2019-18 PCISA SoCal 1 Gold

HostFrancis Parker
Date09/15/2018
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring1 Division

#		School	Team	A	TOT
1		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	18	18
2		Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	22	22
3		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	42	42
4		The Bishop's School	Knights	45	45
5		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	48	48
6		Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	49	49
7		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	52	52
8		Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	55	55
9		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	71	71
10		Coronado Islanders	Nado 2	72	72
11		Coronado Islanders	Nado 1	73	73
12		Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	81	81
13		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	90	90
14		Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	90	90
15		South Torrance High School	Spartans	91	91
16		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	92	92
17		Parker	Parker	95	95
18		Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 3	95	95
19		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	109	109
20		Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	111	111
21		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 1	115	115
22		Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	122	122
23		Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	125	125
24		Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	128	128
25		Coronado Islanders	Nado 3	144	144
26		Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons 2	152	152
27		California Academy of Mathematics and Science	California Academy o	152	152
28		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 3	155	155
29		Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons 1	157	157
30		Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 2	171	171
31		Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	176	176
32		Dana Hills High School	Dolphins	178	178
33	$Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon	191	191

	School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	5	2	1	7	2	1	18	Arianna Forelli '19 Emily O'Connell '20
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	3	1	7	4	5	2	22	Peter Busch '22 Max Magnus '19
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	1	6	3	5	1	26	42	Marlo Bozza '21 Brooke Bertrand '21
	The Bishop's School	Knights	4	3	4	16	14	4	45	Kelly Holthus '23 Alex Yang '22
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	6	5	6	8	11	12	48	Ian Wells '20 Jack Blackman '20
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	16	8	2	2	13	8	49	Asher Green '20 Jillian Marquez '21
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	8	13	17	3	4	7	52	Madison Bashaw '20 Lauren Simpson '21
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	2	4	16	14	9	10	55	Timmy Fraher '20 Neal "Alec" Johnson '19
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	28	9	10	11	8	5	71	Vivian Bonsager '21 David Garcia '21
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 2	10	11	22	9	17	3	72	Trey Summers '20 Jett Jennings '21
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 1	11	10	12	23	3	14	73	Conner Mccrillis '20 Sophia Shaeffer '21
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	12	28	8	10	12	11	81	Daren Sathasivam '21 Justin Chrien '22
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	9	23	19	6	10	23	90	Jack Roman '22 Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '22
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	15	15	20	1	21	18	90	Cole Tillson '22 Julius Gonzales '21
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	14	16	5	DSQ	16	6	91	Emma Tallman '21 Peyton Lieser '22
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	7	7	23	19	20	16	92	Davis Winsor '20 Ryan Potter '20
	Parker	Parker	18	14	26	13	15	9	95	Mackenzie Harris '22 Radha Carollo '20
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 3	20	18	13	18	7	19	95	Samuel Bigelow '19 Teresa Dang '20
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	22	25	18	21	6	17	109	Michael Gaffney '21 Shea Weston '22
	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	17	21	9	17	23	24	111	Tristan Feves '22 Kayla Maguire '21
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 1	21	22	11	20	28	13	115	Marleigh Henehan '21 Adelaide Cunningham '20
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	29	12	25	12	22	22	122	Dutch Dietrick '20 Sofia Kristiansen '19
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	24	17	14	25	24	21	125	Andrew Ingham '21 Nolan Schupak '21
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	31	27	15	22	18	15	128	Maxwell Kleha '21 Sophia Burton '20
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 3	30	20	28	15	19	32	144	Stella Taherian '23 Austin Miller '23
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons 2	19	26	21	31	27	28	152	Alex Woodmansee '20 Paige Drew '21
	California Academy of Mathematics and Science	California Academy o	25	24	24	28	26	25	152	Zoe Storaasli '17 Zoe Storaasli '17
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 3	26	19	27	27	25	31	155	Brian Fitzsimmons '20 Damian Quintana '22
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons 1	13	30	32	30	32	20	157	Jacob Titcomb '21 Claire Backer '21
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 2	32	29	30	24	29	27	171	Oakley Cunningham '23 Mckenzie Neuman '21
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	23	32	31	29	31	30	176	Lawrence Braslow '20 No Show
	Dana Hills High School	Dolphins	33	31	29	26	30	29	178	Carsen Lenthall '20 Riley Lenthall '22
$Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon	27	33	33	32	33	33	191	Troy Davidson '20 No Show

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.150+0.15

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

	Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
	California Academy of Mathematics and Science California Academy o	17	17	17	17	17	17
	Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 1	1	1	1	1	1	1
	Cathedral Catholic High School Dons 2	73	73	73	73	73	73
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 1	4	4	4	4	4	4
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 2	3	3	3	3	3	3
	Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings 3	8	8	8	8	8	8
	Coronado Islanders Nado 1	76	76	76	76	76	76
	Coronado Islanders Nado 2	18	18	18	18	18	18
	Coronado Islanders Nado 3	78	78	78	78	78	78
	Dana Hills High School Dolphins	100	100	100	100	100	100
	Ernest J. McBride Wolfpack	13	13	13	13	13	13
	Parker Parker	5	5	5	5	5	5
	Mater Dei High School Monarchs 1	21	21	21	21	21	21
	Mater Dei High School Monarchs 2	22	22	22	22	22	22
	Mater Dei High School Monarchs 3	20	20	20	20	20	20
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 1	35	35	35	35	35	35
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 2	55	55	55	55	55	55
	Mission Bay High School Buccaneer 3	57	57	57	57	57	57
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors 1	27	27	27	27	27	27
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors 2	30	30	30	30	30	30
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors 3	132	132	132	132	132	132
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors 4	32	32	32	32	32	32
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors 5	34	34	34	34	34	34
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors 6	33	33	33	33	33	33
	Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7	31	31	31	31	31	31
	Point Loma High School Pointers 1	12	12	12	12	12	12
	Point Loma High School Pointers 2	11	11	11	11	11	11
	Point Loma High School Pointers 3	10	10	10	10	10	10
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School Panthers	15	15	15	15	15	15
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools Huskies	19	19	19	19	19	19
$Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science Ryūj Dragon	45	45	45	45	45	45
	South Torrance High School Spartans	14	14	14	14	14	14
	The Bishop's School Knights	7	7	7	7	7	7

	School	Team	Skipper	Crew
	California Academy of Mathematics and Science	California Academy o	Zoe Storaasli '17	Zoe Storaasli '17
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons 1	Jacob Titcomb '21	Claire Backer '21
	Cathedral Catholic High School	Dons 2	Alex Woodmansee '20	Paige Drew '21
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 1	Marlo Bozza '21	Brooke Bertrand '21
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 2	Arianna Forelli '19	Emily O'Connell '20
	Corona del Mar High School	Sea Kings 3	Asher Green '20	Jillian Marquez '21
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 1	Conner Mccrillis '20	Sophia Shaeffer '21
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 2	Trey Summers '20	Jett Jennings '21
	Coronado Islanders	Nado 3	Stella Taherian '23	Austin Miller '23
	Dana Hills High School	Dolphins	Carsen Lenthall '20	Riley Lenthall '22
	Ernest J. McBride	Wolfpack	Tristan Feves '22	Kayla Maguire '21
$Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science$	Long Beach Sato Academy of Mathematics and Science	Ryūj Dragon	Troy Davidson '20	No Show
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 1	Maxwell Kleha '21	Sophia Burton '20
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 2	Dutch Dietrick '20	Sofia Kristiansen '19
	Mater Dei High School	Monarchs 3	Samuel Bigelow '19	Teresa Dang '20
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 1	Marleigh Henehan '21	Adelaide Cunningham '20
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 2	Oakley Cunningham '23	Mckenzie Neuman '21
	Mission Bay High School	Buccaneer 3	Brian Fitzsimmons '20	Damian Quintana '22
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 1	Madison Bashaw '20	Lauren Simpson '21
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 2	Vivian Bonsager '21	David Garcia '21
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 3	Davis Winsor '20	Ryan Potter '20
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 4	Ian Wells '20	Jack Blackman '20
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 5	Andrew Ingham '21	Nolan Schupak '21
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 6	Michael Gaffney '21	Shea Weston '22
	Newport Harbor High School	Sailors 7	Jack Roman '22	Quinn Gladstone-Lamas '22
	Palos Verdes Peninsula High School	Panthers	Daren Sathasivam '21	Justin Chrien '22
	Parker	Parker	Mackenzie Harris '22	Radha Carollo '20
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 1	Cole Tillson '22	Julius Gonzales '21
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 2	Timmy Fraher '20	Neal "Alec" Johnson '19
	Point Loma High School	Pointers 3	Peter Busch '22	Max Magnus '19
	Rolling Hills Prep and Renaissance Schools	Huskies	Lawrence Braslow '20	No Show
	South Torrance High School	Spartans	Emma Tallman '21	Peyton Lieser '22
	The Bishop's School	Knights	Kelly Holthus '23	Alex Yang '22

Conditions — 09/15/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 59% · Pressure 1010.2 hPa

Temperature

75°F

↑ 79°F ↓ 67°F

Feels like 75°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

7.4 kn

avg · max 10.9 kn

Gusts to 20.4 kn

From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1010.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at Francis Parker: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05

Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Francis Parker by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Francis Parker, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu