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SAISA South Points 1 JV

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 6 8 14
2 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 10 6 16
3 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 10 17 27
4 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 14 21 35
5 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School JV 26 12 38
6 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 44 20 64
7 Satellite Satellite Satellite 21 44 65
8 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School JV 25 44 69
9 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 44 44 88
10 Warriors Warriors Warriors 44 44 88
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 2 1 1 2 6 Brandon Geller '19
Dominic Canonico '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 2 3 4 10 Adam Kaplan '21
Mcleod Kennedy '19
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 4 3 2 1 10 Finn Kennedy '17
Reese Kelly '18
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 3 4 4 3 14 Joey Meagher '20
Caroline Dubois-Weber '19
Satellite Satellite Satellite 6 5 5 5 21
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School JV 7 6 6 6 25 Grace Pfaelzer '21
Aine Porter '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School JV 5 7 7 7 26 Anika Boicheff '20 [1-4]
Aliyah Samuelson '20 [1-2]
Nolan Pollack '20 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS 44 James Nichols '18 [1-2]
Alex Mccree '18 [3-4]
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS 44
Warriors Warriors Warriors DNS DNS DNS DNS 44
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 1 1 1 3 6 Alec Sullivan '17
Trevor Honeycutt '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 1 2 3 2 1 8 Sean Toro '19
Colin Figley '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School JV 3 4 3 2 12 Heather Kerns '20
Zuri Patel '20
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 5 2 6 4 17 Michael Macrae '19
Jacob Wolfe '21
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 4 6 4 6 20 James Nichols '18 [1-2]
Alex Mccree '18 [3-4]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School JV 6 5 5 5 21 Sam Juskiewicz '20
Satellite Satellite Satellite DNS DNS DNS DNS 44
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School JV DNS DNS DNS DNS 44 Grace Pfaelzer '21
Aine Porter '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS 44
Warriors Warriors Warriors DNS DNS DNS DNS 44
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School JV35353535
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves34343434
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 137373737
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 29999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 316161616
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders32323232
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School JV30303030
SatelliteSatellite Satellite33333333
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School JV29292929
WarriorsWarriors Warriors31313131

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School JV35353535
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves34343434
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 137373737
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 29999
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers 316161616
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders32323232
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School JV30303030
SatelliteSatellite Satellite33333333
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School JV29292929
WarriorsWarriors Warriors31313131

Conditions — 09/17/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 94°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From N (9°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover79% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1016.6 hPa Rain0.27 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Shorecrest Preparato: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.18)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.33)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.18 means a rating gap counts about 15% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Shorecrest Preparato by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Shorecrest Preparato, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →