Caper Classic

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 12 23 35
2 Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 12 31 43
3 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 23 38 61
4 Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 56 14 70
5 Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 46 27 73
6 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 35 38 73
7 Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 41 41 82
8 Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 37 46 83
9 Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 47 43 90
10 Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 46 45 91
11 Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 46 63 109
12 Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 67 59 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 1 4 1 1 1 4 12 Hamilton Barclay '22
Ella Beauregard '21
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 2 1 3 2 3 1 12 Patrick Miller '19
Zac Wellins '19
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 4 3 5 6 2 3 23 Catherine Morrissette '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Aurora Raber '24 [3-4]
Aurora Raber '24 [1-2]
Catherine Morrissette '20 [3-4]
Sydney Young '24 [5-6]
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 8 5 6 4 6 6 35 Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19
Simon Algara '22
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 3 2 4 5 11 12 37 George Holt '19
Eleonore Gras '20
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 9 9 2 3 9 9 41 Alden Coldrock '20
Juli Ennis '19
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 5 7 8 11 5 10 46 Adam Wendell-Pearson '20
Valyn Mogensen '22
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 6 10 7 8 10 5 46 Oliver Peloquin '21
Quin O'Meara '22
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 10 6 9 10 4 7 46 Emma Hawko '19
Loa Peary '22
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 7 8 10 7 7 8 47 Alec Bodenski '19
Marcus Wagner '22
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 12 11 11 12 8 2 56 Alex Drago '19
Hatch Clay '20
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 11 12 12 9 12 11 67 John Walhig '20 [1-4]
Giovanni Ciraulo '21 [5-6]
Giovanni Ciraulo '21 [1-2]
Sarah Kelly '21 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Varsity 3 2 1 3 2 3 14 William Keat '20
Hom Camden '22
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 1 4 5 4 5 3 2 23 Aidan Brown '20
Elliot Brown '22
Portland High School Portland High School Bulldogs 8 1 6 1 6 5 27 Beo Endicott '22
Fox Fernald '22
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold 1 8 2 7 1 12 31 Alton Coolidge '22 [1-6]
Toby Clarkson '22 [1-4]
Bobby Clarkson '22 [5-6]
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 1 5 4 8 10 10 1 38 James Leavitt '22 [1-6]
Brynne Mittleider '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Isabelle Gale '20 [3-4]
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 1 6 11 5 8 4 4 38 Ashley Arruda '19
Nicolas Paulo '21
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Southern Maine 2 3 11 9 9 7 41 Charlie Metcalfe '19
Harrison Fream '21
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Capers 2 7 6 10 4 8 8 43 Jasper Fontana '21
Brad Bodenski '21
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Clippers 2 9 10 3 12 5 6 45 Tia Soultanakis '22
Mackenzie Peloquin '19
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine Rangers 10 7 7 2 11 9 46 Ethan Adshead '21
Hanna Johnston '21
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 2 12 9 9 6 12 11 59 Isabelle Gale '20 [1-4]
Aurora Raber '24 [5-6]
Sydney Young '24 [1-4]
Isabelle Gale '20 [5-6]
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Varsity 11 12 12 11 7 10 63 Ulrick Meyer '21
Reid Galvin '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold113355
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 1224466
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 2335577
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Varsity446688
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity557799
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 166881010
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 277991111
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers8810101212
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs99111111
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine1010121222
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 111111133
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 212122244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boothbay RHSBoothbay RHS SeaHawks Gold224466
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 1335577
Cape Elizabeth High SchoolCape Elizabeth High School Capers 2446688
Champlain VUHSChamplain VUHS Varsity557799
Cheverus High SchoolCheverus High School Varsity66881010
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 177991111
Falmouth High School, MEFalmouth High School, ME Yachtsmen 28810101212
Greely High School - MaineGreely High School - Maine Rangers99111111
Portland High SchoolPortland High School Bulldogs1010121222
Unregistered-NESSAUnregistered-NESSA Southern Maine11111133
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 112122244
Yarmouth High SchoolYarmouth High School Clippers 2113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boothbay RHS Boothbay RHS Hamilton Barclay '22 Ella Beauregard '21
SeaHawks Gold Alton Coolidge '22 [1-6] Toby Clarkson '22 [1-4]
Bobby Clarkson '22 [5-6]
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Patrick Miller '19 Zac Wellins '19
Capers 1 Aidan Brown '20 Elliot Brown '22
Cape Elizabeth High School Cape Elizabeth High School Alec Bodenski '19 Marcus Wagner '22
Capers 2 Jasper Fontana '21 Brad Bodenski '21
Champlain VUHS Champlain VUHS Emma Hawko '19 Loa Peary '22
Varsity Ulrick Meyer '21 Reid Galvin '22
Cheverus High School Cheverus High School Alex Drago '19 Hatch Clay '20
Varsity William Keat '20 Hom Camden '22
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME Catherine Morrissette '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Aurora Raber '24 [3-4]
Aurora Raber '24 [1-2]
Catherine Morrissette '20 [3-4]
Sydney Young '24 [5-6]
Yachtsmen 1 James Leavitt '22 [1-6] Brynne Mittleider '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Isabelle Gale '20 [3-4]
Falmouth High School, ME Falmouth High School, ME John Walhig '20 [1-4]
Giovanni Ciraulo '21 [5-6]
Giovanni Ciraulo '21 [1-2]
Sarah Kelly '21 [3-6]
Yachtsmen 2 Isabelle Gale '20 [1-4]
Aurora Raber '24 [5-6]
Sydney Young '24 [1-4]
Isabelle Gale '20 [5-6]
Greely High School - Maine Greely High School - Maine George Holt '19 Eleonore Gras '20
Rangers Ethan Adshead '21 Hanna Johnston '21
Portland High School Portland High School Adam Wendell-Pearson '20 Valyn Mogensen '22
Bulldogs Beo Endicott '22 Fox Fernald '22
Unregistered-NESSA Unregistered-NESSA Alden Coldrock '20 Juli Ennis '19
Southern Maine Charlie Metcalfe '19 Harrison Fream '21
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Abby Vanlonkhuyzen '19 Simon Algara '22
Clippers 1 Ashley Arruda '19 Nicolas Paulo '21
Yarmouth High School Yarmouth High School Oliver Peloquin '21 Quin O'Meara '22
Clippers 2 Tia Soultanakis '22 Mackenzie Peloquin '19

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1008.6 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 51°F   ↓ 47°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From W (264°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine1.9 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1008.6 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Cape Elizabeth: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Cape Elizabeth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Cape Elizabeth, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →