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North Points 3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 21 9 30
2 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 15 19 34
3 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 10 27 37
4 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 16 22 38
5 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 32 19 51
6 Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 20 35 55
7 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 24 35 59
8 Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 27 33 60
9 Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 32 38 70
10 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 50 22 72
11 John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 37 51 88
12 Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 40 55 95
13 North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 41 55 96
14 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 56 45 101
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 1 2 3 4 10 Garrett Mergenthaler '19 [1-4]
Jenna Stephens '18 [1-2]
Hayden Sidak '21 [3-4]
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 4 6 2 3 15 Adam Larson '19 [1-4]
Margaret Bolt '20 [1-2]
Coco Rudisill '19 [3-4]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 5 9 1 1 16 Joey Chomyn '19
Lewis Bragg '21
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 3 3 7 7 20 Jacob Thompson '18
Chris Hartman '20
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 10 1 8 2 21 Allison Weinbecker '18
Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 7 4 5 8 24 Alex Mazzeo '18
Lauren Angus '20
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 6 5 6 10 27 Alex Graiser '18
Riley Power '18
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 8 10 9 5 32 Sydney Register '18
Addison Terry '19
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 9 8 4 11 32 Cohen Hughes '19
Abby Sides '19
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 11 7 10 9 37 Jacob Usher '21
Cooper Whitehead '18
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 2 11 14 13 40 Julianna Skoglund '19
Pearce Buxton '20
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 12 12 11 6 41 Ethan Staats '20 [1-4]
Nora Rosenfeld '21 [1-2]
Hansen Aluri '22 [3-4]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 13 13 12 12 50 Britton Durst '19
Megan Fetterley '19
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 14 OCS 13 14 56 Sarah Harrington '18
Cassie Brisbin '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 5 1 2 1 9 William Weinbecker '21
Taylor Cox '18
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 1 3 8 7 19 Kenny Corsig '19 [1-4]
Gantt Renner '19 [1-2]
Elinor Kelly '19 [3-4]
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 4 4 5 6 19 Ben Labarca '20
Lauren Creech '19
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 2 DNF 3 2 22 Neil Walters '20
Claire Chomyn '21
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 7 5 1 9 22 Jordan Newland '18 [1-4]
Bobby Baker '18 [1-2]
Camdyn Williams '21 [3-4]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 6 2 9 10 27 Josh Mergenthaler '21 [1-2]
Caden Wilson '20 [3-4]
Hayden Sidak '21 [1-2]
Josh Mergenthaler '21 [3-4]
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Varsity 8 DNF 7 3 33 Sarah Weese '20
Brooke Zell '20
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Wildcats 3 DNF 12 5 35 Tyler Bland '21
Megan Guthrie '18
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 10 DNF 6 4 35 Chris Hoogenboom '18
Sarah Suber '18
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Varsity 11 DNF 4 8 38 Cade Hughes '18
Regina Fusile '18
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 9 DNF 10 11 45 Manning Unger '21 [1-4]
Alex Adragna '18 [1-2]
Caelan Paquette '20 [3-4]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Hoggard 13 DNF 11 12 51 Ella Deschamps '21
Dylan Gooding '20
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Warriors 12 DNF 14 14 55 Leighton Carpenter '20 [1-2]
Graham Lee '20 [3-4]
Viren Aluri '21 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Panthers 14 DNF 13 13 55 Julianna Skoglund '19
Rachel Butz '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A1122
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers353533
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity2244
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny3355
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity4466
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity5577
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard6688
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats771919
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs8899
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors19191010
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity991111
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity10101212
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity111111
WandoWando Wando Warriors12123535

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A353533
Ashley HallAshley Hall Panthers2244
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3355
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny4466
Glynn AcademyGlynn Academy Varsity5577
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity6688
John T. Hoggard High SchoolJohn T. Hoggard High School Hoggard771919
Lake Norman High SchoolLake Norman High School Wildcats8899
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs19191010
North Atlanta High SchoolNorth Atlanta High School Warriors991111
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity10101212
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity111111
Richmond Hill High SchoolRichmond Hill High School Varsity12123535
WandoWando Wando Warriors1122
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Sarah Harrington '18 Cassie Brisbin '20
Raptors A Manning Unger '21 [1-4] Alex Adragna '18 [1-2]
Caelan Paquette '20 [3-4]
Ashley Hall Ashley Hall Julianna Skoglund '19 Pearce Buxton '20
Panthers Julianna Skoglund '19 Rachel Butz '19
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Alex Mazzeo '18 Lauren Angus '20
Varsity Chris Hoogenboom '18 Sarah Suber '18
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Allison Weinbecker '18 Maggie Mclauchlin '21
Bishop Kenny William Weinbecker '21 Taylor Cox '18
Glynn Academy Glynn Academy Alex Graiser '18 Riley Power '18
Varsity Sarah Weese '20 Brooke Zell '20
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Britton Durst '19 Megan Fetterley '19
Varsity Jordan Newland '18 [1-4] Bobby Baker '18 [1-2]
Camdyn Williams '21 [3-4]
John T. Hoggard High School John T. Hoggard High School Jacob Usher '21 Cooper Whitehead '18
Hoggard Ella Deschamps '21 Dylan Gooding '20
Lake Norman High School Lake Norman High School Jacob Thompson '18 Chris Hartman '20
Wildcats Tyler Bland '21 Megan Guthrie '18
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Adam Larson '19 [1-4] Margaret Bolt '20 [1-2]
Coco Rudisill '19 [3-4]
Mustangs Kenny Corsig '19 [1-4] Gantt Renner '19 [1-2]
Elinor Kelly '19 [3-4]
North Atlanta High School North Atlanta High School Ethan Staats '20 [1-4] Nora Rosenfeld '21 [1-2]
Hansen Aluri '22 [3-4]
Warriors Leighton Carpenter '20 [1-2]
Graham Lee '20 [3-4]		 Viren Aluri '21 [1-2]
No Show [3-4]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Garrett Mergenthaler '19 [1-4] Jenna Stephens '18 [1-2]
Hayden Sidak '21 [3-4]
Varsity Josh Mergenthaler '21 [1-2]
Caden Wilson '20 [3-4]		 Hayden Sidak '21 [1-2]
Josh Mergenthaler '21 [3-4]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Joey Chomyn '19 Lewis Bragg '21
Varsity Neil Walters '20 Claire Chomyn '21
Richmond Hill High School Richmond Hill High School Cohen Hughes '19 Abby Sides '19
Varsity Cade Hughes '18 Regina Fusile '18
Wando Wando Sydney Register '18 Addison Terry '19
Wando Warriors Ben Labarca '20 Lauren Creech '19

Conditions — 10/21/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1026.2 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.6 kn
avg  ·  max 3.0 kn
Gusts to 7.4 kn
From ESE (116°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover82% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1026.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · SE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Pine Lake Prep: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.28 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Pine Lake Prep by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Pine Lake Prep, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →