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2018-19 PCISA SoCal 3 Silver

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 6 27 27
2 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 30 30
3 Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 37 37
4 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 1 43 43
5 Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 44 44
6 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 5 45 45
7 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 3 47 47
8 Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 2 52 52
9 Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 60 60
10 JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 60 60
11 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 7 85 85
12 Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 1 89 89
13 San Clemente High School San Clemente High School Triton 92 92
14 Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 2 93 93
15 Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 1 97 97
16 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2 99 99
17 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 3 100 100
18 Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian Eagle One 106 106
19 Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 1 116 116
20 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 4 118 118
21 JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 119 119
22 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 3 122 122
23 Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 2 127 127
24 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1 128 128
25 Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 1 129 129
26 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 2 132 132
27 Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears 151 151
28 Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 169 169
29 Dana Hills High School Dana Hills High School Dolphins 173 173
30 Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 2 178 178
31 Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 179 179
32 Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 4 188 188
33 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 2 191 191
34 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 3 194 194
35 Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 4 196 196
36 Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 1 199 199
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 6 6 2 2 3 8 6 27 Gabriel Campbell '22 [1-6]
Lindsey Williams '22 [1-3]
Tully Cook '21 [4-6]
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 9 3 10 1 6 1 30 Oakley Cunningham '23
Christopher Zamarripa '21
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs 4 1 3 15 7 7 37 No Show
No Show
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 1 8 7 5 4 10 9 43 Garrett Henderson '23
Shea Mcgrath '23
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers 2 6 9 7 16 4 44 Jackson Hoover '20
No Show
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 5 13 17 4 6 3 2 45 Paulo Campbell '22
Nikolai Halldorson '22
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 3 5 9 1 10 9 13 47 Ku Yoshitomi '19
Alexita Velasco '19
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 2 1 4 DSQ 5 2 3 52 Austin Yang '21
No Show
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado 3 18 16 9 4 10 60 Luke Johnson '23
Katelyn Roberts '20
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 14 23 15 2 1 5 60 Connor Presley '19
Rosa Guo '22
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 7 10 14 11 19 23 8 85 Radha Carollo '20
Barbara Flores Lee '20
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 1 7 11 7 26 22 16 89 Ethan Chuang '22
Pranav Dhinakar '21
San Clemente High School San Clemente High School Triton 11 27 6 14 14 20 92 Emma Feasey '21
No Show
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 2 12 8 17 18 15 23 93 Scotty Hemstreet '23
Patrick Henry '22
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 1 DNF 5 13 8 12 22 97 Troy Davidson '20
Elissa Martinez '19
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2 17 13 24 20 11 14 99 Alex Day '20
Mike Schugar '19
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 3 15 16 21 28 5 15 100 Owen Getz '21
Damian Quintana '23
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian Eagle One 16 10 26 13 17 24 106 Teddy Montag '20
Blake Weeks '20
Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 1 29 19 19 12 25 12 116 Sam Suddath '26 [1-6]
Lauren Fernandez '23 [1-4]
Mia Nadel '22 [5-6]
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 4 18 15 22 17 21 25 118 Jacob Adler '22
Riley Paulson '22
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 23 28 18 16 13 21 119 Jared Schafer '21
Kaiden Martinez '22
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 3 19 12 23 31 19 18 122 Emily Otto '26
Mikk Sanborn '22
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 2 DNF 30 12 11 26 11 127 Diego Lockyer '21
No Show
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1 27 20 8 27 20 26 128 Campbell Biemiller '20
Marcos Altbaum '19
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 1 22 25 14 22 18 28 129 Rj Pollock '22
Cory Cumpson '22
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 2 26 21 20 24 24 17 132 Carson Keyes '21 [1-6]
Tully Cook '21 [1-3]
Theo Fernon '22 [4-6]
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears 25 24 25 21 27 29 151 No Show
Damien Wilder '22
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins 24 29 27 30 32 27 169 No Show
No Show
Dana Hills High School Dana Hills High School Dolphins 20 26 28 25 DNF DNF 173 Coltrane Torres '22
Jonathon Mcgraw '23
Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 2 21 22 29 32 DNF DNF 178 Tessa Greene '22 [1-6]
Mia Nadel '22 [1-2]
Sorelle Sussman '22 [3-6]
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 DNF 34 31 29 29 19 179 Adelaide Hall '23
Conner Gilbert '21
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 4 28 35 33 33 28 31 188 Aadam Awad '22
Alexander Gee '22
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 2 30 31 32 35 33 30 191 Nick Neal '22
Sarah Fischer '21
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 3 31 32 34 34 31 32 194 Ty Haney '22
Marcus Miranda '22
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 4 33 36 30 23 DNF DNF 196 Katherine Shofran '18
No Show
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 1 32 33 35 36 30 33 199 Luca Mangiaracina '22
Austin Pak '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Coronado IslandersCoronado Islanders Nado828282828282
Dana Hills High SchoolDana Hills High School Dolphins230230230230230230
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 1100100100100100100
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 2115115115115115115
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 3116116116116116116
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 4767676767676
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 5737373737373
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 6119119119119119119
Francis Parker SchoolFrancis Parker School Parker 7118118118118118118
Blue and GoldBlue and Gold Varsity 1848484848484
Blue and GoldBlue and Gold Varsity 2868686868686
JSerra Catholic High SchoolJSerra Catholic High School Lions 1122122122122122122
JSerra Catholic High SchoolJSerra Catholic High School Lions 2188188188188188188
Los Alamitos High SchoolLos Alamitos High School Griffins797979797979
Mira Costa High SchoolMira Costa High School Mustangs989898989898
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 1747474747474
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 2757575757575
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 3777777777777
Mission Bay High SchoolMission Bay High School Buccaneer 4787878787878
Port of Los Angeles High SchoolPort of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears909090909090
Palos Verdes Peninsula High SchoolPalos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers919191919191
Redondo Union High SchoolRedondo Union High School Sea Hawks 1979797979797
Redondo Union High SchoolRedondo Union High School Sea Hawks 2858585858585
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning 1969696969696
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning 2959595959595
Sage Hill SchoolSage Hill School Lightning 3949494949494
San Clemente High SchoolSan Clemente High School Triton104104104104104104
Santa Fe ChristianSanta Fe Christian Eagle One114114114114114114
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 1808080808080
Sato Academy of Mathematics and ScienceSato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 2818181818181
Bishop's SchoolBishop's School Knights 1888888888888
Bishop's SchoolBishop's School Knights 2898989898989
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 1838383838383
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 2878787878787
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 3929292929292
Torrey Pines High SchoolTorrey Pines High School Falcons 4999999999999
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 1 Ethan Chuang '22 Pranav Dhinakar '21
Bishop's School Bishop's School Knights 2 Austin Yang '21 No Show
Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 1 Sam Suddath '26 [1-6] Lauren Fernandez '23 [1-4]
Mia Nadel '22 [5-6]
Blue and Gold Blue and Gold Varsity 2 Tessa Greene '22 [1-6] Mia Nadel '22 [1-2]
Sorelle Sussman '22 [3-6]
Coronado Islanders Coronado Islanders Nado Luke Johnson '23 Katelyn Roberts '20
Dana Hills High School Dana Hills High School Dolphins Coltrane Torres '22 Jonathon Mcgraw '23
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 1 Garrett Henderson '23 Shea Mcgrath '23
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 2 Carson Keyes '21 [1-6] Tully Cook '21 [1-3]
Theo Fernon '22 [4-6]
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 3 Emily Otto '26 Mikk Sanborn '22
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 4 Aadam Awad '22 Alexander Gee '22
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 5 Paulo Campbell '22 Nikolai Halldorson '22
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 6 Gabriel Campbell '22 [1-6] Lindsey Williams '22 [1-3]
Tully Cook '21 [4-6]
Francis Parker School Francis Parker School Parker 7 Radha Carollo '20 Barbara Flores Lee '20
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 1 Connor Presley '19 Rosa Guo '22
JSerra Catholic High School JSerra Catholic High School Lions 2 Jared Schafer '21 Kaiden Martinez '22
Los Alamitos High School Los Alamitos High School Griffins No Show No Show
Mira Costa High School Mira Costa High School Mustangs No Show No Show
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1 Oakley Cunningham '23 Christopher Zamarripa '21
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2 Adelaide Hall '23 Conner Gilbert '21
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 3 Owen Getz '21 Damian Quintana '23
Mission Bay High School Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 4 Jacob Adler '22 Riley Paulson '22
Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers Jackson Hoover '20 No Show
Port of Los Angeles High School Port of Los Angeles High School Polar Bears No Show Damien Wilder '22
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 1 Rj Pollock '22 Cory Cumpson '22
Redondo Union High School Redondo Union High School Sea Hawks 2 Scotty Hemstreet '23 Patrick Henry '22
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 1 Luca Mangiaracina '22 Austin Pak '22
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 2 Nick Neal '22 Sarah Fischer '21
Sage Hill School Sage Hill School Lightning 3 Ty Haney '22 Marcus Miranda '22
San Clemente High School San Clemente High School Triton Emma Feasey '21 No Show
Santa Fe Christian Santa Fe Christian Eagle One Teddy Montag '20 Blake Weeks '20
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 1 Troy Davidson '20 Elissa Martinez '19
Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon 2 Diego Lockyer '21 No Show
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 1 Campbell Biemiller '20 Marcos Altbaum '19
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 2 Alex Day '20 Mike Schugar '19
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 3 Ku Yoshitomi '19 Alexita Velasco '19
Torrey Pines High School Torrey Pines High School Falcons 4 Katherine Shofran '18 No Show

Conditions — 12/09/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1023.0 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 7.5 kn
Gusts to 14.0 kn
From NNW (346°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover53% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1023.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mission Bay High School: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.37 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mission Bay High School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Mission Bay High School: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →