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Raritan Tuesday Series 10-30-18

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 3 3
2 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 5 5
3 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 7 7
4 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 9 9
5 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 9 9
6 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 11 11
7 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 13 13
8 Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 3 18 18
9 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 1 19 19
10 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 21 21
11 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 22 22
12 Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 22 22
13 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 25 25
14 Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 26 26
15 Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 2 30 30
SchoolTeam R1 R2 TOT Sailors
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 1 2 3 Caroline Maher '21
Anna Schwartz '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 2 3 5 Hannah Mercurio '20
Jack Greengrass '22
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 3 4 7 Jack Quinn '20
Sophie Lusty '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 4 5 9 Thomas Marino '21 [1-2]
Samuel Dempsey '19 [1]
Hannah Conti '21 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 8 1 9 Quinn Collins '21 [1-2]
Peter Tully '21 [1]
Sean Groskoph '20 [2]
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 5 6 11 Lauren Burke '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 6 7 13 Luke Duplessis '20 [1-2]
Zoe Papier '19 [1]
Jared Simonetti '21 [2]
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 3 9 9 18 Celia Peri '20
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 1 7 12 19 Kevin Tang '19
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 10 11 21 Paige Lubrano '22 [1-2]
Katie Caviness '21 [1]
Stephanie Twentyman '21 [2]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 12 10 22 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19
Henry Gallagher '20
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 14 8 22 Mack Totman '19
Michael Ahern '21
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 11 14 25 Marshall Hong '21 [1-2]
Ryan Mayes '19 [1]
Jake Simonetti '21 [2]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 13 13 26 Ciara Doherty '21 [1-2]
Annika Neumann-Loreck '21 [1]
Jonathan Field '22 [2]
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 2 15 15 30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (28 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 166
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 277
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 388
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 499
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 51010
Chatham High SchoolChatham High School Cougars 61111
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 11414
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 21616
Oak Knoll SchoolOak Knoll School Royals 31818
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers 111
Perth Amboy High SchoolPerth Amboy High School Panthers 244
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 11010
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 21111
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 31212
Summit High SchoolSummit High School Hilltoppers 41515
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 1 Ciara Doherty '21 [1-2] Annika Neumann-Loreck '21 [1]
Jonathan Field '22 [2]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 2 Paige Lubrano '22 [1-2] Katie Caviness '21 [1]
Stephanie Twentyman '21 [2]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 3 Luke Duplessis '20 [1-2] Zoe Papier '19 [1]
Jared Simonetti '21 [2]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 4 Yumtsokyi Bhum '19 Henry Gallagher '20
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 5 Marshall Hong '21 [1-2] Ryan Mayes '19 [1]
Jake Simonetti '21 [2]
Chatham High School Chatham High School Cougars 6 Thomas Marino '21 [1-2] Samuel Dempsey '19 [1]
Hannah Conti '21 [2]
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 1 Lauren Burke '19
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 2 Caroline Maher '21 Anna Schwartz '20
Oak Knoll School Oak Knoll School Royals 3 Celia Peri '20
Perth Amboy High School Perth Amboy High School Panthers 1 Kevin Tang '19
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 1 Hannah Mercurio '20 Jack Greengrass '22
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 2 Quinn Collins '21 [1-2] Peter Tully '21 [1]
Sean Groskoph '20 [2]
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 3 Mack Totman '19 Michael Ahern '21
Summit High School Summit High School Hilltoppers 4 Jack Quinn '20 Sophie Lusty '20

Conditions — 10/30/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1018.1 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 22.2 kn
From WNW (298°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1018.1 hPa

What this breeze does at Summit — from fleet racing

Breeze: NW about 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Summit in this breeze: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Underdogs’ conditions: in fleet racing here the fleet bunches up and lower-rated boats beat the seeds more often than usual.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Summit by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled fleet-race days at Summit).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →