Boats n' Bingo Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Mixed 6 6 12
2 Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 8 8 16
3 Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 12 16 28
4 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 19 15 34
5 Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 26 15 41
6 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 17 28 45
7 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 24 25 49
8 Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 32 31 63
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Mixed 1 1 2 2 6 Reed Weston '19 [1-4]
Bailey Lira '20 [1-2]
Talia Sheehan '22 [3-4]
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 2 2 3 1 8 Lexi Chigas '22
Kate Naughton '20
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 4 3 1 4 12 Jack Ruder '19
Harper Williams '20
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 5 4 5 3 17 Keg Avakian '22
Justin Squire '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 3 5 4 7 19 Mary Castellini '21
Saskia Teterycz '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 6 7 6 5 24 Zara Baig '25
Bryan Pan '23
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 7 6 7 6 26 Jackie Aparicio '20
Alejandra Garcia '20
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 8 8 8 8 32 Ireland Laverty '23
Deborah Silverstein '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Oshkosh North High School Oshkosh North High School Mixed 1 2 2 1 6 Eddie Hanson '19
Maria Castle '24
Loyola Academy Loyola Academy Ramblers 3 1 1 3 8 Bridget Falkenhayn '19
Angelina Simon '20
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 4 4 3 4 15 Toby Riecke '21
Miles Ford '19
Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Hyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity 5 3 5 2 15 Richard Sanisaca '20
Sebastian Martinez '20
Beacon Academy Beacon Academy Wolves 2 5 4 5 16 Poppie Gelman '22
Daren Nerad '20
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 6 6 7 6 25 Ava Deakin '23
Adler Wright '22
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 7 7 6 8 28 Attilio Levato '20
Will Stamatakos '20
Whitney Young Whitney Young Dolphins 8 8 8 7 31 Neil Rockey '22
Rossignel Wolfe '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves1133
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons8811
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits2244
Hyman G. Rickover Naval AcademyHyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity3355
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers4477
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions5588
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Mixed7799
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins9922

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Beacon AcademyBeacon Academy Wolves2244
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons9922
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits3355
Hyman G. Rickover Naval AcademyHyman G. Rickover Naval Academy Varsity4477
Loyola AcademyLoyola Academy Ramblers5588
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions7799
Oshkosh North High SchoolOshkosh North High School Mixed8811
Whitney YoungWhitney Young Dolphins1133

Conditions — 10/21/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 38%  ·  Pressure 1022.9 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.2 kn
avg  ·  max 11.3 kn
Gusts to 23.5 kn
From N (8°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity38% Pressure1022.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Columbia Sailing School: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.50 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Columbia Sailing School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Columbia Sailing School, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →