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New Orleans Fall Series 3

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 6 6
2 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 11 11
3 Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 17 17
4 Bay Access 2 Bay Access 2 Bay Access 2 28 MRP 28 MRP
5 Bay Access 3 Bay Access 3 Bay Access 3 30 MRP 30 MRP
6 Bay Access 1 Bay Access 1 Bay Access 1 31 MRP 31 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 1 4 1 1 6 Tylar Warren '18
Elsie Leblanc '20
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 2 2 5 4 11 Delaney Ligori '18
Sophie Chevis '21
Ursuline Academy Ursuline Academy Lions 3 6 6 5 17 Cassidy O'Brien '21
Karen Stiegler '21
Bay Access 2 Bay Access 2 Bay Access 2 3 3 2 28 MRP
Bay Access 3 Bay Access 3 Bay Access 3 5 2 3 30 MRP
Bay Access 1 Bay Access 1 Bay Access 1 1 4 6 31 MRP
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Bay Access 1Bay Access 1 Bay Access 1111
Bay Access 2Bay Access 2 Bay Access 2333
Bay Access 3Bay Access 3 Bay Access 3555
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 1222
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 2444
Ursuline AcademyUrsuline Academy Lions 3666

Conditions — 09/29/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1014.7 hPa

Temperature

83°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 90°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From NNE (27°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1014.7 hPa

What this breeze does at Ursuline Academy — from fleet racing

Breeze: NE about 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Ursuline Academy in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ursuline Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 10 labelled days at Ursuline Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →