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MN Conference # 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Orono High School Orono High School Navy 28 19 47
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 32 42 74
3 Edina High School Edina High School mixed 65 13 78
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 49 38 87
5 Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 36 77 113
6 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 78 41 119
7 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 50 72 122
8 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 88 45 133
9 St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Mixed 80 63 143
10 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 19 130 MRP 149 MRP
11 Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 1 91 59 150
12 Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 107 44 151
13 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 43 109 152
14 Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 77 83 160
15 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 100 MRP 77 177 MRP
16 Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 69 115 184
17 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 104 MRP 100 MRP 204 MRP
18 Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 2 122 111 233
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 3 4 4 1 3 3 1 19 Toby Sullivan '19
Delaney Mallin '21
Orono High School Orono High School Navy 14 1 1 2 1 5 4 28 Rachel Bartel '20
Mei Vickery '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 5 2 6 4 12 1 2 32 Graham Ness '19
Annika Irene '19
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 1 5 10 6 4 2 8 36 Seamus Hendrickson '21
Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 6 3 2 7 6 13 6 43 Emma Aubuchon '19
Ellen Tovb '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 13 10 9 5 2 7 3 49 Henry Westlind '19
Audrey Cote '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 2 8 12 3 8 10 7 50 Lucia Loosbrock '21
Beth Walsh '20
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 11 14 3 10 5 9 13 65 Tighe Case '18 [1-7]
Virginia Higgins '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Marit Lebakken '20 [3-4]
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 9 6 7 16 9 11 11 69 Kytalin Hendrickson '22
Georgia Green '23
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 8 9 11 9 16 6 18 77 Walker Mullin '19 [1-6]
Clare Leeper '19 [7]
Clare Leeper '19 [1-6]
Walker Mullin '19 [7]
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 7 15 14 8 15 4 15 78 Michael Dowson '19
Sophia Rey '19
St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Mixed 4 13 5 12 18 DSQ 9 80 Aidan Boylan '18
Harry Hedges '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 10 12 17 11 10 16 12 88 Thomas Jagielski '18
Natasha Levy '20
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 1 15 11 13 13 11 14 14 91 Sean Mcaneney '21
Thomas Cline '22
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 12 7 15 14 14 8 10 100 MRP Clara Brown '18 [1-7]
Faith Christensen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Sara Fraser '21 [3-4, 7]
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 17 17 8 15 7 15 5 104 MRP Hank Seum '23
Rasmus Gantriis '21
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 16 16 16 17 13 12 17 107 Connor Shore '22
Amanda Ilhe '18
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 2 18 18 18 18 17 17 16 122 Alexandre Cholat '22
William Hawley '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Edina High School Edina High School mixed 3 1 3 1 1 2 2 13 Calvin Lamosse '21
Gints Pelecis '21
Orono High School Orono High School Navy 2 2 1 2 5 3 4 19 Archie Bolgar '19
Megan Schoenzeit '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 3 6 5 4 10 4 4 5 38 Greg Bittle '21
Garrett Moen '19
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 6 6 9 13 5 1 41 Max Sigel '22
Tryg Van Wyk '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 1 5 7 5 3 2 1 DSQ 42 Khan Dickel '20
Evan Komis '20
Providence Academy Providence Academy Mixed 4 3 12 4 3 6 12 44 Kate Ness '23
Grace Bray '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 8 9 2 5 9 9 3 45 Remi Clark '20
Helene Schroeder '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 1 7 15 7 6 6 7 11 59 James Jagielski '21
Madeline Netzer '23
St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Mixed 9 10 11 7 10 8 8 63 Leif Saveraid '18
Leo Markus '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Skippers 2 10 8 13 11 11 10 9 72 Susie Foster '19
Alexa Shinler '20
Orono High School Orono High School Scarlet 11 11 8 8 7 17 15 77 Dominic Serino '19
Harry Hust '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 12 4 14 13 8 13 13 77 Cole Barre '21
Anika Liner '21
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Mixed 14 13 10 16 12 11 7 83 Monica Beutz '24
Nick Lorentz '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Mixed 15 12 9 12 14 12 6 100 MRP Luke Schmidt '21
Belle Carpenter '23
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 16 17 16 14 18 18 10 109 Maria Pumper '19
Francisca (Fran) Aravena '21
Washburn High School Washburn High School mixed 2 18 16 15 15 17 14 16 111 Connor Malone '23
Liam Black '20
Orono High School Orono High School Mixed 17 18 18 17 16 15 14 115 Oliver Strommen '22 [1-2]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-7]
Martin Weiss '22 [1-2]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3-7]
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Mixed 13 14 17 18 15 16 17 130 MRP Karan Jain '19
Stephen Olk '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.340+0.34
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed13131313131313
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed14141414141414
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed11111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs12121212121212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed3333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 15555555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 29999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 32222222
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed6666666
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed10101010101010
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Navy16161616161616
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet7777777
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed8888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity15151515151515
St. Paul Central High SchoolSt. Paul Central High School Mixed1111111
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 118181818181818
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 24444444
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy17171717171717

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Benilde St MargaretsBenilde St Margarets Mixed13131313131313
Edina High SchoolEdina High School mixed14141414141414
MahtomediMahtomedi Mixed11111111111111
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs12121212121212
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed3333333
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 15555555
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 29999999
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Skippers 32222222
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Mixed6666666
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Mixed10101010101010
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Navy16161616161616
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Scarlet7777777
Providence AcademyProvidence Academy Mixed8888888
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity15151515151515
St. Paul Central High SchoolSt. Paul Central High School Mixed1111111
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 118181818181818
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School mixed 24444444
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy17171717171717
School / Team SkipperCrew
Benilde St Margarets Benilde St Margarets Walker Mullin '19 [1-6]
Clare Leeper '19 [7]		 Clare Leeper '19 [1-6]
Walker Mullin '19 [7]
Mixed Monica Beutz '24 Nick Lorentz '21
Edina High School Edina High School Tighe Case '18 [1-7] Virginia Higgins '22 [1-2, 5-7]
Marit Lebakken '20 [3-4]
mixed Calvin Lamosse '21 Gints Pelecis '21
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Hank Seum '23 Rasmus Gantriis '21
Mixed Luke Schmidt '21 Belle Carpenter '23
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Clara Brown '18 [1-7] Faith Christensen '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Sara Fraser '21 [3-4, 7]
Zephyrs Cole Barre '21 Anika Liner '21
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Michael Dowson '19 Sophia Rey '19
Mixed Max Sigel '22 Tryg Van Wyk '22
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Graham Ness '19 Annika Irene '19
Skippers 1 Khan Dickel '20 Evan Komis '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Lucia Loosbrock '21 Beth Walsh '20
Skippers 2 Susie Foster '19 Alexa Shinler '20
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Henry Westlind '19 Audrey Cote '20
Skippers 3 Greg Bittle '21 Garrett Moen '19
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Toby Sullivan '19 Delaney Mallin '21
Mixed Karan Jain '19 Stephen Olk '21
Orono High School Orono High School Kytalin Hendrickson '22 Georgia Green '23
Mixed Oliver Strommen '22 [1-2]
Martin Weiss '22 [3-7]		 Martin Weiss '22 [1-2]
Oliver Strommen '22 [3-7]
Orono High School Orono High School Rachel Bartel '20 Mei Vickery '21
Navy Archie Bolgar '19 Megan Schoenzeit '21
Orono High School Orono High School Seamus Hendrickson '21 Jack (Henry) Strommen '21
Scarlet Dominic Serino '19 Harry Hust '20
Providence Academy Providence Academy Connor Shore '22 Amanda Ilhe '18
Mixed Kate Ness '23 Grace Bray '23
Southwest High School Southwest High School Thomas Jagielski '18 Natasha Levy '20
Varsity Remi Clark '20 Helene Schroeder '23
St. Paul Central High School St. Paul Central High School Aidan Boylan '18 Harry Hedges '23
Mixed Leif Saveraid '18 Leo Markus '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Sean Mcaneney '21 Thomas Cline '22
mixed 1 James Jagielski '21 Madeline Netzer '23
Washburn High School Washburn High School Alexandre Cholat '22 William Hawley '21
mixed 2 Connor Malone '23 Liam Black '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Emma Aubuchon '19 Ellen Tovb '19
Navy Maria Pumper '19 Francisca (Fran) Aravena '21

Conditions — 09/09/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1022.8 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From N (11°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1022.8 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata: a typical day (−0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 2 labelled days at Benilde St Margarets/Orono/Providence Academy/Wayzata, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →