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College of Charleston Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 52 49 101
2 Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 60 60 120
3 Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 50 78 128
4 Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 84 55 139
5 Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 118 120 238
6 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 158 101 259
7 Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 130 137 267
8 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 136 145 281
9 Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 149 161 310
10 Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 203 116 319
11 Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 155 175 330
12 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 146 189 335
13 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 134 202 336
14 Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 167 251 418
15 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 223 212 435
16 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 221 233 454
17 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 278 232 510
18 Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 276 279 555
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 1 1 1 9 7 3 2 1 2 4 1 7 1 5 1 4 50 Teddy Nicolosi '19
Victoria Flatley '20
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 2 4 2 4 4 3 2 1 2 6 9 2 6 2 1 52 Liam O'Keefe '21
Lucas Vianna '21
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 3 4 2 1 2 1 1 3 3 7 12 3 4 4 8 2 60 Taylor Hasson '19
Lucy Klempen '20
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 9 8 3 6 5 2 4 6 4 6 3 1 12 1 5 9 84 Adam Larson '19
Noah Carroll '19
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 6 12 6 3 3 9 6 13 5 11 8 6 10 8 7 5 118 Nick Budington '21
Liam Gronda '21
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 4 14 5 8 9 5 12 5 14 10 9 10 5 3 9 8 130 Garrett Mergenthaler '19
Alli Volk '21
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 7 9 7 13 1 10 11 14 7 8 10 4 9 2 15 7 134 Zack Carvajal '22
Lauren Creech '19
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 14 7 11 5 13 6 5 10 11 9 7 12 7 9 4 6 136 Marleigh Belsley '19
James Nappo '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 11 15 15 14 15 11 10 4 6 1 2 5 8 10 6 13 146 Owen Patterson '19
Asha Baddi '20
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 5 3 8 12 6 8 DNS 7 8 14 4 11 6 16 11 11 149 William Weinbecker '21 [1-16]
Maggie Mclauchlin '21 [1-14]
Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [15-16]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 10 16 14 4 11 16 7 11 9 3 11 2 11 13 14 3 155 Peter Lobaugh '20
Spencer Guas '22
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 12 10 10 10 10 7 9 9 10 12 13 13 3 15 3 12 158 Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-16]
Michael Morley '22 [1-4, 11-16]
Daniel Neville '21 [5-10]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 8 6 9 15 8 12 8 12 12 5 5 15 15 12 10 15 167 Neil Walters '20 [1-16]
Connor Marion '20 [1-6]
King Bland '19 [7-16]
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 13 11 13 11 14 13 14 15 16 15 14 8 13 7 12 14 203 Ian Hoogenboom '20 [1-16]
Abbie Pollitzer '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Brock Blonski '22 [5-8]
Edmund Mccalister '20 [11-16]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 15 13 12 16 16 14 15 8 13 13 15 14 14 14 13 16 221 Griffin Pollis '19 [1-16]
Katelyn Herter '20 [1-4, 7-16]
Ryan Ince '21 [5-6]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 16 5 16 7 17 15 13 16 15 16 16 16 16 11 18 10 223 Megan Fetterley '19 [1-12]
Britton Durst '19 [13]
Carson Shaw '22 [14-16]
Andrew Shook '19 [1-2]
William Rawlings '22 [3-4]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [5-6]
Carson Shaw '22 [7-10, 13]
Britton Durst '19 [11-12, 14]
John Rismani '20 [15-16]
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 17 18 17 18 12 17 17 18 18 17 17 18 18 18 17 DNF 276 Erin O'Connor '20 [1-10, 15-16]
James O'Connor '20 [11-14]
Nicole Boyd '20 [1-14]
James O'Connor '20 [15-16]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 18 17 18 17 18 18 16 17 17 18 18 17 17 17 16 DNF 278 Mason Leath '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Clay Hershey '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Caelan Paquette '20 [11-16]
Clay Hershey '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Macon Bauknight '21 [3-4]
Mason Leath '20 [7-8]
Sara Beall '22 [11-12]
Carrie Metts '19 [13-16]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 2 1 1 1 3 17 3 2 5 2 3 1 3 2 2 1 49 Stephan Baker '22 [1-16]
Gabriel Vianna '21 [1-10, 15-16]
Michael Macrae '19 [11-14]
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Mustangs 3 2 3 3 6 1 4 3 1 5 4 2 4 3 4 7 55 Kenny Corsig '19
Laura Johnston '21
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Panthers 1 6 4 6 1 2 2 1 4 10 1 5 1 1 13 2 60 Rider Odom '19
Luca Gruber '21
Antilles School Antilles School Hurricanes 4 3 6 2 2 3 1 4 3 1 13 10 5 10 3 8 78 Christopher Sharpless '19
Gillian Perrell '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 7 12 2 4 8 7 5 5 12 3 2 3 7 4 1 DNF 101 Garrett Dixon '21
Kaitlyn Hamilton '22
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Varsity 6 4 8 7 11 4 6 8 7 12 9 8 8 7 6 5 116 Clay Myers '21 [1-16]
Thomas Gnann '20 [1-10]
Abbie Pollitzer '21 [11-16]
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron 9 9 7 9 5 5 9 10 10 11 7 6 2 6 11 4 120 Matt Budington '21 [1-16]
Ryan Tatelbaum '21 [1-4, 11-16]
C. Augie Spendley '19 [5-10]
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Varsity 5 7 11 8 4 9 7 9 11 4 6 4 9 15 9 DNF 137 Josh Mergenthaler '21 [1-16]
Caden Wilson '20 [1-6, 9-10, 14-16]
Maddie Nusbaum '21 [7-8, 11-13]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Romans 8 10 12 10 12 14 11 13 9 8 8 11 6 5 5 3 145 Nikolas Chambers '19
Cj Ricci '20
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny 11 5 5 5 13 11 12 11 6 14 12 9 DSQ 8 14 6 161 Bridget Monahan '22 [1-16]
Ella Schoening '19 [1-2, 5-6, 13-16]
Patrick Patangan '20 [3-4, 11-12]
Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [7-10]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Knights 12 15 9 14 9 10 8 7 2 6 10 13 13 13 15 DNF 175 Gabe Paier '21
Nick Bus '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies 16 16 15 12 7 8 10 6 8 16 15 12 10 9 10 DNF 189 Cecily Marden '21
Francis Depke '21
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 10 14 10 15 RAF 6 13 12 13 7 14 14 12 17 7 DNF 202 Luke Emerson '19 [1-4]
Heyward Main '19 [5, 15-16]
Ben Labarca '20 [6-14]
Heyward Main '19 [1-4]
Addison Terry '19 [5-12]
Ian Bosse '21 [13-16]
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Varsity 13 8 16 17 15 13 14 16 16 9 5 7 11 16 17 DNF 212 Mason Baird '22 [1-12]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [13-16]
Carson Shaw '22 [1-2]
Camdyn Williams '21 [3-6]
William Rawlings '22 [7-10]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [11-12, 15-16]
Mason Baird '22 [13-14]
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors A 15 17 13 11 10 12 18 14 15 15 17 17 15 12 12 DNF 232 Manning Unger '21 [1-10]
Davis Leath '20 [11-16]
Sara Beall '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Kristen Cooper '21 [5-8]
Lee Muirhead '20 [11-14]
Will Muirhead '22 [15-16]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 14 13 14 18 14 15 15 15 14 13 16 15 16 14 8 DNF 233 Kenan Walsh '20 [1-13]
Emma Barska '19 [14-16]
Emma Barska '19 [1-4, 7-10, 13]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [5-6, 11-12, 15-16]
Kenan Walsh '20 [14]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Varsity 17 11 17 16 DNF 16 17 17 17 17 11 16 14 11 16 DNF 251 Graham Cosby '22 [1-4]
Donovan Smith '21 [5-6]
Connor Marion '20 [7-16]
Savannah Winther '21 [1-4]
Malcolm Mcalister '19 [5-6]
Donovan Smith '21 [7-16]
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Bishops 18 18 18 13 16 18 16 18 18 18 18 18 17 18 18 DNS 279 Sanders Linker '19
Arianna Borkowski '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A1111111111111111
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes2222222222222222
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3333333333333333
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron4444444444444444
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops5555555555555555
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny6666666666666666
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights7777777777777777
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers8888888888888888
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity9999999999999999
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans10101010101010101010101010101010
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs11111111111111111111111111111111
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity12121212121212121212121212121212
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity13131313131313131313131313131313
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders14141414141414141414141414141414
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders16161616161616161616161616161616
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS15151515151515151515151515151515
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies17171717171717171717171717171717
WandoWando Wando Warriors18181818181818181818181818181818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors A1111111111111111
Antilles SchoolAntilles School Hurricanes2222222222222222
Beaufort High SchoolBeaufort High School Varsity3333333333333333
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HSBethesda - Chevy Chase HS Battlin' Baron4444444444444444
Bishop England High SchoolBishop England High School Bishops5555555555555555
Bishop Kenny High School - FLBishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny6666666666666666
Bishop O'Connell High SchoolBishop O'Connell High School Knights7777777777777777
Good Hope County Day SchoolGood Hope County Day School Panthers8888888888888888
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School Varsity9999999999999999
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Romans10101010101010101010101010101010
Myers Park High SchoolMyers Park High School Mustangs11111111111111111111111111111111
Pine Lake PrepPine Lake Prep Varsity12121212121212121212121212121212
Porter-Gaud SchoolPorter-Gaud School Varsity13131313131313131313131313131313
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders14141414141414141414141414141414
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders16161616161616161616161616161616
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS15151515151515151515151515151515
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Grizzlies17171717171717171717171717171717
WandoWando Wando Warriors18181818181818181818181818181818
School / Team SkipperCrew
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Mason Leath '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Clay Hershey '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Caelan Paquette '20 [11-16]		 Clay Hershey '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Macon Bauknight '21 [3-4]
Mason Leath '20 [7-8]
Sara Beall '22 [11-12]
Carrie Metts '19 [13-16]
Raptors A Manning Unger '21 [1-10]
Davis Leath '20 [11-16]		 Sara Beall '22 [1-4, 9-10]
Kristen Cooper '21 [5-8]
Lee Muirhead '20 [11-14]
Will Muirhead '22 [15-16]
Antilles School Antilles School Teddy Nicolosi '19 Victoria Flatley '20
Hurricanes Christopher Sharpless '19 Gillian Perrell '20
Beaufort High School Beaufort High School Ian Hoogenboom '20 [1-16] Abbie Pollitzer '21 [1-4, 9-10]
Brock Blonski '22 [5-8]
Edmund Mccalister '20 [11-16]
Varsity Clay Myers '21 [1-16] Thomas Gnann '20 [1-10]
Abbie Pollitzer '21 [11-16]
Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Bethesda - Chevy Chase HS Nick Budington '21 Liam Gronda '21
Battlin' Baron Matt Budington '21 [1-16] Ryan Tatelbaum '21 [1-4, 11-16]
C. Augie Spendley '19 [5-10]
Bishop England High School Bishop England High School Erin O'Connor '20 [1-10, 15-16]
James O'Connor '20 [11-14]		 Nicole Boyd '20 [1-14]
James O'Connor '20 [15-16]
Bishops Sanders Linker '19 Arianna Borkowski '20
Bishop Kenny High School - FL Bishop Kenny High School - FL William Weinbecker '21 [1-16] Maggie Mclauchlin '21 [1-14]
Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [15-16]
Bishop Kenny Bridget Monahan '22 [1-16] Ella Schoening '19 [1-2, 5-6, 13-16]
Patrick Patangan '20 [3-4, 11-12]
Joseph Bradley Iv '19 [7-10]
Bishop O'Connell High School Bishop O'Connell High School Peter Lobaugh '20 Spencer Guas '22
Knights Gabe Paier '21 Nick Bus '21
Good Hope County Day School Good Hope County Day School Taylor Hasson '19 Lucy Klempen '20
Panthers Rider Odom '19 Luca Gruber '21
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School Megan Fetterley '19 [1-12]
Britton Durst '19 [13]
Carson Shaw '22 [14-16]		 Andrew Shook '19 [1-2]
William Rawlings '22 [3-4]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [5-6]
Carson Shaw '22 [7-10, 13]
Britton Durst '19 [11-12, 14]
John Rismani '20 [15-16]
Varsity Mason Baird '22 [1-12]
Jack Mckenzie '22 [13-16]		 Carson Shaw '22 [1-2]
Camdyn Williams '21 [3-6]
William Rawlings '22 [7-10]
Mcgill Woodward '21 [11-12, 15-16]
Mason Baird '22 [13-14]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Marleigh Belsley '19 James Nappo '20
Romans Nikolas Chambers '19 Cj Ricci '20
Myers Park High School Myers Park High School Adam Larson '19 Noah Carroll '19
Mustangs Kenny Corsig '19 Laura Johnston '21
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep Garrett Mergenthaler '19 Alli Volk '21
Varsity Josh Mergenthaler '21 [1-16] Caden Wilson '20 [1-6, 9-10, 14-16]
Maddie Nusbaum '21 [7-8, 11-13]
Porter-Gaud School Porter-Gaud School Neil Walters '20 [1-16] Connor Marion '20 [1-6]
King Bland '19 [7-16]
Varsity Graham Cosby '22 [1-4]
Donovan Smith '21 [5-6]
Connor Marion '20 [7-16]		 Savannah Winther '21 [1-4]
Malcolm Mcalister '19 [5-6]
Donovan Smith '21 [7-16]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Liam O'Keefe '21 Lucas Vianna '21
Raiders Stephan Baker '22 [1-16] Gabriel Vianna '21 [1-10, 15-16]
Michael Macrae '19 [11-14]
South Fork High School South Fork High School Griffin Pollis '19 [1-16] Katelyn Herter '20 [1-4, 7-16]
Ryan Ince '21 [5-6]
SF BULLDOGS Kenan Walsh '20 [1-13]
Emma Barska '19 [14-16]		 Emma Barska '19 [1-4, 7-10, 13]
Zuzanna Barska '22 [5-6, 11-12, 15-16]
Kenan Walsh '20 [14]
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Robert (Bobby) Rielly '21 [1-16] Michael Morley '22 [1-4, 11-16]
Daniel Neville '21 [5-10]
Raiders Garrett Dixon '21 Kaitlyn Hamilton '22
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Owen Patterson '19 Asha Baddi '20
Grizzlies Cecily Marden '21 Francis Depke '21
Wando Wando Zack Carvajal '22 Lauren Creech '19
Wando Warriors Luke Emerson '19 [1-4]
Heyward Main '19 [5, 15-16]
Ben Labarca '20 [6-14]		 Heyward Main '19 [1-4]
Addison Terry '19 [5-12]
Ian Bosse '21 [13-16]

Conditions — 11/10/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1020.0 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From N (353°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine8.6 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1020.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · N 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at College of Charleston: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at College of Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at College of Charleston, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →