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Raritan Tuesday Series 10-31-17

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 3 3
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 5 5
3 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 6 6
4 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 8 8
5 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 9 9
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 12 12
7 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 14 14
8 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 15 15
9 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 19 19
10 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 19 19
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 22 22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 2 1 3 Patrick Murray '19 [1-2]
Jack Quinn '20 [1]
Chris Disibio '21 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 1 4 5 Thomas Quinn '18
Kelsey Kennedy '18
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 4 2 6 Kevin Tang '19
No Show
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 3 5 8 Sean Groskoph '20 [1-2]
Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Peter Tully '21 [2]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 6 3 9 Marshall Hong '21
Gavin Mayes '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 5 7 12 Hannah Mercurio '20
Mia Chmelar '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 8 6 14 Sophie Lusty '20
Liz Colao '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 7 8 15 Thomas Marino '21
Stephanie Twentyman '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 9 10 19 Ryan Mayes '19
Paul Danenberg '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 10 9 19 Leo Briant '19
Avery Anderson '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 11 11 22 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Zoe Papier '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (27 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 111
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 244
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 366
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 477
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers99
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 188
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 299
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 31010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 41111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 51313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 61515
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 Thomas Marino '21 Stephanie Twentyman '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 Ryan Mayes '19 Paul Danenberg '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 Marshall Hong '21 Gavin Mayes '18
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 Zoe Papier '19
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers Kevin Tang '19 No Show
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Leo Briant '19 Avery Anderson '21
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Patrick Murray '19 [1-2] Jack Quinn '20 [1]
Chris Disibio '21 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Thomas Quinn '18 Kelsey Kennedy '18
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Sophie Lusty '20 Liz Colao '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 Sean Groskoph '20 [1-2] Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Peter Tully '21 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 Hannah Mercurio '20 Mia Chmelar '19

Conditions — 10/31/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1018.1 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 28.4 kn
From W (263°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover10% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1018.1 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: W about 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →