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SAISA South Points 1 - 2018 Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 48 38 86
2 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 51 37 88
3 St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 87 36 123
4 H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 70 53 123
5 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 77 57 134
6 Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 106 31 137
7 Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 66 82 148
8 Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 85 87 172
9 Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Varsity 105 67 172
10 Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 117 83 200
11 Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 91 114 205
12 Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 58 150 208
13 Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 98 139 237
14 St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 146 92 238
15 South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 94 171 265
16 Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 144 126 270
17 Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 144 132 276
18 Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates 137 146 283
19 Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 157 133 290
20 Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 150 167 317
21 Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 169 168 337
22 Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 153 202 355
23 Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 174 192 366
24 MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 199 168 367
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 4 2 2 2 OCS 1 2 RDG 5 48 Justin Callahan '22 [1-9]
Antonio Miranda '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Peter Foley '22 [5-6]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 3 OCS 1 14 3 1 1 2 51 Julia Johansson '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Hannah Bast '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 7 8 5 6 8 16 3 2 3 58 Enzo Menditto '22
Joshua Pike '22
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 6 7 7 8 2 2 10 4 20 66 Alex Gonzalez '20
Ethan Osborne '19
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 9 1 4 3 OCS 13 5 9 1 70 Connor Nelson '19
Tee Chulikavit '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 15 11 1 9 4 7 14 3 13 77 Elizabeth Shanahan '19
Karlei Kongsiri '19
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 8 16 6 4 1 14 13 12 11 85 Callista Hopkins '19
Bella Keelin '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 5 4 3 7 19 21 6 16 6 87 Libby Redmond '20 [1-6]
Trent Shaw '20 [7-9]
Isa Duplessis '20 [1-6]
Emma Asturias '20 [7-9]
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 11 6 OCS 12 7 8 8 5 9 91 Natalie Hoffman '26
Alexander Vafeas '22
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 3 9 9 11 12 6 18 18 8 94 Emily Bornarth '20
Emma Barska '19
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 16 14 8 17 9 10 7 7 10 98 Katie Nelson '20
Trip Miller '22
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Varsity 21 12 15 21 3 9 9 11 4 105 Matthew King '20
Nick Powers '21
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 2 5 OCS 5 OCS 4 16 10 14 106 Daniel Hughes '21
Teddy Bueres '19
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 12 18 13 13 5 5 19 17 15 117 Noah Fischer '19
Ryan Kronrad '22
Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates 22 10 17 18 16 22 12 8 12 137 Camden Sullivan '21
Jack Soodek '20
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 14 15 12 20 18 18 15 13 19 144 Andrew Douglas '19
Reagan Wimsatt '22
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 17 19 10 16 11 17 11 22 21 144 Jacob Armitage '20
Grace Pfaelzer '21
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 13 17 11 15 15 12 23 24 16 146 Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-9]
Tyler Rogers '20 [1-8]
Tommy Chase '20 [9]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 10 21 16 23 6 11 20 19 24 150 Trevor Honeycutt '19
Ayla Weisberg '22
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 18 13 OCS 14 17 23 21 15 7 153 Oswaldo Deleon '19
William Reis '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 23 20 OCS 24 10 20 4 14 17 157 Chloe Hudgins '20
Cole Degner '21
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 19 24 OCS 10 13 19 17 20 22 169 Kingsley Ehrich '19
Marc Kiener '20
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 20 22 14 22 20 15 22 21 18 174 Zachary Syska '22 [1-9]
Morgan Gahan '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Bo Dwyer '22 [3-4, 7-8]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 24 23 18 19 21 24 24 23 23 199 Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20
Esbeydy Dumas '20
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Raiders 3 3 4 5 2 1 6 3 4 31 Kyle Bramson '20
Karen Liberman '20
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders 4 1 6 2 7 6 RDG RDG 2 36 Connor Boland '21 [1-6]
Joey Meagher '20 [7-9]
Caroline Dubois-Weber '19 [1-6]
Kenna Reed '20 [7-9]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 1 4 3 1 12 7 1 5 3 37 Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Stephan Baker '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Claire Holzman '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions 14 2 2 7 6 3 2 1 1 38 Mitchell Callahan '22
Brianna Ross '22
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Panthers 2 6 8 6 9 2 5 2 13 53 Brandon Geller '19
Dominic Canonico '19
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 6 8 11 4 3 4 4 6 11 57 Heather Kerns '20
Nolan Pollack '20
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Varsity 7 5 5 9 5 5 3 11 17 67 Will Murray '20 [1-9]
Dan Keim '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Luke Johnson '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Hurricanes 10 21 1 3 1 OCS 7 7 7 82 Ella Marsden '20
Hannah Lane '20
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Panthers 5 7 12 12 8 12 12 9 6 83 Bella Casaretto '22 [1-9]
Molly Schlesinger '23 [1-8]
Ryan Kronrad '22 [9]
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Varsity 8 18 10 11 4 14 8 4 10 87 Robert Hopkins '21
Talib Moran '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Green Devils 9 9 7 13 13 15 9 12 5 92 Emily Allen '21
Erika Desonie '19
Pine View School Pine View School Pine View Varsity 11 14 15 10 10 17 11 17 9 114 James Mcgirr '20
Matthew Mason '19
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Varsity 13 13 17 20 11 13 16 15 8 126 Jack Parker '19 [1-9]
Aine Porter '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Reese Patwell '22 [3-4]
Naples High School Naples High School Varsity 17 16 16 8 18 11 18 16 12 132 Lauren Connell '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Thomas Connell '20 [3-6, 9]
Thomas Connell '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Lauren Connell '22 [3-6, 9]
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Falcons 15 11 13 15 16 9 19 19 16 133 Frederick Debiase '20
Dina Coletti '20
Robinson High School Robinson High School Knights 12 12 18 19 19 10 13 14 22 139 Jonathan Joyner '19
Kaden Nylias '22
Braden River High School Braden River High School Pirates 23 15 20 17 14 8 17 18 14 146 Mason Sullivan '22
Mateo Lewis '20
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Warriors 22 17 9 21 21 18 14 10 18 150 Jonathan Gleason '22
Natalia Gagliano '19
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy ThunderWolves 16 19 24 18 15 16 24 20 15 167 Alexander Barr '19 [1-9]
Summer Scott '20 [1-2]
Matthew Mcvey '20 [3-9]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Tigers 19 22 21 16 23 20 15 8 24 168 Kathryn Thorsen '21 [1-9]
Cameron Lott '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Caleb Leever '20 [5-6]
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Panthers 21 DNS 14 14 17 21 20 13 23 168 Nicholas Stange '20 [1-9]
Grace Lamb '20 [1-4, 9]
Austin Daigle '20 [5-8]
South Fork High School South Fork High School SF BULLDOGS 18 10 19 22 RDG 19 22 22 20 171 Griffin Pollis '19
Katelyn Herter '20
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Green Wave 20 20 22 24 20 23 23 21 19 192 Alexandra Dorofeev '21 [1-2, 5-9]
Tucker Lowe '22 [3-4]
Carson Maschmeier '21 [1-4, 9]
Tucker Lowe '22 [5-8]
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Varsity 24 23 23 23 22 22 21 23 21 202 Rex Walrond '19
Emmitt Senentz '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity2424552020121214
Braden River High SchoolBraden River High School Pirates771717443323
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes5520201212141415
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity17174433232316
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave202012121414151521
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders44332323161619
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions332323161619196
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons1414151521212218
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity2323161619196611
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers1616191966111110
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers151521212218188
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity21212218188813
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves1919661111101022
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers2218188813131
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity661111101022229
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers12121414151521212
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders18188813131124
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights111110102222997
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders11242455202012
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Varsity8813131124245
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers10102222997717
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS13131124245520
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils2222997717174
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors99771717443

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
Admiral Farragut AcademyAdmiral Farragut Academy Varsity771717443323
Braden River High SchoolBraden River High School Pirates5520201212141415
Coral Shores High SchoolCoral Shores High School Hurricanes17174433232316
Dunedin High SchoolDunedin High School Varsity202012121414151521
Fort Myers High SchoolFort Myers High School Green Wave44332323161619
Gulliver Preparatory SchoolGulliver Preparatory School Raiders12121414151521212
Immaculata La Salle High SchoolImmaculata La Salle High School Royal Lions1414151521212218
Jensen Beach High SchoolJensen Beach High School Falcons2323161619196611
Lakewood High SchoolLakewood High School Varsity151521212218188
Martin County High SchoolMartin County High School Tigers21212218188813
MOA/Westwood High SchoolMOA/Westwood High School Panthers1616191966111110
Naples High SchoolNaples High School Varsity1919661111101022
Oxbridge AcademyOxbridge Academy ThunderWolves2218188813131
Pine Crest SchoolPine Crest School Panthers661111101022229
Pine View SchoolPine View School Pine View Varsity18188813131124
H. B. Plant High SchoolH. B. Plant High School Panthers332323161619196
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders111110102222997
Robinson High SchoolRobinson High School Knights8813131124245
St. Thomas Aquinas High SchoolSt. Thomas Aquinas High School Raiders99771717443
Sarasota High SchoolSarasota High School Varsity10102222997717
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers13131124245520
South Fork High SchoolSouth Fork High School SF BULLDOGS2222997717174
St. Petersburg High SchoolSt. Petersburg High School Green Devils11242455202012
Westminster Christian SchoolWestminster Christian School Warriors2424552020121214
School / Team SkipperCrew
Admiral Farragut Academy Admiral Farragut Academy Oswaldo Deleon '19 William Reis '22
Varsity Rex Walrond '19 Emmitt Senentz '19
Braden River High School Braden River High School Camden Sullivan '21 Jack Soodek '20
Pirates Mason Sullivan '22 Mateo Lewis '20
Coral Shores High School Coral Shores High School Alex Gonzalez '20 Ethan Osborne '19
Hurricanes Ella Marsden '20 Hannah Lane '20
Dunedin High School Dunedin High School Jacob Armitage '20 Grace Pfaelzer '21
Varsity Jack Parker '19 [1-9] Aine Porter '19 [1-2, 5-9]
Reese Patwell '22 [3-4]
Fort Myers High School Fort Myers High School Zachary Syska '22 [1-9] Morgan Gahan '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Bo Dwyer '22 [3-4, 7-8]
Green Wave Alexandra Dorofeev '21 [1-2, 5-9]
Tucker Lowe '22 [3-4]		 Carson Maschmeier '21 [1-4, 9]
Tucker Lowe '22 [5-8]
Gulliver Preparatory School Gulliver Preparatory School Daniel Hughes '21 Teddy Bueres '19
Raiders Kyle Bramson '20 Karen Liberman '20
H. B. Plant High School H. B. Plant High School Connor Nelson '19 Tee Chulikavit '19
Panthers Brandon Geller '19 Dominic Canonico '19
Immaculata La Salle High School Immaculata La Salle High School Justin Callahan '22 [1-9] Antonio Miranda '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Peter Foley '22 [5-6]
Royal Lions Mitchell Callahan '22 Brianna Ross '22
Jensen Beach High School Jensen Beach High School Chloe Hudgins '20 Cole Degner '21
Falcons Frederick Debiase '20 Dina Coletti '20
Lakewood High School Lakewood High School Callista Hopkins '19 Bella Keelin '20
Varsity Robert Hopkins '21 Talib Moran '20
MOA/Westwood High School MOA/Westwood High School Heriberto Lara-Mijares '20 Esbeydy Dumas '20
Panthers Nicholas Stange '20 [1-9] Grace Lamb '20 [1-4, 9]
Austin Daigle '20 [5-8]
Martin County High School Martin County High School Kingsley Ehrich '19 Marc Kiener '20
Tigers Kathryn Thorsen '21 [1-9] Cameron Lott '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Caleb Leever '20 [5-6]
Naples High School Naples High School Andrew Douglas '19 Reagan Wimsatt '22
Varsity Lauren Connell '22 [1-2, 7-8]
Thomas Connell '20 [3-6, 9]		 Thomas Connell '20 [1-2, 7-8]
Lauren Connell '22 [3-6, 9]
Oxbridge Academy Oxbridge Academy Trevor Honeycutt '19 Ayla Weisberg '22
ThunderWolves Alexander Barr '19 [1-9] Summer Scott '20 [1-2]
Matthew Mcvey '20 [3-9]
Pine Crest School Pine Crest School Noah Fischer '19 Ryan Kronrad '22
Panthers Bella Casaretto '22 [1-9] Molly Schlesinger '23 [1-8]
Ryan Kronrad '22 [9]
Pine View School Pine View School Natalie Hoffman '26 Alexander Vafeas '22
Pine View Varsity James Mcgirr '20 Matthew Mason '19
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Julia Johansson '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Lachlain Mc Granahan '20 [3-4, 7-8]		 Hannah Bast '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Raiders Liam O'Keefe '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Stephan Baker '22 [3-4, 7-8]		 Claire Holzman '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Robinson High School Robinson High School Katie Nelson '20 Trip Miller '22
Knights Jonathan Joyner '19 Kaden Nylias '22
Sarasota High School Sarasota High School Matthew King '20 Nick Powers '21
Varsity Will Murray '20 [1-9] Dan Keim '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Luke Johnson '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Elizabeth Shanahan '19 Karlei Kongsiri '19
Chargers Heather Kerns '20 Nolan Pollack '20
South Fork High School South Fork High School Emily Bornarth '20 Emma Barska '19
SF BULLDOGS Griffin Pollis '19 Katelyn Herter '20
St. Petersburg High School St. Petersburg High School Emma Shakespeare '20 [1-9] Tyler Rogers '20 [1-8]
Tommy Chase '20 [9]
Green Devils Emily Allen '21 Erika Desonie '19
St. Thomas Aquinas High School St. Thomas Aquinas High School Libby Redmond '20 [1-6]
Trent Shaw '20 [7-9]		 Isa Duplessis '20 [1-6]
Emma Asturias '20 [7-9]
Raiders Connor Boland '21 [1-6]
Joey Meagher '20 [7-9]		 Caroline Dubois-Weber '19 [1-6]
Kenna Reed '20 [7-9]
Westminster Christian School Westminster Christian School Enzo Menditto '22 Joshua Pike '22
Warriors Jonathan Gleason '22 Natalia Gagliano '19

Conditions — 09/29/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1027.2 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.8 kn
Gusts to 17.1 kn
From NW (325°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover43% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1027.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Holland Park, Hollywood, Florida: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Holland Park, Hollywood, Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Holland Park, Hollywood, Florida: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →