Foundry #1 - JV

SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 10 Jp Wynne '20
Colin Josler '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 1 2 2 2 2 3 1 3 5 20 Holden Fisher '19
Eddie Keck '19
Olentangy Liberty High School Olentangy Liberty High School JV 3 3 3 3 2 5 2 6 27 Sam Schwartz '20
William Bruner '23
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 1 7 4 4 5 5 3 6 1 35 Megan Fegen '22
Molly Slater '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 3 5 6 7 7 4 4 4 3 40 Christian Miller '22
Tommy Kastelic '19
Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 2 6 5 5 4 6 6 5 9 46 Emilia Payne '22
Moira Steinmetz '20
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 6 8 7 6 8 7 8 7 4 55 Preston Taylor '19
Vincent Dinunzio '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 4 4 10 8 6 10 9 9 7 63 George ("Gt") Moy '19
Trey Boland '19
Thomas Worthington High School Thomas Worthington High School JV 9 8 10 9 8 7 8 8 67 Brady Rowe '23
Paige King '20
Magnificat Magnificat Mixed 10 9 9 10 11 DNF 10 11 82 Makenna Weyburne '20
Catherine Von Duhn '22
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 5 11 11 11 11 9 10 11 10 84 Ethan Fisher '22
Tommy Baker '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.220+0.22
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
MagnificatMagnificat Mixed11111111
Olentangy Liberty High SchoolOlentangy Liberty High School JV1616161616161616
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 122222222
Saint Joseph Academy (OH)Saint Joseph Academy (OH) Mixed 21111111111111111
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 133333333
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 244444444
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 355555555
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 466666666
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 577777777
St. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OHSt. Ignatius HS - Cleveland, OH Mixed 61010101010101010
Thomas Worthington High SchoolThomas Worthington High School JV88888888

Conditions — 09/15/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1020.8 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 83°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 16.1 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1020.8 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at The Station Cleveland: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.21 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.33
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.70 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at The Station Cleveland by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at The Station Cleveland, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →