Navigate

Raritan Tuesday Series 10-3-17

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 14 14
2 Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 17 17
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 19 19
4 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 21 21
5 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 22 22
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 24 24
7 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 27 27
8 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 34 34
9 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 36 36
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 39 39
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 40 40
12 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 56 56
13 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 59 59
14 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 59 59
15 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 61 61
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 6 6 1 1 14 Quinn Collins '21
Chris Disibio '21
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates 3 3 2 9 17 No Show
No Show
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 5 4 7 3 19 Kelsey Kennedy '18 [1-4]
Luke Browne '20 [1-3]
Avery Anderson '21 [4]
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 7 5 5 4 21 Kevin Tang '19
Lily Duane '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 10 7 3 2 22 Luke Duplessis '20 [1-4]
Henry Gallagher '20 [1-2]
Zoe Papier '19 [3-4]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 4 8 6 6 24 Patrick Murray '19
Peter Tully '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 9 9 4 5 27 Thomas Marino '21 [1-4]
Katie Caviness '21 [1-2]
Jared Simonetti '21 [3-4]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 1 1 DNS DNS 34 Sean Groskoph '20
Malcolm Harrison '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 2 2 DNS DNS 36 Hannah Mercurio '20 [1-4]
Liz Colao '19 [1-2]
Sophie Lusty '20 [3-4]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 12 12 8 7 39 Veloce Scott '21
Annika Neumann-Loreck '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 13 10 9 8 40 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 [1-4]
Ava May '21 [1-2]
James Mccarron '18 [3-4]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 8 DNF DNS DNS 56 Sophie Lusty '20
Mia Chmelar '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 11 DNF DNS DNS 59 Paul Danenberg '19
Ryan Mayes '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 DNF 11 DNS DNS 59 Jack Quinn '20
Avery Anderson '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 DNF 13 DNS DNS 61 Marshall Hong '21
Ryan Mcwalters '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 13333
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 24444
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 35555
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 46666
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 57777
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 68888
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers1111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 17777
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 28888
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 39999
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 411111111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 513131313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 615151515
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 717171717
Unregistered-MASSAUnregistered-MASSA Pirates2222
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 Paul Danenberg '19 Ryan Mayes '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 Veloce Scott '21 Annika Neumann-Loreck '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 Marshall Hong '21 Ryan Mcwalters '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 [1-4] Ava May '21 [1-2]
James Mccarron '18 [3-4]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 Thomas Marino '21 [1-4] Katie Caviness '21 [1-2]
Jared Simonetti '21 [3-4]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 Luke Duplessis '20 [1-4] Henry Gallagher '20 [1-2]
Zoe Papier '19 [3-4]
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers Kevin Tang '19 Lily Duane '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Hannah Mercurio '20 [1-4] Liz Colao '19 [1-2]
Sophie Lusty '20 [3-4]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Jack Quinn '20 Avery Anderson '21
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Sean Groskoph '20 Malcolm Harrison '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Patrick Murray '19 Peter Tully '21
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 Kelsey Kennedy '18 [1-4] Luke Browne '20 [1-3]
Avery Anderson '21 [4]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 Sophie Lusty '20 Mia Chmelar '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 7 Quinn Collins '21 Chris Disibio '21
Unregistered-MASSA Unregistered-MASSA Pirates No Show No Show

Conditions — 10/03/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1035.9 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From ESE (119°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover55% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1035.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 15 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Summit: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.34 ± 0.31)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →