VISA York Grafton JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 5 5
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 19 19
3 York High School York High School Varsity 19 19
4 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 27 27
5 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 31 31
6 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 31 31
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 33 MRP 33 MRP
8 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 33 MRP 33 MRP
9 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 33 33
10 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 37 37
11 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 37 37
12 St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 49 49
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 2 1 1 1 5 Kyle Pfrang '22 [1-4]
Jack Butler '23 [1-2]
Luke Warner '22 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 1 9 4 5 19 Harrison Thomson '22 [1-2]
Kai Bartol '20 [3-4]
Christian Callaghan '22 [1-2]
Charlie Cantrell '22 [3-4]
York High School York High School Varsity 10 3 3 3 19 Brian Fox '19 [1-2]
Christopher Raab '20 [3-4]
Sarah Allen '22 [1-2]
Elias Rooker '23 [3-4]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 5 5 7 10 27 Chloe Cowan '22 [1-2]
Will Moore '20 [3-4]
Will Moore '20 [1-2]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 6 8 8 9 31 Maggie Campbell '22 [1-2]
Brylie Schaubach '22 [3-4]
Mason Thibodeau '23 [1-2]
Khamarri Boatner '23 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 8 10 6 7 31 Scott Spencer '19
Hanna Mohsin '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 3 4 2 4 33 MRP Jennifer Permenter '21
Lydia Sweeney '21
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 4 2 5 2 33 MRP Henry Campbell '21
Ali Zaidi '20
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 9 6 10 8 33 Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-4]
Mike Laccheo '23 [1-2]
Ian Howard '23 [3]
Joshua Morris '23 [4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 7 7 11 12 37 Charlotte Patterson '20
Audrey Merritt '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 11 11 9 6 37 Brandon Kim '19
Caden Sutton '21
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 12 12 DNS 11 49 Jack Whitmore '18 [1, 3-4]
Kaavya Shetty '18 [2]
Kaavya Shetty '18 [1, 3-4]
Jack Whitmore '18 [2]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 17777
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 28888
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores9999
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints10101010
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 111111111
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131313
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141414
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders15151515
St. Christopher's SchoolSt. Christopher's School Saints16161616
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans17171717
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity18181818
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 Brandon Kim '19 Caden Sutton '21
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 Scott Spencer '19 Hanna Mohsin '19
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores Chloe Cowan '22 [1-2]
Will Moore '20 [3-4]
Will Moore '20 [1-2]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [3-4]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints Kyle Pfrang '22 [1-4] Jack Butler '23 [1-2]
Luke Warner '22 [3-4]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Jennifer Permenter '21 Lydia Sweeney '21
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Henry Campbell '21 Ali Zaidi '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 Maggie Campbell '22 [1-2]
Brylie Schaubach '22 [3-4]
Mason Thibodeau '23 [1-2]
Khamarri Boatner '23 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 Harrison Thomson '22 [1-2]
Kai Bartol '20 [3-4]
Christian Callaghan '22 [1-2]
Charlie Cantrell '22 [3-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders Charlotte Patterson '20 Audrey Merritt '20
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints Jack Whitmore '18 [1, 3-4]
Kaavya Shetty '18 [2]
Kaavya Shetty '18 [1, 3-4]
Jack Whitmore '18 [2]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-4] Mike Laccheo '23 [1-2]
Ian Howard '23 [3]
Joshua Morris '23 [4]
York High School York High School Varsity Brian Fox '19 [1-2]
Christopher Raab '20 [3-4]
Sarah Allen '22 [1-2]
Elias Rooker '23 [3-4]

Conditions — 10/01/2016 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From S (179°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine3.9 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1017.6 hPa Rain0.15 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →