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VISA Maury Fleet Race JV Regatta

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 7 7
2 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 16 16
3 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 26 26
4 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 37 37
5 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 40 40
6 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 42 42
7 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 43 43
8 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 43 43
9 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 44 44
10 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 48 48
11 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 52 52
12 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 71 71
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 7 Audrey Permenter '23 [1-2]
Rebecca Schill '23 [3-4]
Henry Allgeier '23 [5-6]
Rebecca Schill '23 [1-2]
Audrey Permenter '23 [3-4]
Blake Brown '21 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 1 4 5 2 2 2 16 Henry Allgeier '23 [1-2]
Ali Zaidi '20 [3-4]
Lydia Sweeney '21 [5-6]
Blake Brown '21 [1-2]
Lydia Sweeney '21 [3-4]
Ali Zaidi '20 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 5 2 2 6 6 5 26 Eleanor Patterson '22
Grace Watlington '22
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 7 5 3 5 8 9 37 Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-6]
Ian Howard '23 [1-2]
Chris Howe '25 [3-4]
Cameron Pellie '21 [5-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 8 7 8 3 3 11 40 Davis Mann '23 [1-2, 6]
Susannah Day '22 [3-4]
Chloe Cowan '22 [5]
Connor Mccarty '21 [1-2]
Carrie Landman '21 [3-4]
Davis Mann '23 [5]
Chloe Cowan '22 [6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 3 6 7 9 11 6 42 Jack Butler '23 [1-2]
Carter Lydon '21 [3-6]
Kate Moores '24 [1-2]
Adam Mcaninley '23 [3-4]
Polly Freel '24 [5-6]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 4 10 10 7 4 8 43 Elias Rooker '23
Reilly Warren '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 12 3 6 11 7 4 43 Henry Glover '22 [1-3]
Mary Archer Connors '24 [4]
Brylie Schaubach '22 [5-6]
Christian Callaghan '22 [1-2]
Kiana Beachy '24 [3]
Annie Trapani '24 [4]
Cooper Short '24 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 9 9 4 10 5 7 44 Pate Krieger '22
Langley Amory '22
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 10 12 9 4 10 3 48 Dax Dimuzio '21 [1-2]
Cole Frankenhoff '22 [3-6]
Caden Sutton '21 [1-4]
Dax Dimuzio '21 [5-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 8 11 8 9 10 52 Charlie Li '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Egecan Tezcan '19 [3-4]
Peyton Smith '21 [1-2]
Mary Esten Brown '21 [3-4]
Kennedy Jones '20 [5-6]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 11 11 12 DNF 12 12 71 Zack Bromley '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Gustavo Morales '20 [3-4]
Tyler Kurtz '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Oliver Hudson '20 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders777777
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses888888
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity999999
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators101010101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores111111111111
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints121212121212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1131313131313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2141414141414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks151515151515
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1161616161616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2171717171717
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans181818181818
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders Zack Bromley '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Gustavo Morales '20 [3-4]		 Tyler Kurtz '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Oliver Hudson '20 [3-4]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses Charlie Li '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Egecan Tezcan '19 [3-4]		 Peyton Smith '21 [1-2]
Mary Esten Brown '21 [3-4]
Kennedy Jones '20 [5-6]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity Elias Rooker '23 Reilly Warren '21
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators Dax Dimuzio '21 [1-2]
Cole Frankenhoff '22 [3-6]		 Caden Sutton '21 [1-4]
Dax Dimuzio '21 [5-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores Davis Mann '23 [1-2, 6]
Susannah Day '22 [3-4]
Chloe Cowan '22 [5]		 Connor Mccarty '21 [1-2]
Carrie Landman '21 [3-4]
Davis Mann '23 [5]
Chloe Cowan '22 [6]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints Jack Butler '23 [1-2]
Carter Lydon '21 [3-6]		 Kate Moores '24 [1-2]
Adam Mcaninley '23 [3-4]
Polly Freel '24 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 Audrey Permenter '23 [1-2]
Rebecca Schill '23 [3-4]
Henry Allgeier '23 [5-6]		 Rebecca Schill '23 [1-2]
Audrey Permenter '23 [3-4]
Blake Brown '21 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 Henry Allgeier '23 [1-2]
Ali Zaidi '20 [3-4]
Lydia Sweeney '21 [5-6]		 Blake Brown '21 [1-2]
Lydia Sweeney '21 [3-4]
Ali Zaidi '20 [5-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks Henry Glover '22 [1-3]
Mary Archer Connors '24 [4]
Brylie Schaubach '22 [5-6]		 Christian Callaghan '22 [1-2]
Kiana Beachy '24 [3]
Annie Trapani '24 [4]
Cooper Short '24 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 Eleanor Patterson '22 Grace Watlington '22
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 Pate Krieger '22 Langley Amory '22
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans Katherine Anna Hamner '22 [1-6] Ian Howard '23 [1-2]
Chris Howe '25 [3-4]
Cameron Pellie '21 [5-6]

Conditions — 09/16/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.3 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From NE (50°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover43% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1019.9 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Maury: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maury by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Maury, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →