Raritan Tuesday Series 10-23-18

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 5 5
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 10 10
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 12 12
4 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 16 16
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 17 17
6 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 18 18
7 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 23 23
8 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 2 24 24
9 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 25 25
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 27 27
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 33 33
12 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 37 37
13 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 39 39
14 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 40 40
15 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 43 43
16 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 3 43 43
17 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 1 50 50
18 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 7 53 53
19 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 3 56 56
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 3 1 1 5 Mack Totman '19
Jack Quinn '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 1 6 3 10 Sophie Lusty '20 [1-3]
Mia Chmelar '19 [1]
Peter Tully '21 [2-3]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 8 2 2 12 Sean Groskoph '20 [1-3]
Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Michael Ahern '21 [2-3]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 6 3 7 16 Evan Hybl '19
Jack Greengrass '22
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 5 8 4 17 Hannah Mercurio '20 [1-3]
Chris Disibio '21 [1-2]
Malcolm Harrison '19 [3]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 4 4 10 18 Quinn Collins '21
Luke Browne '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 2 10 11 23 Thomas Marino '21
Kacper Bardecki '19
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 2 7 5 12 24 Kevin Tang '19
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 13 7 5 25 Caroline Maher '21
Anna Schwartz '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 9 9 9 27 Luke Duplessis '20
Zoe Papier '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 11 14 8 33 Marshall Hong '21
Ryan Mayes '19
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 18 13 6 37 Celia Peri '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 10 15 14 39 Paul Danenberg '19
Jake Simonetti '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 12 12 16 40 Paige Lubrano '22
Katie Caviness '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 14 16 13 43 Ciara Doherty '21
Samuel Dempsey '19
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 3 17 11 15 43 Lauren Burke '19
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 1 15 18 17 50
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 7 16 19 18 53 Ryan Mcwalters '21
Finn Peters '22
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 3 19 17 DNF 56
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 1666
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 2777
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 3888
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 4999
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 5101010
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 6111111
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 7121212
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 1151515
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 2161616
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 3181818
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers 1111
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers 2333
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers 3555
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 1777
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 2101010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 3111111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 4121212
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 5131313
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 6171717
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 Luke Duplessis '20 Zoe Papier '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 Thomas Marino '21 Kacper Bardecki '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 Marshall Hong '21 Ryan Mayes '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 Ciara Doherty '21 Samuel Dempsey '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 Paige Lubrano '22 Katie Caviness '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 Paul Danenberg '19 Jake Simonetti '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 7 Ryan Mcwalters '21 Finn Peters '22
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 Caroline Maher '21 Anna Schwartz '20
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 Celia Peri '20
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 3 Lauren Burke '19
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 2 Kevin Tang '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Quinn Collins '21 Luke Browne '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Hannah Mercurio '20 [1-3] Chris Disibio '21 [1-2]
Malcolm Harrison '19 [3]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Sophie Lusty '20 [1-3] Mia Chmelar '19 [1]
Peter Tully '21 [2-3]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Mack Totman '19 Jack Quinn '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 5 Sean Groskoph '20 [1-3] Malcolm Harrison '19 [1]
Michael Ahern '21 [2-3]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 6 Evan Hybl '19 Jack Greengrass '22

Conditions — 10/23/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From WSW (237°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1015.5 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: SW about 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →