2018 Norcal 3 Gold

HostEncinal Yacht Club
Date11/03/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#	School	Team	A	TOT
1	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	18	18
2	Miramonte High School	Matadors 2	28	28
3	Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	33	33
4	Soquel High School	Knights	47	47
5	Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	47	47
6	Marin Academy	Wildcats	60	60
7	Miramonte High School	Matadors 1	61	61
8	Acalanes High School	Dons	63	63
9	Alameda High School	Hornets 1	65	65
10	Redwood High School	Giants	67	67
11	Amador Valley	Dons	75	75
12	Design Tech High School	d.tech	90	90
13	St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	99	99
14	San Francisco University High School	San Francisco	100	100
15	College Park High School	Falcons	111	111
16	Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	114	114
17	Monte Vista High School	Mustangs	115	115
18	Stevenson School	Pirates 1	116	116
19	Alameda High School	Hornets 2	128	128
20	Wildcats	Wildcats	132 MRP	132 MRP
21	Los Altos High	Eagles	135	135
22	Stevenson School	Pirates 2	144	144
23	Head Royce	Jayhawks	159	159
24	Athenian	Owls 2	159	159
25	Harbor High School	Pirates	165	165
26	Campolindo High School	Cougars	177	177
27	Aptos High School	Mariners	177	177
28	Galileo High School	Galileo	193	193
29	Athenian	Owls 1	206	206
30	Encinal High School	Jets	207	207

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	2	6	3	1	3	2	1	18	Justin Lim '19 [1-7] Arianna Smith '21 [1-2, 5-7] Sophie Vinson '23 [3-4]
Miramonte High School	Matadors 2	4	1	5	5	1	4	8	28	Daniel Erisman '19 Paulo Parramon '21
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	1	2	7	7	11	3	2	33	Mason Stang '21 Anthony Newman '21
Soquel High School	Knights	7	5	10	6	4	6	9	47	Kyra Phelan '22 Serena Crane '22
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	15	7	1	2	10	9	3	47	James Scherr '20 Ben Wheeler '20
Marin Academy	Wildcats	3	4	17	3	8	19	6	60	Jack Mcdonnell '21 Preston Downs '21
Miramonte High School	Matadors 1	14	3	2	15	5	17	5	61	Thomas Erisman '19 Alec Niehaus '20
Acalanes High School	Dons	8	12	11	8	7	10	7	63	Chase Englehart '22 Lola Rao '20
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	6	10	8	10	6	12	13	65	Scarlett Dawson '22 [1-7] Dylan Wondolleck '23 [1-4] Liam Orozco '19 [5-7]
Redwood High School	Giants	9	13	13	11	2	5	14	67	Hailey Thompson '23 Katherine Norris '22
Amador Valley	Dons	10	16	6	17	13	1	12	75	Christopher Hopkins '21 [1-7] Maks Shikhaleev '22 [1-2, 5-7] Alec Smith '23 [3-4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech	19	8	22	14	16	7	4	90	Josh Goldberg '21 [1-7] John Loren Chapman '22 [1-2, 5-7] Tj Gee '23 [3-4]
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	20	15	16	4	12	16	16	99	Paul Ikeda '20 William Plam '20
San Francisco University High School	San Francisco	12	11	19	20	20	8	10	100	Micherice Tao '19 Janavi Padala '21
College Park High School	Falcons	17	14	4	21	18	22	15	111	Nate Holden '21 [1-7] Mia Yang '21 [1-2] Brooks Knuckles '23 [3-4] Annika Altman '22 [5-7]
Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	11	18	27	12	9	20	17	114	Max-Emilien Kluiwstra-Descalle '21 [1-7] Max Laubstein '21 [1-2] Alex Beckner '20 [3-7]
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs	13	9	14	22	21	18	18	115	Robert Laskarzewski '21 Joshua Benveniste '22
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	21	20	21	13	17	13	11	116	Taylor Lee '19 Schuyler Jones '21
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	16	21	20	9	14	27	21	128	Sean Tolen '21 [1-7] Gemma Hanson '20 [1-2, 5] Cooper Butler-Brown '21 [3-4, 6-7]
Wildcats	Wildcats	5	17	12	16	15	23	24	132 MRP
Los Altos High	Eagles	24	19	18	19	19	11	25	135	Alec Van Kerckhove '17 Ares Terzis '17
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	25	24	15	24	22	14	20	144	Gage Bradford '20 Cathy Kim '20
Head Royce	Jayhawks	18	22	24	18	24	26	27	159	Leslie Kwok '22 [1-7] Ellery Island '19 [1-3] Josephine Kovecses '21 [4-7]
Athenian	Owls 2	27	26	9	23	23	25	26	159	Annie Chan '21 [1-7] Ethan Arnold '22 [1-4] James Mcgaughey '22 [5-7]
Harbor High School	Pirates	23	28	25	27	25	15	22	165	Chloe Long '19 Geza Bateman '21
Campolindo High School	Cougars	26	25	30	30	26	21	19	177	Ronald Hohnsbeen '21 [1-4] Morgan Giovinazzi '22 [5-7] Shantel Bonet '21 [1-4]
Aptos High School	Mariners	28	23	23	25	DNF	24	23	177	Sam Bach '19 Ximena Greatorex '21
Galileo High School	Galileo	22	27	26	26	DNF	30	DNF	193	Finnagh Hanrahan '20 Enya Hanrahan '22
Athenian	Owls 1	30	29	28	28	DNF	29	DNF	206	Suzie Myles '21 [1-7] Leo Marek '22 [1-6] Dylan Wong '20 [7]
Encinal High School	Jets	29	30	29	29	DNF	28	DNF	207	Jonathan Amaden '23 Zane Bohne '20

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.170+0.17

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Acalanes High School Dons	58	58	58	58	58	58	58
Alameda High School Hornets 1	43	43	43	43	43	43	43
Alameda High School Hornets 2	57	57	57	57	57	57	57
Amador Valley Dons	41	41	41	41	41	41	41
Aptos High School Mariners	101	101	101	101	101	101	101
Bishop O'Dowd High School Varsity	49	49	49	49	49	49	49
Campolindo High School Cougars	44	44	44	44	44	44	44
College Park High School Falcons	45	45	45	45	45	45	45
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 1	39	39	39	39	39	39	39
Crystal Springs Uplands School Griffins 2	40	40	40	40	40	40	40
Design Tech High School d.tech	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
Encinal High School Jets	50	50	50	50	50	50	50
Galileo High School Galileo	583	583	583	583	583	583	583
Harbor High School Pirates	109	109	109	109	109	109	109
Head Royce Jayhawks	56	56	56	56	56	56	56
Lick-Wilmerding High School Tigers	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
Los Altos High Eagles	38	38	38	38	38	38	38
Marin Academy Wildcats	18	18	18	18	18	18	18
Wildcats Wildcats	15	15	15	15	15	15	15
Miramonte High School Matadors 1	46	46	46	46	46	46	46
Miramonte High School Matadors 2	47	47	47	47	47	47	47
Monte Vista High School Mustangs	54	54	54	54	54	54	54
Redwood High School Giants	122	122	122	122	122	122	122
San Francisco University High School San Francisco	2	2	2	2	2	2	2
Soquel High School Knights	108	108	108	108	108	108	108
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco Wildcats	4	4	4	4	4	4	4
Stevenson School Pirates 1	99	99	99	99	99	99	99
Stevenson School Pirates 2	97	97	97	97	97	97	97
Athenian Owls 1	42	42	42	42	42	42	42
Athenian Owls 2	51	51	51	51	51	51	51

School	Team	Skipper	Crew
Acalanes High School	Dons	Chase Englehart '22	Lola Rao '20
Alameda High School	Hornets 1	Scarlett Dawson '22 [1-7]	Dylan Wondolleck '23 [1-4] Liam Orozco '19 [5-7]
Alameda High School	Hornets 2	Sean Tolen '21 [1-7]	Gemma Hanson '20 [1-2, 5] Cooper Butler-Brown '21 [3-4, 6-7]
Amador Valley	Dons	Christopher Hopkins '21 [1-7]	Maks Shikhaleev '22 [1-2, 5-7] Alec Smith '23 [3-4]
Aptos High School	Mariners	Sam Bach '19	Ximena Greatorex '21
Athenian	Owls 1	Suzie Myles '21 [1-7]	Leo Marek '22 [1-6] Dylan Wong '20 [7]
Athenian	Owls 2	Annie Chan '21 [1-7]	Ethan Arnold '22 [1-4] James Mcgaughey '22 [5-7]
Bishop O'Dowd High School	Varsity	Max-Emilien Kluiwstra-Descalle '21 [1-7]	Max Laubstein '21 [1-2] Alex Beckner '20 [3-7]
Campolindo High School	Cougars	Ronald Hohnsbeen '21 [1-4] Morgan Giovinazzi '22 [5-7]	Shantel Bonet '21 [1-4]
College Park High School	Falcons	Nate Holden '21 [1-7]	Mia Yang '21 [1-2] Brooks Knuckles '23 [3-4] Annika Altman '22 [5-7]
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 1	Mason Stang '21	Anthony Newman '21
Crystal Springs Uplands School	Griffins 2	Justin Lim '19 [1-7]	Arianna Smith '21 [1-2, 5-7] Sophie Vinson '23 [3-4]
Design Tech High School	d.tech	Josh Goldberg '21 [1-7]	John Loren Chapman '22 [1-2, 5-7] Tj Gee '23 [3-4]
Encinal High School	Jets	Jonathan Amaden '23	Zane Bohne '20
Galileo High School	Galileo	Finnagh Hanrahan '20	Enya Hanrahan '22
Harbor High School	Pirates	Chloe Long '19	Geza Bateman '21
Head Royce	Jayhawks	Leslie Kwok '22 [1-7]	Ellery Island '19 [1-3] Josephine Kovecses '21 [4-7]
Lick-Wilmerding High School	Tigers	James Scherr '20	Ben Wheeler '20
Los Altos High	Eagles	Alec Van Kerckhove '17	Ares Terzis '17
Marin Academy	Wildcats	Jack Mcdonnell '21	Preston Downs '21
Miramonte High School	Matadors 1	Thomas Erisman '19	Alec Niehaus '20
Miramonte High School	Matadors 2	Daniel Erisman '19	Paulo Parramon '21
Monte Vista High School	Mustangs	Robert Laskarzewski '21	Joshua Benveniste '22
Redwood High School	Giants	Hailey Thompson '23	Katherine Norris '22
San Francisco University High School	San Francisco	Micherice Tao '19	Janavi Padala '21
Soquel High School	Knights	Kyra Phelan '22	Serena Crane '22
St. Ignatius College Prep - San Francisco	Wildcats	Paul Ikeda '20	William Plam '20
Stevenson School	Pirates 1	Taylor Lee '19	Schuyler Jones '21
Stevenson School	Pirates 2	Gage Bradford '20	Cathy Kim '20

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2018 Norcal 3 Gold

Division A

From the notes