 Thomas Quinn '18
Kelsey Kennedy '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 8 2 2 Sean Groskoph '20
Malcolm Harrison '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 3 3 Shannon Groskoph '17
Will Sanyour '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 4 4 Patrick Murray '19
Sarah Parenti '17
Blue Devils Blue Devils Blue Devils 5 5
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 2 6 6
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 7 7 Mack Totman '19
George Tricker '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 8 8 Evan Hybl '19
Samantha Owens '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 9 9 9 Hannah Mercurio '20
Liz Colao '19
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 3 10 10 Mountain Lakes '16
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 11 11 Sophie Lusty '20
Christen Taylor '20
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 1 12 12
Cougars 2 Cougars 2 Cougars 2 13 13
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 11 14 14 Lily Neilan '20
Mia Chmelar '19
Cougars 5 Cougars 5 Cougars 5 15 15
Cougars 3 Cougars 3 Cougars 3 16 16
Cougars 1 Cougars 1 Cougars 1 17 17
Cougars 4 Cougars 4 Cougars 4 DSQ 23
Cougars 6 Cougars 6 Cougars 6 DSQ 23
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 DSQ 23 Nicholas Bergmann '17
John Alvarez '18
Cougars 7 Cougars 7 Cougars 7 DNS 23
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 10 DNS 23 Liam Dwyer '17
Katharine Srere '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A
Cougars 1Cougars 1 Cougars 12
Cougars 2Cougars 2 Cougars 24
Cougars 3Cougars 3 Cougars 35
Cougars 4Cougars 4 Cougars 48
Cougars 5Cougars 5 Cougars 59
Cougars 6Cougars 6 Cougars 610
Cougars 7Cougars 7 Cougars 711
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 17
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1017
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1118
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 28
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 39
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 410
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 511
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 612
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 713
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 815
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 916
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 11
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 23
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates 312
Blue DevilsBlue Devils Blue Devils7
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Patrick Murray '19 Sarah Parenti '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 10 Liam Dwyer '17 Katharine Srere '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 11 Lily Neilan '20 Mia Chmelar '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Shannon Groskoph '17 Will Sanyour '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Sophie Lusty '20 Christen Taylor '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Thomas Quinn '18 Kelsey Kennedy '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 Mack Totman '19 George Tricker '17
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 Evan Hybl '19 Samantha Owens '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 Nicholas Bergmann '17 John Alvarez '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 8 Sean Groskoph '20 Malcolm Harrison '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 9 Hannah Mercurio '20 Liz Colao '19
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 3 Mountain Lakes '16

Conditions — 09/20/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.5 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 11.9 kn
From NE (47°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine6.8 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1019.5 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →