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Charleston JV/Composite Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Wando High School Wando High School Wando JV 6 5 11
2 Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 11 4 15
3 Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors B 11 14 25
4 Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 12 14 26
5 Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 15 14 29
6 James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 18 12 30
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Wando High School Wando High School Wando JV 1 2 3 6 Heyward Main '19
Rosemary Delamater '20
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors B 2 4 5 11 Caelan Paquette '20 [1-3]
Kristen Cooper '21 [1-2]
Sara Beall '22 [3]
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity DNF 3 1 11 Gareth Ferguson '19
Aidan Mcmath '22
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ DNF 1 4 12 Chris Mccollum '20
Dylan Staggard '19
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity DNF 6 2 15 Callie Ewy '20
Parker Shook '22
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV DNF 5 6 18 Jack Mckenzie '22 [1-2]
Otto Demuth '20 [3]
Gabriel Medlin '22 [1-2]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Durham School of The Arts Durham School of The Arts Varsity 1 1 2 4 Leif Nyland '21
Dominik Cserey '22
Wando High School Wando High School Wando JV 2 2 1 5 Robert Silcox '21
Laura Johnston '21
James Island Charter High School James Island Charter High School JV 4 4 4 12 Matthew Rourk '21 [1-3]
Jeb Stevens '22 [1-2]
Jack Kronsberg '22 [3]
Episcopal School of Jacksonville Episcopal School of Jacksonville ESJ 3 6 5 14 Brennan Doherty '23
Jack Swingle '19
Academic Magnet High School Academic Magnet High School Raptors B 5 3 6 14 Mason Leath '20
Carrie Metts '19
Carrboro High School Carrboro High School Varsity 6 5 3 14 Henry Clark '21
Thomas Normand '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors B202020
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity949494
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity414141
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ111
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV323232
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando JV390739073907

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Academic Magnet High SchoolAcademic Magnet High School Raptors B202020
Carrboro High SchoolCarrboro High School Varsity949494
Durham School of The ArtsDurham School of The Arts Varsity414141
Episcopal School of JacksonvilleEpiscopal School of Jacksonville ESJ111
James Island Charter High SchoolJames Island Charter High School JV323232
Wando High SchoolWando High School Wando JV390739073907

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 60%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From NW (317°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity60% Pressure1013.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Charleston Community Sailing and Carolina Yacht Club: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.69 ± 0.39)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Charleston Community Sailing and Carolina Yacht Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Charleston Community Sailing and Carolina Yacht Club: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →